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Virginia vs Wake Forest Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 49-47
21-22 28-25
Position#66
Record19-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game65.6
Allowed / game58.4
Virginia 🏆
USA
vs
Wake Forest
USA
Position#119
Record16-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Virginia v Wake Forest
03 Mar 2026
VIRG75
WAKE70
17 Feb 2024
VIRG49
WAKE47
15 Jan 2022
VIRG55
WAKE63
06 Jan 2021
VIRG70
WAKE61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virginia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wake Forest winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#119
L
47-66
47
66
-19
A13/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H18/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A20/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
59-53 OT
59
53
+6
H25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
69-52
69
52
+17
A27/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H01/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A03/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
60-38
60
38
+22
H06/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
80-76
80
76
+4
A11/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H14/02
NCAA
1H
2H
21-27
26-39
25-18
40-39
33-29
42-37
27-15
20-32
41-13
28-39
38-23
27-30
34-26
32-39
29-17
31-21
34-30
46-46
31-35
32-39
124.9Avg total
64.9Scored
60.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)65.658.4124.0+7.376%
Season at home (16)68.452.5120.9+15.994%
Season away (9)60.768.8129.4-8.144%
Last 10 (10)64.960.0124.9+4.980%
Last 5 (5)66.861.2128.0+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)62.362.3124.7+0.033%
vs Similar (17)64.959.5124.4+5.471%
vs Weaker (10)68.656.3124.9+12.390%
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#196
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A10/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
66-47
66
47
+19
H13/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A17/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H20/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
64-85
64
85
-21
A23/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A01/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
99-70
99
70
+29
H04/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
80-51
80
51
+29
A07/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H10/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A13/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-42
41-45
27-21
39-26
45-35
31-48
48-33
42-32
34-33
30-52
37-27
35-50
42-28
57-42
46-20
34-31
39-45
44-34
27-29
42-48
150.2Avg total
78.1Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.370.7151.0+9.667%
Season at home (16)82.767.4150.1+15.388%
Season away (8)75.577.2152.8-1.825%
Last 10 (10)78.172.1150.2+6.050%
Last 5 (5)80.670.8151.4+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.583.5155.0-12.00%
vs Similar (11)74.274.2148.4+0.045%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)81.767.8149.5+13.976%
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: -1.3-1.3
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: +7.3+7.32nd half2nd half: -3.7-3.72nd half: -1.3-1.3
VirginiaWake Forest
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#119
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A13/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#161
W
25-18
25
18
+7
H18/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A20/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
27-15
27
15
+12
H25/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
41-13
41
13
+28
A27/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#291
W
38-23
38
23
+15
H01/02
NCAA
Clemson
#74
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A03/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#246
W
29-17
29
17
+12
H06/02
NCAA
Florida State
#196
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A11/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H14/02
NCAA
54.6Avg total
31.3Scored
23.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.824.756.5+7.173%-
Last 30 at home (21)32.822.555.3+10.386%-
Last 30 away (9)29.429.759.1-0.244%-
Last 10 (10)31.323.354.6+8.080%-
Last 5 (5)33.226.259.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)31.026.357.3+4.733%-
vs Similar (17)30.025.055.0+5.076%-
vs Weaker (10)35.123.658.7+11.580%-
This opponent (Wake Forest) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wake ForestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#196
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A10/01
NCAA
Virginia
#66
W
27-21
27
21
+6
H13/01
NCAA
NC State
#94
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A17/01
NCAA
Louisville
#348
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H20/01
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A23/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#69
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A01/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#110
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H04/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
46-20
46
20
+26
A07/02
NCAA
NC State
#94
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H10/02
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A13/02
NCAA
69.9Avg total
38.6Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.534.772.2+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.234.272.3+4.072%-
Last 30 away (12)36.635.572.1+1.133%-
Last 10 (10)38.631.369.9+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)38.229.868.0+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.540.577.0-4.00%-
vs Similar (11)36.233.870.0+2.455%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.534.673.1+3.965%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Virginia wins
2
Wake Forest wins
DateGameScore
13/01/24Wake Forest v Virginia66-47
21/01/23Wake Forest v Virginia67-76
15/01/22Virginia v Wake Forest55-63
07/01/21Virginia v Wake Forest70-61
26/01/20Wake Forest v Virginia63-65 OT
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/24HPittsburgh63-74
11/02/24AFlorida State80-76
06/02/24HMiami (FL)60-38
03/02/24AClemson66-65
01/02/24HNotre Dame65-53
27/01/24ALouisville69-52
25/01/24HNC State59-53 OT
20/01/24AGeorgia Tech75-66
18/01/24HVirginia Tech65-57
13/01/24AWake Forest47-66
Wake Forestlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/24ADuke69-77
10/02/24HNC State83-79
07/02/24AGeorgia Tech80-51
04/02/24HSyracuse99-70
01/02/24APittsburgh72-77
23/01/24ANorth Carolina64-85
20/01/24HLouisville90-65
17/01/24ANC State76-83
13/01/24HVirginia66-47
10/01/24AFlorida State82-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virginia
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL76%
HomeWWWWL94%
AwayLWWWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games25169
Win %76%94%44%
Points / game65.668.460.7
Allowed / game58.452.568.8
Point differential+7.3+15.9-8.1
Avg total124.0120.9129.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%62%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (5)100% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %4%6%0%
Wake Forest
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %67%88%25%
Points / game80.382.775.5
Allowed / game70.767.477.2
Point differential+9.6+15.3-1.8
Avg total151.0150.1152.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%75%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %8%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2419579%80.567.7+12.8
2 North Carolina2519676%82.371.0+11.3
3 Virginia2519676%65.658.4+7.3
4 SMU Mustangs2518772%76.665.2+11.5
5 Clemson2417771%78.971.7+7.2
6 Wake Forest2416867%80.370.7+9.6
7 Pittsburgh2416867%75.266.5+8.7
8 Syracuse2516964%76.074.7+1.4
9 NC State2415962%75.470.6+4.8
10 Virginia Tech24141058%74.369.7+4.7
11 Boston College24141058%75.872.6+3.2
12 Miami (FL)26151158%77.472.0+5.3
13 Florida State24131154%76.574.7+1.8
14 Stanford24121250%78.276.2+2.1
15 California25101540%74.676.2-1.6
16 Georgia Tech25101540%71.175.6-4.4
17 Notre Dame2591636%61.965.3-3.4
18 Louisville2581732%74.078.6-4.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Virginia212849
Wake Forest222547
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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