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Villanova vs Xavier Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-68
33-33 47-35
Position#138
Record13-10
FormWLLLW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game67.6
vs
Position#82
Record15-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Villanova v Xavier
19 Jan 2027
VILL v XAVI
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
VILL91
XAVI78
09 Feb 2025
VILL80
XAVI68
03 Jan 2024
VILL66
XAVI65
07 Jan 2023
VILL80
XAVI88
21 Dec 2021
VILL71
XAVI58
30 Dec 2019
VILL68
XAVI62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Villanova winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Xavier winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#266
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A01/01
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
100-56
100
56
+44
H04/01
NCAA
Uconn
#63
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H08/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
68-80
68
80
-12
A12/01
NCAA
Xavier
#82
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A14/01
NCAA
Providence
#300
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H18/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#176
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H20/01
NCAA
Marquette
#67
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A25/01
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H01/02
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-31
43-34
48-32
52-24
32-25
36-41
31-36
37-44
32-24
31-45
32-37
43-36
34-27
29-37
26-36
48-51
29-29
31-33
29-26
30-23
137.4Avg total
70.3Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.367.6142.8+7.757%
Season at home (14)76.463.9140.3+12.671%
Season away (9)73.473.3146.8+0.133%
Last 10 (10)70.367.1137.4+3.250%
Last 5 (5)66.267.0133.2-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.075.0145.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)67.570.4137.9-2.827%
vs Weaker (15)78.061.7139.7+16.387%
This opponent (Xavier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XavierUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#349
W
94-72
94
72
+22
H31/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#176
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A04/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
72-82
72
82
-10
H07/01
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
77-63
77
63
+14
A11/01
NCAA
Villanova
#138
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H14/01
NCAA
Marquette
#67
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A18/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
71-79 OT
71
79
-8
A23/01
NCAA
Uconn
#63
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H26/01
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A30/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#176
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H05/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-31
50-41
24-30
39-39
37-41
35-41
38-23
39-40
24-32
45-31
35-24
24-33
40-30
25-35
40-41
36-31
35-40
42-46
30-26
44-43
144.4Avg total
73.2Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)76.269.5145.8+6.762%
Season at home (14)80.666.6147.2+13.986%
Season away (10)70.173.6143.7-3.530%
Last 10 (10)73.271.2144.4+2.060%
Last 5 (5)71.472.6144.0-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.883.5154.2-12.80%
vs Similar ◀ (13)69.872.3142.2-2.546%
vs Weaker (12)84.867.1151.9+17.892%
This opponent (Villanova) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +1.2+1.22nd half: -0.1-0.1
VillanovaXavier
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#266
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A01/01
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H04/01
NCAA
Uconn
#63
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H08/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A12/01
NCAA
Xavier
#82
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A14/01
NCAA
Providence
#300
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H18/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#176
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H20/01
NCAA
Marquette
#67
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A25/01
NCAA
Creighton
#59
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H01/02
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
29-26
29
26
+3
A06/02
NCAA
62.6Avg total
32.3Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.430.364.7+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.329.364.7+6.067%-
Last 30 away (12)32.931.864.7+1.250%-
Last 10 (10)32.330.362.6+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)30.031.061.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.334.768.0-1.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)32.030.962.9+1.155%-
vs Weaker (15)36.628.965.5+7.773%-
This opponent (Xavier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XavierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#349
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H31/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#176
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A04/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H07/01
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
38-23
38
23
+15
A11/01
NCAA
Villanova
#138
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H14/01
NCAA
Marquette
#67
W
35-24
35
24
+11
A18/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#10
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A23/01
NCAA
Uconn
#63
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H26/01
NCAA
Creighton
#59
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A30/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#176
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H05/02
NCAA
66.5Avg total
34.7Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.932.366.3+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.830.366.1+5.560%-
Last 30 away (15)32.134.366.4-2.340%-
Last 10 (10)34.731.866.5+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)36.032.268.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.835.571.2+0.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)29.931.861.8-1.946%-
vs Weaker (12)37.730.768.3+7.067%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Villanova wins
3
Xavier wins
DateGameScore
14/01/25Xavier v Villanova69-63
08/02/24Xavier v Villanova56-53
04/01/24Villanova v Xavier66-65
21/02/23Xavier v Villanova63-64
07/01/23Villanova v Xavier80-88
12/01/22Xavier v Villanova60-64
22/12/21Villanova v Xavier71-58
22/02/20Xavier v Villanova55-64
30/12/19Villanova v Xavier68-62
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25ADePaul59-49
01/02/25HCreighton60-62
25/01/25AMarquette74-87
20/01/25HGeorgetown63-64
18/01/25HProvidence75-73
14/01/25AXavier63-69
12/01/25ASt. John's (N.Y.)68-80
08/01/25HUconn68-66
04/01/25HDePaul100-56
01/01/25AButler73-65
Xavierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/25HGeorgetown74-69
30/01/25ACreighton77-86
26/01/25HUconn76-72
23/01/25ASt. John's (N.Y.)71-79 OT
18/01/25AMarquette59-57
14/01/25HVillanova69-63
11/01/25ADePaul77-63
07/01/25HSt. John's (N.Y.)72-82
04/01/25AGeorgetown63-69
31/12/24HSeton Hall94-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Villanova
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW57%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23149
Win %57%71%33%
Points / game75.376.473.4
Allowed / game67.663.973.3
Point differential+7.7+12.6+0.1
Avg total142.8140.3146.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Xavier
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW62%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayLWWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %62%86%30%
Points / game76.280.670.1
Allowed / game69.566.673.6
Point differential+6.7+13.9-3.5
Avg total145.8147.2143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %8%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. John's (N.Y.)2421388%78.565.0+13.5
2 Marquette2418675%77.667.9+9.7
3 Creighton2418675%75.668.2+7.4
4 Uconn2316770%79.168.6+10.5
5 Xavier2415962%76.269.5+6.7
6 Georgetown2415962%70.264.9+5.4
7 Villanova23131057%75.367.6+7.7
8 Butler24111346%73.771.7+2.0
9 Providence24111346%71.970.2+1.6
10 DePaul24111346%73.672.9+0.7
11 Seton Hall2461825%62.469.5-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Villanova334780
Xavier333568
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