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Villanova vs Creighton Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 67-69
29-40 38-29
Position#174
Record17-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game65.5
vs
Position#43
Record22-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Villanova v Creighton
27 Jan 2027
VILL v CREI
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
VILL72
CREI76
01 Feb 2025
VILL60
CREI62
09 Mar 2024
VILL67
CREI69
25 Feb 2023
VILL79
CREI67
12 Mar 2022
VILL54
CREI48
05 Jan 2022
VILL75
CREI41
03 Mar 2021
VILL72
CREI60
01 Feb 2020
VILL61
CREI76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Villanova winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Creighton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#36
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H31/01
NCAA
Providence
#114
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H04/02
NCAA
Xavier
#245
L
53-56
53
56
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H11/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#337
W
70-54
70
54
+16
A17/02
NCAA
Butler
#164
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H20/02
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
54-78
54
78
-24
A25/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#337
W
75-47
75
47
+28
H27/02
NCAA
Providence
#114
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A02/03
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
L
56-66
56
66
-10
A06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-39
49-46
26-16
42-34
28-26
25-30
39-24
41-30
28-19
42-35
44-35
28-27
21-31
33-47
43-19
32-28
34-37
37-23
24-30
32-36
129.1Avg total
67.9Scored
61.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)71.265.5136.7+5.857%
Season at home (17)73.562.5136.0+11.171%
Season away (13)68.269.4137.6-1.238%
Last 10 (10)67.961.2129.1+6.760%
Last 5 (5)65.662.6128.2+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)67.572.8140.2-5.250%
vs Similar (17)70.567.0137.5+3.547%
vs Weaker (9)74.359.3133.7+15.078%
This opponent (Creighton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CreightonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
DePaul
#367
W
85-62
85
62
+23
H28/01
NCAA
Butler
#164
L
98-99
98
99
-1
H03/02
NCAA
Providence
#114
L
87-91 OT
87
91
-4
A08/02
NCAA
Xavier
#245
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A10/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#337
W
94-72
94
72
+22
H14/02
NCAA
Butler
#164
W
79-57
79
57
+22
A17/02
NCAA
Uconn
#5
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H21/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A25/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H29/02
NCAA
Marquette
#36
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H02/03
NCAA
1H
2H
40-37
45-25
49-45
49-54
33-31
45-47
38-29
40-42
46-27
48-45
34-35
45-22
43-29
42-37
28-41
38-39
38-22
47-42
42-40
47-35
158.3Avg total
84.6Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)81.269.5150.7+11.673%
Season at home (17)84.268.9153.2+15.382%
Season away (13)77.270.3147.5+6.862%
Last 10 (10)84.673.7158.3+10.970%
Last 5 (5)80.868.4149.2+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)66.564.0130.5+2.550%
vs Similar (7)72.971.9144.7+1.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)85.369.3154.6+16.081%
This opponent (Villanova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +5.8+5.8
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +5.8+5.8
VillanovaCreighton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marquette
#36
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H31/01
NCAA
Providence
#114
W
26-16
26
16
+10
H04/02
NCAA
Xavier
#245
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
39-24
39
24
+15
H11/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#337
W
28-19
28
19
+9
A17/02
NCAA
Butler
#164
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H20/02
NCAA
Uconn
#5
L
21-31
21
31
-10
A25/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#337
W
43-19
43
19
+24
H27/02
NCAA
Providence
#114
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A02/03
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A06/03
NCAA
59.4Avg total
31.8Scored
27.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.329.763.0+3.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.828.564.3+7.465%-
Last 30 away (13)30.031.261.2-1.231%-
Last 10 (10)31.827.659.4+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)33.230.463.6+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)25.232.057.2-6.80%-
vs Similar (17)34.230.464.6+3.847%-
vs Weaker (9)35.227.262.4+8.078%-
This opponent (Creighton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CreightonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
DePaul
#367
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/01
NCAA
Butler
#164
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H03/02
NCAA
Providence
#114
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Xavier
#245
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A10/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#337
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H14/02
NCAA
Butler
#164
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A17/02
NCAA
Uconn
#5
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H21/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A25/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H29/02
NCAA
Marquette
#36
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H02/03
NCAA
72.7Avg total
39.1Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.132.671.7+6.573%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.632.874.5+8.876%-
Last 30 away (13)35.832.368.2+3.569%-
Last 10 (10)39.133.672.7+5.580%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.470.4+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.030.562.5+1.550%-
vs Similar (7)35.735.371.0+0.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)41.031.972.9+9.081%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Villanova wins
5
Creighton wins
DateGameScore
21/12/23Creighton v Villanova66-68 OT
10/03/23Creighton v Villanova87-74
25/02/23Villanova v Creighton79-67
05/02/23Creighton v Villanova66-61
12/03/22Villanova v Creighton54-48
06/01/22Villanova v Creighton75-41
18/12/21Creighton v Villanova79-59
04/03/21Villanova v Creighton72-60
13/02/21Creighton v Villanova86-70
01/02/20Villanova v Creighton61-76
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/24ASeton Hall56-66
02/03/24AProvidence71-60
27/02/24HGeorgetown75-47
25/02/24AUconn54-78
20/02/24HButler72-62
17/02/24AGeorgetown70-54
11/02/24HSeton Hall80-54
08/02/24AXavier53-56
04/02/24HProvidence68-50
31/01/24HMarquette80-85
Creightonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HMarquette89-75
29/02/24HSeton Hall85-64
25/02/24ASt. John's (N.Y.)66-80
21/02/24HUconn85-66
17/02/24AButler79-57
14/02/24HGeorgetown94-72
10/02/24AXavier78-71
08/02/24AProvidence87-91 OT
03/02/24HButler98-99
28/01/24HDePaul85-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Villanova
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL57%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %57%71%38%
Points / game71.273.568.2
Allowed / game65.562.569.4
Point differential+5.8+11.1-1.2
Avg total136.7136.0137.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%59%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)25% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %13%0%31%
Creighton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW73%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayWLWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301713
Win %73%82%62%
Points / game81.284.277.2
Allowed / game69.568.970.3
Point differential+11.6+15.3+6.8
Avg total150.7153.2147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%53%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %10%6%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn3027390%81.464.1+17.3
2 Creighton3022873%81.269.5+11.6
3 Marquette3022873%79.069.5+9.5
4 Providence30191163%73.268.8+4.5
5 Seton Hall30191163%72.469.7+2.6
6 St. John's (N.Y.)31191261%78.171.2+6.9
7 Butler31181358%77.473.6+3.8
8 Villanova30171357%71.265.5+5.8
9 Xavier32151747%74.873.8+1.0
10 Georgetown3192229%71.378.0-6.7
11 DePaul3032710%65.182.4-17.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Villanova293867
Creighton402969
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