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North Carolina vs Virginia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 74-58
31-25 43-33
Position#41
Record10-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game71.4
vs
Position#135
Record9-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game63.6
Allowed / game57.7
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · North Carolina v Virginia
19 Jan 2027
NORT v VIRG
upcoming
22 Feb 2025
NORT81
VIRG66
25 Feb 2023
NORT71
VIRG63
10 Mar 2022
NORT63
VIRG43
08 Jan 2022
NORT74
VIRG58
15 Feb 2020
NORT62
VIRG64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virginia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#29
L
72-89
72
89
-17
H21/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#180
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H24/11
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
72-51
72
51
+21
H02/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
W
79-62
79
62
+17
A05/12
NCAA
Elon
#313
W
80-63
80
63
+17
H12/12
NCAA
Furman
#105
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H15/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
L
69-98
69
98
-29
A18/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
70-50
70
50
+20
H22/12
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
91-65
91
65
+26
A02/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-39
40-50
37-24
35-29
29-27
43-24
31-31
48-31
37-29
43-34
39-39
35-22
29-40
40-58
35-27
35-23
49-20
42-45
35-39
38-39
142.2Avg total
75.2Scored
67.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.171.4150.5+7.671%
Season at home (9)77.968.2146.1+9.778%
Season away (5)81.277.2158.4+4.060%
Last 10 (10)75.267.0142.2+8.270%
Last 5 (5)75.470.4145.8+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.595.5172.0-19.00%
vs Similar (17)73.868.5142.3+5.459%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.569.9154.4+14.591%
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#353
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A23/11
NCAA
Providence
#13
W
58-40
58
40
+18
A24/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#266
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H27/11
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H30/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
57-56
57
56
+1
H04/12
NCAA
James Madison
#178
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A07/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#359
W
82-49
82
49
+33
H18/12
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H23/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A01/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A05/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-34
34-21
30-15
28-25
25-21
36-22
30-44
44-31
30-26
27-30
14-24
35-28
34-19
48-30
27-35
23-32
33-33
41-36
36-37
39-28
121.6Avg total
64.5Scored
57.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)63.657.7121.4+5.964%
Season at home (8)65.457.5122.9+7.962%
Season away (6)61.358.0119.3+3.367%
Last 10 (10)64.557.1121.6+7.470%
Last 5 (5)66.060.4126.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)60.571.0131.5-10.50%
vs Similar (15)62.161.3123.4+0.953%
vs Weaker (13)69.255.8124.9+13.492%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +7.2+7.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.8+3.81st half: +0.2+0.22nd half2nd half: +4.4+4.42nd half: +7.2+7.2
North CarolinaVirginia
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee
#29
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H21/11
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#180
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H24/11
NCAA
Michigan
#159
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H02/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#298
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A05/12
NCAA
Elon
#313
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H12/12
NCAA
Furman
#105
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H15/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#34
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A18/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#156
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H22/12
NCAA
Boston College
#270
W
49-20
49
20
+29
A02/01
NCAA
Notre Dame
#72
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A06/01
NCAA
66.8Avg total
35.3Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.034.169.1+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.434.471.8+2.956%-
Last 30 away (12)31.533.565.0-2.025%-
Last 10 (10)35.331.566.8+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.433.070.4+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.040.572.5-8.50%-
vs Similar (17)32.833.466.1-0.641%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.134.073.1+5.155%-
This opponent (Virginia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VirginiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgia
#353
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A23/11
NCAA
Providence
#13
W
30-15
30
15
+15
A24/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#266
W
25-21
25
21
+4
H27/11
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H30/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#301
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H04/12
NCAA
James Madison
#178
L
14-24
14
24
-10
A07/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#359
W
34-19
34
19
+15
H18/12
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H23/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#205
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A01/01
NCAA
Clemson
#190
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A05/01
NCAA
57.8Avg total
29.0Scored
28.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.428.659.0+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.128.560.6+3.665%-
Last 30 away (13)28.228.656.8-0.538%-
Last 10 (10)29.028.857.8+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)28.829.658.4-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)26.540.066.5-13.50%-
vs Similar (15)29.530.960.4-1.333%-
vs Weaker (13)32.024.256.2+7.885%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
North Carolina wins
3
Virginia wins
DateGameScore
13/02/21Virginia v North Carolina60-48
16/02/20North Carolina v Virginia62-64
08/12/19Virginia v North Carolina56-47
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/22ANotre Dame73-78
02/01/22ABoston College91-65
22/12/21HAppalachian State70-50
18/12/21AKentucky69-98
15/12/21HFurman74-61
12/12/21HElon80-63
05/12/21AGeorgia Tech79-62
02/12/21HMichigan72-51
24/11/21HUNC Asheville72-53
21/11/21HTennessee72-89
Virginialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/22AClemson75-65
01/01/22ASyracuse74-69
23/12/21HClemson50-67
18/12/21HFairleigh Dickinson82-49
07/12/21AJames Madison49-52
04/12/21HPittsburgh57-56
30/11/21HIowa74-75
27/11/21HLehigh61-43
24/11/21AProvidence58-40
23/11/21AGeorgia65-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL71%
HomeWWWWW78%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %71%78%60%
Points / game79.177.981.2
Allowed / game71.468.277.2
Point differential+7.6+9.7+4.0
Avg total150.5146.1158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%67%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Virginia
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW64%
HomeWLWWL62%
AwayWWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %64%62%67%
Points / game63.665.461.3
Allowed / game57.757.558.0
Point differential+5.9+7.9+3.3
Avg total121.4122.9119.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1312192%84.063.8+20.2
2 Wake Forest1512380%80.268.3+11.9
3 Miami (FL)1512380%77.173.7+3.4
4 SMU Mustangs1511473%77.168.6+8.5
5 North Carolina1410471%79.171.4+7.6
6 Louisville1410471%71.066.4+4.6
7 Clemson1510567%74.265.9+8.3
8 Stanford128467%70.569.8+0.8
9 Virginia149564%63.657.7+5.9
10 Notre Dame138562%70.766.0+4.7
11 California159660%66.662.7+3.9
12 Florida State127558%73.268.1+5.1
13 Virginia Tech148657%70.558.7+11.8
14 Boston College126650%67.164.1+3.0
15 Syracuse147750%78.976.5+2.4
16 NC State168850%76.174.9+1.2
17 Georgia Tech135838%67.168.5-1.4
18 Pittsburgh145936%61.964.8-2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina314374
Virginia253358
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