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Villanova vs Xavier Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 19 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 23:30
Scheduled
Position#96
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game65.2
vs
Position#8
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game55.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Villanova v Xavier
19 Jan 2027
VILL v XAVI
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
VILL91
XAVI78
09 Feb 2025
VILL80
XAVI68
03 Jan 2024
VILL66
XAVI65
07 Jan 2023
VILL80
XAVI88
21 Dec 2021
VILL71
XAVI58
30 Dec 2019
VILL68
XAVI62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Villanova win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Xavier win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#208
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H26/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
57-89
57
89
-32
A01/03
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
76-57
76
57
+19
A05/03
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H07/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
64-78
64
78
-14
H13/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H20/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#37
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H01/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#411
W
95-66
95
66
+29
H07/11
NCAA
La Salle
#294
W
80-59
80
59
+21
H11/11
NCAA
Rider
#342
W
99-62
99
62
+37
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-28
40-45
23-48
34-41
26-24
50-33
44-32
47-46
31-35
33-43
39-37
37-49
35-31
37-43
44-28
51-38
36-31
44-28
42-23
57-39
151.4Avg total
79.2Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.565.2151.8+21.275%
Season at home (4)86.565.2151.8+21.275%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.272.2151.4+7.060%
Last 5 (5)84.469.4153.8+15.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)66.880.8147.5-14.00%
vs Similar (6)70.071.8141.8-1.850%
vs Weaker (20)81.569.5151.0+12.090%
This opponent (Xavier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XavierUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#246
L
84-94
84
94
-10
A26/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
91-84
91
84
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H04/03
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
89-87
89
87
+2
A11/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
68-93
68
93
-25
A12/03
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#295
W
97-52
97
52
+45
H03/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#158
W
76-53
76
53
+23
H07/11
NCAA
Detroit
#453
W
100-55
100
55
+45
H11/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#98
W
81-63
81
63
+18
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-47
50-47
38-39
53-45
32-33
36-44
32-44
46-47
38-38
51-49
30-50
38-43
51-16
46-36
34-25
42-28
43-20
57-35
41-31
40-32
158.1Avg total
83.2Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.555.8144.2+32.8100%
Season at home (3)91.053.3144.3+37.7100%
Season away (1)81.063.0144.0+18.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.274.9158.1+8.360%
Last 5 (5)84.463.2147.6+21.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)76.584.0160.5-7.523%
vs Similar (12)81.081.8162.8-0.858%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)90.059.4149.4+30.6100%
This opponent (Villanova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +5.3+5.3
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +5.3+5.3
VillanovaXavier
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#208
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H26/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A01/03
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A05/03
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H07/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H13/03
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H20/03
NCAA
Notre Dame
#37
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H01/11
NCAA
Holy Cross
#411
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H07/11
NCAA
La Salle
#294
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Rider
#342
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H15/11
NCAA
67.9Avg total
36.2Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.132.068.2+4.173%-
Last 30 at home (19)37.329.967.2+7.479%-
Last 30 away (11)34.135.769.8-1.664%-
Last 10 (10)36.231.767.9+4.580%-
Last 5 (5)39.230.069.2+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)31.237.869.0-6.550%-
vs Similar (6)33.231.564.7+1.767%-
vs Weaker (20)38.031.169.0+6.980%-
This opponent (Xavier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XavierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#246
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H28/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H04/03
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A07/03
NCAA
Marquette
#290
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A11/03
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
30-50
30
50
-20
A12/03
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#295
W
51-16
51
16
+35
H03/11
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#158
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Detroit
#453
W
43-20
43
20
+23
H11/11
NCAA
Mississippi St.
#98
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A14/11
NCAA
71.6Avg total
37.3Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.037.274.1-0.240%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.033.972.9+5.159%-
Last 30 away (13)34.341.475.7-7.115%-
Last 10 (10)37.334.371.6+3.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.828.468.2+11.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.240.476.5-4.231%-
vs Similar (12)35.538.874.2-3.225%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.625.067.6+17.6100%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Villanova wins
3
Xavier wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Villanova v Xavier91-78
17/02/26Xavier v Villanova89-92 OT
09/02/25Villanova v Xavier80-68
14/01/25Xavier v Villanova69-63
08/02/24Xavier v Villanova56-53
04/01/24Villanova v Xavier66-65
21/02/23Xavier v Villanova63-64
07/01/23Villanova v Xavier80-88
12/01/22Xavier v Villanova60-64
22/12/21Villanova v Xavier71-58
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HRider99-62
11/11/26HLa Salle80-59
07/11/26HHoly Cross95-66
01/11/26HNotre Dame72-74
20/03/26HUtah State76-86
13/03/26HGeorgetown64-78
07/03/26HXavier91-78
05/03/26ADePaul76-57
01/03/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)57-89
26/02/26HButler82-73
Xavierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AMississippi St.81-63
11/11/26HDetroit100-55
07/11/26HEastern Michigan76-53
03/11/26HMount St. Mary's97-52
12/03/26AUconn68-93
11/03/26AMarquette89-87
07/03/26AVillanova78-91
04/03/26HSeton Hall68-77
28/02/26HGeorgetown91-84
26/02/26AProvidence84-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Villanova
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLWWW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game86.586.5-
Allowed / game65.265.2-
Point differential+21.2+21.2-
Avg total151.8151.8-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Xavier
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.591.081.0
Allowed / game55.853.363.0
Point differential+32.8+37.7+18.0
Avg total144.2144.3144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Xavier440100%88.555.8+32.8
2 St. John's (N.Y.)330100%90.762.3+28.3
3 Uconn440100%84.558.0+26.5
4 DePaul440100%77.058.0+19.0
5 Georgetown440100%83.572.0+11.5
6 Villanova43175%86.565.2+21.2
7 Providence43175%71.557.8+13.8
8 Seton Hall43175%69.261.5+7.8
9 Marquette32167%80.353.0+27.3
10 Creighton32167%80.368.3+12.0
11 Butler42250%85.075.2+9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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