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Virginia vs Wake Forest Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 55-63
29-27 26-36
Position#135
Record10-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game62.7
Allowed / game58.4
vs
Position#50
Record13-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game69.1
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Virginia v Wake Forest
03 Mar 2026
VIRG75
WAKE70
17 Feb 2024
VIRG49
WAKE47
15 Jan 2022
VIRG55
WAKE63
06 Jan 2021
VIRG70
WAKE61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wake Forest winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lehigh
#266
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H27/11
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H30/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H04/12
NCAA
James Madison
#178
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A07/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#359
W
82-49
82
49
+33
H18/12
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H23/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A01/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A05/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A08/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
54-52
54
52
+2
H13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
25-21
36-22
30-44
44-31
30-26
27-30
14-24
35-28
34-19
48-30
27-35
23-32
33-33
41-36
36-37
39-28
25-31
33-43
25-23
29-29
123.6Avg total
63.4Scored
60.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)62.758.4121.1+4.362%
Season at home (9)64.156.9121.0+7.267%
Season away (7)60.960.3121.1+0.657%
Last 10 (10)63.460.2123.6+3.260%
Last 5 (5)62.265.4127.6-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)58.267.0125.2-8.825%
vs Similar (15)62.161.3123.4+0.953%
vs Weaker (11)66.755.2121.9+11.591%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#208
W
77-73 OT
77
73
+4
H01/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
80-61
80
61
+19
A04/12
NCAA
USC Upstate
#226
W
79-53
79
53
+26
H12/12
NCAA
VMI
#186
W
77-70
77
70
+7
H15/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#169
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A18/12
NCAA
Louisville
#265
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A30/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
84-92
84
92
-8
A01/01
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
76-54
76
54
+22
H05/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
77-74 OT
77
74
+3
H08/01
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
64-76
64
76
-12
H13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-32
27-32
38-34
42-27
29-18
50-35
29-42
48-28
48-34
34-45
31-26
38-47
38-43
46-49
35-22
41-32
38-36
31-33
29-35
35-41
147.0Avg total
76.5Scored
70.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.169.1148.1+10.076%
Season at home (13)79.266.8146.0+12.385%
Season away (4)78.876.2155.0+2.550%
Last 10 (10)76.570.5147.0+6.070%
Last 5 (5)74.073.8147.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)62.777.4140.1-14.69%
vs Similar (6)69.566.8136.3+2.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)81.768.6150.3+13.185%
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +2.3+2.3
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.4-1.41st half: +3.0+3.02nd half2nd half: +4.6+4.62nd half: +2.3+2.3
VirginiaWake Forest
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lehigh
#266
W
25-21
25
21
+4
H27/11
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H30/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H04/12
NCAA
James Madison
#178
L
14-24
14
24
-10
A07/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#359
W
34-19
34
19
+15
H18/12
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H23/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A01/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A05/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A08/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H13/01
NCAA
57.2Avg total
27.9Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.729.058.7+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.428.459.8+3.065%-
Last 30 away (13)27.529.757.2-2.231%-
Last 10 (10)27.929.357.2-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)29.231.861.0-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)25.833.559.2-7.825%-
vs Similar (15)29.530.960.4-1.333%-
vs Weaker (11)31.524.756.2+6.782%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern
#208
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H01/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#102
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A04/12
NCAA
USC Upstate
#226
W
29-18
29
18
+11
H12/12
NCAA
VMI
#186
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H15/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#169
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A18/12
NCAA
Louisville
#265
W
31-26
31
26
+5
A30/12
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#58
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A01/01
NCAA
Florida State
#168
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H05/01
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H08/01
NCAA
Duke
#12
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H13/01
NCAA
67.4Avg total
35.2Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.333.167.4+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (19)35.032.167.1+2.958%-
Last 30 away (11)33.134.867.9-1.745%-
Last 10 (10)35.232.267.4+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)34.232.466.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)28.938.667.5-9.79%-
vs Similar (6)30.231.361.5-1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.829.269.9+11.692%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Virginia wins
0
Wake Forest wins
DateGameScore
07/01/21Virginia v Wake Forest70-61
26/01/20Wake Forest v Virginia63-65 OT
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/22HVirginia Tech54-52
08/01/22ANorth Carolina58-74
05/01/22AClemson75-65
01/01/22ASyracuse74-69
23/12/21HClemson50-67
18/12/21HFairleigh Dickinson82-49
07/12/21AJames Madison49-52
04/12/21HPittsburgh57-56
30/11/21HIowa74-75
27/11/21HLehigh61-43
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/22HDuke64-76
08/01/22HSyracuse77-74 OT
05/01/22HFlorida State76-54
01/01/22AMiami (FL)84-92
30/12/21ALouisville69-73
18/12/21ACharlotte82-79
15/12/21HVMI77-70
12/12/21HUSC Upstate79-53
04/12/21AVirginia Tech80-61
01/12/21HNorthwestern77-73 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW62%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %62%67%57%
Points / game62.764.160.9
Allowed / game58.456.960.3
Point differential+4.3+7.2+0.6
Avg total121.1121.0121.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%44%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wake Forest
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL76%
HomeWWWWL85%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17134
Win %76%85%50%
Points / game79.179.278.8
Allowed / game69.166.876.2
Point differential+10.0+12.3+2.5
Avg total148.1146.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%54%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %18%23%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1614288%83.165.2+17.9
2 Wake Forest1713476%79.169.1+10.0
3 SMU Mustangs1713476%76.968.2+8.7
4 Miami (FL)1713476%76.373.2+3.1
5 North Carolina1511473%78.770.5+8.2
6 Stanford1410471%70.268.8+1.4
7 Notre Dame1510567%70.965.5+5.4
8 Florida State1510567%73.268.1+5.1
9 Clemson1610662%73.166.2+6.8
10 Virginia1610662%62.758.4+4.3
11 Louisville1710759%69.467.8+1.6
12 Virginia Tech158753%69.358.4+10.9
13 California189950%64.662.7+1.9
14 NC State189950%76.174.9+1.1
15 Syracuse178947%78.075.6+2.4
16 Boston College146843%67.765.6+2.1
17 Pittsburgh1771041%62.564.9-2.5
18 Georgia Tech156940%68.169.2-1.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia292655
Wake Forest273663
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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