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Villanova vs Creighton Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 28 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#151
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game66.3
vs
Position#159
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game68.3
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Villanova v Creighton
27 Jan 2027
VILL v CREI
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
VILL72
CREI76
01 Feb 2025
VILL60
CREI62
09 Mar 2024
VILL67
CREI69
25 Feb 2023
VILL79
CREI67
12 Mar 2022
VILL54
CREI48
05 Jan 2022
VILL75
CREI41
03 Mar 2021
VILL72
CREI60
01 Feb 2020
VILL61
CREI76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Villanova win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Creighton win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uconn
#11
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H21/02
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H26/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
57-89
57
89
-32
A01/03
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
76-57
76
57
+19
A05/03
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H07/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
64-78
64
78
-14
H13/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H20/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#40
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H01/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#411
W
95-66
95
66
+29
H07/11
NCAA
La Salle
#297
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-34
31-39
42-28
40-45
23-48
34-41
26-24
50-33
44-32
47-46
31-35
33-43
39-37
37-49
35-31
37-43
44-28
51-38
36-31
44-28
148.9Avg total
75.6Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.366.3148.7+16.067%
Season at home (3)82.366.3148.7+16.067%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.673.3148.9+2.350%
Last 5 (5)77.472.6150.0+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.879.4147.2-11.60%
vs Similar ◀ (6)70.368.8139.2+1.567%
vs Weaker (19)80.669.9150.5+10.789%
This opponent (Creighton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CreightonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#46
L
69-80
69
80
-11
H14/02
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A19/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
52-81
52
81
-29
A21/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
71-72
71
72
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Providence
#246
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
76-59
76
59
+17
A04/03
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A12/03
NCAA
UMKC
#252
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H03/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#210
W
83-55
83
55
+28
H06/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#166
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-41
42-39
45-45
46-39
27-42
25-39
38-30
33-42
37-39
39-40
32-36
44-23
26-33
35-39
33-39
43-22
54-17
29-38
40-40
42-49
146.9Avg total
73.7Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.368.3148.7+12.067%
Season at home (2)79.558.0137.5+21.5100%
Season away (1)82.089.0171.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)73.773.2146.9+0.540%
Last 5 (5)75.667.2142.8+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)64.876.1140.9-11.327%
vs Similar ◀ (16)81.475.8157.2+5.756%
vs Weaker (3)80.368.3148.7+12.067%
This opponent (Villanova) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: +0.8+0.8
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.4+2.41st half: -0.3-0.32nd half2nd half: -0.1-0.12nd half: +0.8+0.8
VillanovaCreighton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uconn
#11
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H21/02
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H26/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A01/03
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A05/03
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H07/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H13/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H20/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#40
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H01/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#411
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H07/11
NCAA
La Salle
#297
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H11/11
NCAA
68.0Avg total
35.2Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.732.267.9+3.573%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.630.266.8+6.579%-
Last 30 away (11)34.135.769.8-1.664%-
Last 10 (10)35.232.868.0+2.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.032.469.4+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.036.468.4-4.460%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)32.231.063.2+1.267%-
vs Weaker (19)37.831.569.3+6.379%-
This opponent (Creighton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CreightonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#46
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H14/02
NCAA
Uconn
#11
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A19/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A21/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Providence
#246
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H28/02
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A04/03
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A12/03
NCAA
UMKC
#252
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H03/11
NCAA
Le Moyne
#210
W
54-17
54
17
+37
H06/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#166
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A11/11
NCAA
72.1Avg total
35.9Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.336.472.6-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.436.775.1+1.753%-
Last 30 away (13)33.535.969.4-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)35.936.272.1-0.320%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.070.0+4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)29.437.566.9-8.29%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.936.476.2+3.575%-
vs Weaker (3)42.332.074.3+10.333%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Villanova wins
6
Creighton wins
DateGameScore
14/02/26Creighton v Villanova69-80
08/01/26Villanova v Creighton72-76
01/02/25Villanova v Creighton60-62
21/12/24Creighton v Villanova86-79
09/03/24Villanova v Creighton67-69
21/12/23Creighton v Villanova66-68 OT
10/03/23Creighton v Villanova87-74
25/02/23Villanova v Creighton79-67
05/02/23Creighton v Villanova66-61
12/03/22Villanova v Creighton54-48
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HLa Salle80-59
07/11/26HHoly Cross95-66
01/11/26HNotre Dame72-74
20/03/26HUtah State76-86
13/03/26HGeorgetown64-78
07/03/26HXavier91-78
05/03/26ADePaul76-57
01/03/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)57-89
26/02/26HButler82-73
21/02/26HUconn63-73
Creightonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AKansas State82-89
06/11/26HLe Moyne83-55
03/11/26HUMKC76-61
12/03/26ASeton Hall61-72
04/03/26AButler76-59
28/02/26HProvidence76-79
26/02/26HDePaul71-72
21/02/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)52-81
19/02/26AUconn91-84
14/02/26HVillanova69-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Villanova
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLWW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game82.382.3-
Allowed / game66.366.3-
Point differential+16.0+16.0-
Avg total148.7148.7-
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Creighton
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game80.379.582.0
Allowed / game68.358.089.0
Point differential+12.0+21.5-7.0
Avg total148.7137.5171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Xavier440100%88.555.8+32.8
2 St. John's (N.Y.)330100%90.762.3+28.3
3 Uconn440100%84.558.0+26.5
4 DePaul440100%77.058.0+19.0
5 Georgetown440100%83.572.0+11.5
6 Seton Hall43175%69.261.5+7.8
7 Marquette32167%80.353.0+27.3
8 Villanova32167%82.366.3+16.0
9 Providence32167%73.059.3+13.7
10 Creighton32167%80.368.3+12.0
11 Butler42250%85.075.2+9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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