Virtus Bologna vs Ferrara Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Apr 2010

Tip-off: 15:30

Final 68-63

20-15 12-9 18-25 18-14

Position#5

Record15-9

FormWLWWW

Points / game77.7

Allowed / game72.3

Virtus Bologna 🏆

Ferrara

Position#15

Record8-15

FormLLWWW

Points / game79.0

Allowed / game78.5

Lega A

Domestic2009-10

Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Ferrara

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ferrara winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Bologna Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

#14

79-66

+13

H07/02

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

117-46

117

+71

A14/02

Lega A

Caserta

88-78

+10

A18/02

Italian Cup

Avellino

73-61

+12

A20/02

Italian Cup

Siena

75-83

-8

H21/02

Italian Cup

Teramo

#13

77-67

+10

H28/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

71-73

-2

A07/03

Lega A

Varese

#10

80-67

+13

H14/03

Lega A

Avellino

82-79

A21/03

Lega A

Caserta

74-67

A28/03

Lega A

21-19

23-16

14-15

21-16

29-6

39-12

27-12

22-16

20-24

25-20

22-17

21-17

13-8

29-21

16-20

15-12

14-15

19-23

15-22

27-23

19-16

17-20

20-16

21-15

14-26

14-8

21-23

22-16

29-23

15-13

21-11

15-20

16-18

26-19

14-22

26-20

19-12

17-23

20-20

18-12

150.3Avg total

81.6Scored

68.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	77.7	72.3	150.0	+5.3	62%
Season at home (11)	77.9	70.6	148.5	+7.3	73%
Season away (13)	77.5	73.8	151.2	+3.7	54%
Last 10 (10)	81.6	68.7	150.3	+12.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	76.8	70.6	147.4	+6.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	71.2	84.2	155.4	-13.0	20%
vs Similar ◀ (17)	77.7	73.9	151.6	+3.8	59%
vs Weaker (7)	82.7	64.1	146.9	+18.6	86%

This opponent (Ferrara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ferrara

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

72-95

-23

A17/01

Lega A

Biella

#14

89-78

+11

H24/01

Lega A

Teramo

#13

69-71

-2

A31/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

56-66

-10

H07/02

Lega A

Cremona

#12

83-82

A13/02

Lega A

Virtus Roma

73-84

-11

A28/02

Lega A

Siena

63-71

-8

H07/03

Lega A

Avellino

78-63

+15

H14/03

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

176-50

176

+126

A21/03

Lega A

Varese

#10

77-60

+17

H28/03

Lega A

21-22

23-26

13-27

15-20

20-21

22-21

29-14

18-22

16-18

18-21

23-16

12-16

14-13

15-16

13-13

14-24

20-23

21-27

19-17

23-15

15-17

17-22

21-18

20-27

15-20

19-20

17-15

12-16

21-18

21-15

24-12

12-18

37-6

48-9

44-16

47-19

21-12

14-19

21-16

21-13

155.6Avg total

83.6Scored

72.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	79.0	78.5	157.5	+0.5	35%
Season at home (12)	76.6	77.3	153.9	-0.8	50%
Season away (11)	81.6	79.8	161.5	+1.8	18%
Last 10 (10)	83.6	72.0	155.6	+11.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	93.4	65.6	159.0	+27.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	69.2	85.8	155.0	-16.5	25%
vs Similar ◀ (23)	79.2	80.8	160.0	-1.6	43%
vs Weaker (3)	111.7	61.3	173.0	+50.3	100%

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus BolognaFerrara

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.4	17.8	37.2	+1.7	66%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.1	17.4	38.5	+3.7	77%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	18.1	36.1	+0.0	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	16.7	36.1	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	16.8	16.4	33.2	+0.4	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.7	19.1	37.8	-0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.9	14.7	37.6	+8.1	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	19.3	18.4	37.8	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	17.9	38.5	+2.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.8	19.1	36.9	-1.2	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	14.6	36.4	+7.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.0	21.2	38.2	-4.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	18.6	18.7	37.3	-0.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	27.3	13.0	40.3	+14.3	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.6	18.0	37.6	+1.6	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	17.7	36.2	+0.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.5	18.2	38.7	+2.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	17.5	39.9	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.6	34.4	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	15.8	22.6	38.4	-6.8	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.4	16.6	36.0	+2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	22.0	17.4	39.4	+4.6	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.5	20.4	40.8	+0.1	39%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	19.8	39.1	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.8	21.0	42.8	+0.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.6	41.4	+2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	17.0	40.8	+6.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.5	22.5	43.0	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	19.2	20.9	40.1	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	29.0	13.7	42.7	+15.3	100%	-

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

#14

44-35

H07/02

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

68-18

+50

A14/02

Lega A

Caserta

45-44

A18/02

Italian Cup

Avellino

42-29

+13

A20/02

Italian Cup

Siena

33-38

-5

H21/02

Italian Cup

Teramo

#13

36-36

H28/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

28-34

-6

A07/03

Lega A

Varese

#10

44-36

H14/03

Lega A

Avellino

42-37

A21/03

Lega A

Caserta

36-35

A28/03

Lega A

76.0Avg total

41.8Scored

34.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	39.0	35.7	74.7	+3.3	55%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.5	35.1	74.6	+4.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.6	36.2	74.8	+2.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	34.2	76.0	+7.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	35.6	72.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	32.6	39.0	71.6	-6.4	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	38.1	35.8	73.8	+2.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (7)	44.9	32.1	77.0	+12.7	86%	-

This opponent (Ferrara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FerraraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

44-48

-4

A17/01

Lega A

Biella

#14

42-42

H24/01

Lega A

Teramo

#13

34-39

-5

A31/01

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

29-29

H07/02

Lega A

Cremona

#12

41-50

-9

A13/02

Lega A

Virtus Roma

32-39

-7

A28/02

Lega A

Siena

34-40

-6

H07/03

Lega A

Avellino

42-33

H14/03

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

85-15

+70

A21/03

Lega A

Varese

#10

35-31

H28/03

Lega A

78.4Avg total

41.8Scored

36.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	39.8	38.8	78.6	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.9	37.7	77.6	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.6	40.1	79.7	-0.5	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	36.6	78.4	+5.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	31.6	77.2	+14.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.5	43.8	81.2	-6.2	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	37.9	39.6	77.4	-1.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	56.3	26.7	83.0	+29.7	100%	-

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.0	18.9	38.0	+0.1	41%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.0	17.8	35.8	+0.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.9	19.8	39.7	+0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.6	23.0	41.6	-4.4	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	44%	-
vs Weaker (7)	18.6	14.7	33.3	+3.9	57%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	46%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.4	19.0	39.4	+1.4	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	16.4	38.8	+6.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	15.4	40.8	+10.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.2	22.0	37.2	-6.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	20.2	18.8	39.0	+1.4	48%	-
vs Weaker (3)	25.0	18.3	43.3	+6.7	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.3	18.4	37.7	+1.0	59%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.0	18.2	39.2	+2.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	18.6	36.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	16.7	37.5	+4.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	16.6	37.0	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.0	22.2	42.2	-2.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	19.1	17.8	36.8	+1.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (7)	19.3	17.3	36.6	+2.0	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.9	19.5	40.4	+1.4	46%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	20.2	40.5	+0.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.6	18.7	40.3	+2.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	18.6	41.0	+3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.5	20.0	36.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (3)	30.3	16.3	46.7	+14.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.4	37.3	75.7	+1.1	55%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.0	36.0	75.0	+3.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.9	38.4	76.2	-0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	34.5	74.3	+5.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	35.0	74.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	38.6	45.2	83.8	-6.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	38.2	37.4	75.6	+0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (7)	37.9	32.0	69.9	+5.9	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	40.9	38.7	79.6	+2.2	54%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.0	39.5	79.5	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.0	37.7	79.7	+4.3	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.8	35.4	77.2	+6.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	34.0	81.8	+13.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	31.8	42.0	73.8	-10.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (21)	40.6	38.6	79.2	+2.0	52%	-
vs Weaker (3)	55.3	34.7	90.0	+20.7	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Bologna wins

Ferrara wins

Date	Game	Score
06/12/09	Ferrara v Virtus Bologna	73-90
19/04/09	Ferrara v Virtus Bologna	93-84
25/12/08	Virtus Bologna v Ferrara	78-63

Virtus Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/03/10	A	Caserta	74-67
21/03/10	A	Avellino	82-79
14/03/10	H	Varese	80-67
07/03/10	A	Olimpia Milano	71-73
28/02/10	H	Teramo	77-67
21/02/10	H	Siena	75-83
20/02/10	A	Avellino	73-61
18/02/10	A	Caserta	88-78
14/02/10	A	NSB Napoli	117-46
07/02/10	H	Biella	79-66

Ferraralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/03/10	H	Varese	77-60
21/03/10	A	NSB Napoli	176-50
14/03/10	H	Avellino	78-63
07/03/10	H	Siena	63-71
28/02/10	A	Virtus Roma	73-84
13/02/10	A	Cremona	83-82
07/02/10	H	Olimpia Milano	56-66
31/01/10	A	Teramo	69-71
24/01/10	H	Biella	89-78
17/01/10	A	Caserta	72-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	62%
Home	WWWWW	73%
Away	LWLWW	54%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	11	13
Win %	62%	73%	54%
Points / game	77.7	77.9	77.5
Allowed / game	72.3	70.6	73.8
Point differential	+5.3	+7.3	+3.7
Avg total	150.0	148.5	151.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	55%	23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	33% (3)	50% (6)
Overtime %	4%	9%	0%

Ferrara

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	35%
Home	WLLWW	50%
Away	LLWLW	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	12	11
Win %	35%	50%	18%
Points / game	79.0	76.6	81.6
Allowed / game	78.5	77.3	79.8
Point differential	+0.5	-0.8	+1.8
Avg total	157.5	153.9	161.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	25%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	-	20% (5)
Overtime %	9%	0%	18%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	24	23	1	96%	90.3	67.4	+22.9
2	Sutor Montegranaro	23	16	7	70%	81.8	78.0	+3.8
3	Caserta	23	15	8	65%	85.7	75.3	+10.4
4	Olimpia Milano	24	15	9	62%	80.2	73.4	+6.9
5	Virtus Bologna	24	15	9	62%	77.7	72.3	+5.3
6	Cantu	23	14	9	61%	78.8	73.9	+5.0
7	Virtus Roma	23	12	11	52%	80.3	75.6	+4.7
8	Avellino	23	12	11	52%	79.0	76.0	+3.0
9	Treviso	23	11	12	48%	85.4	80.0	+5.4
10	Teramo	23	10	13	43%	76.3	75.0	+1.3
11	Varese	23	10	13	43%	75.5	80.1	-4.6
12	Biella	23	9	14	39%	79.6	80.8	-1.2
13	Cremona	23	8	15	35%	82.2	81.0	+1.2
14	Ferrara	23	8	15	35%	79.0	78.5	+0.5
15	Pesaro	23	8	15	35%	81.4	82.6	-1.2
16	NSB Napoli	24	0	24	0%	56.0	118.1	-62.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Bologna	20	12	18	18	68
Ferrara	15	9	25	14	63

← all games of the day

Virtus Bologna vs Ferrara Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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