Ferrara vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Apr 2009

Tip-off: 16:15

Final 93-84

26-16 26-22 15-26 26-20

Position#8

Record11-15

FormLWWWW

Points / game77.2

Allowed / game78.8

Ferrara 🏆

Virtus Bologna

Position#6

Record17-9

FormWWWWL

Points / game78.4

Allowed / game76.8

Lega ARound 22

Domestic2008-09

Meetings · Ferrara v Virtus Bologna

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferrara winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Virtus Bologna winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ferrara

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#11

86-91

-5

A01/02

Lega A

Treviso

68-71

-3

A07/02

Lega A

Siena

75-103

103

-28

H15/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

74-76

-2

A01/03

Lega A

Avellino

#10

94-77

+17

H08/03

Lega A

Caserta

#14

66-84

-18

A15/03

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

86-73

+13

H21/03

Lega A

Virtus Roma

93-88

A29/03

Lega A

Udine

#16

93-75

+18

H05/04

Lega A

Cantu

79-76

A11/04

Lega A

22-26

22-20

19-20

23-25

15-26

21-13

18-19

14-13

23-31

18-25

20-27

14-20

24-21

11-21

18-18

21-16

26-21

17-17

22-18

29-21

15-23

16-17

20-32

15-12

22-18

15-12

24-10

25-33

16-25

23-19

24-20

30-24

27-17

22-17

20-24

24-17

13-22

24-12

15-22

27-20

162.8Avg total

81.4Scored

81.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	77.2	78.8	156.0	-1.7	42%
Season at home (12)	82.9	78.2	161.2	+4.7	58%
Season away (14)	72.3	79.4	151.6	-7.1	29%
Last 10 (10)	81.4	81.4	162.8	+0.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.4	79.2	162.6	+4.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	75.2	86.8	162.0	-11.5	50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	78.4	76.7	155.2	+1.7	44%
vs Weaker (4)	73.5	80.5	154.0	-7.0	25%

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Bologna Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oldenburg

64-73

-9

A03/03

EuroChallenge

NSB Napoli

#13

55-80

-25

A07/03

Lega A

BC Kiev

69-57

+12

A10/03

EuroChallenge

Cantu

73-62

+11

H15/03

Lega A

Bonn

#26

86-76

+10

A17/03

EuroChallenge

Bonn

#26

106-91

106

+15

H19/03

EuroChallenge

Virtus Roma

89-74

+15

H22/03

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

75-74

A29/03

Lega A

Caserta

#14

86-81

H04/04

Lega A

Siena

86-89 OT

-3

H16/04

Lega A

24-14

16-24

14-13

10-22

14-18

16-19

13-21

12-22

23-18

11-8

15-15

20-16

14-14

18-22

18-10

23-16

24-13

23-20

20-26

19-17

26-23

30-21

25-24

25-23

21-15

25-19

17-24

26-16

13-7

21-23

21-19

20-25

20-20

26-27

19-21

21-13

19-16

25-18

21-23

13-21

154.6Avg total

78.9Scored

75.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	78.4	76.8	155.3	+1.6	65%
Season at home (14)	81.8	72.8	154.6	+9.0	79%
Season away (12)	74.5	81.6	156.1	-7.1	50%
Last 10 (10)	78.9	75.7	154.6	+3.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	88.4	81.8	170.2	+6.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	85.3	90.0	175.3	-4.7	33%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	74.1	72.2	146.3	+1.8	58%
vs Weaker (15)	84.3	78.0	162.3	+6.3	80%

This opponent (Ferrara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FerraraVirtus Bologna

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	18.3	20.8	39.2	-2.5	31%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.3	19.8	41.1	+1.6	58%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.8	21.8	37.6	-6.0	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	23.0	43.3	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.0	39.6	-2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.5	23.5	39.0	-8.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.9	20.2	39.1	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.8	21.0	39.8	-2.2	25%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.9	17.9	36.9	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	18.2	38.1	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.8	17.6	35.5	+0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	15.8	35.6	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.2	36.0	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	19.0	37.7	-0.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.8	17.5	36.3	+1.3	42%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.1	18.1	37.2	+1.0	54%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	18.7	18.6	37.3	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.9	19.8	39.7	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	17.6	35.2	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.3	36.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	15.4	35.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.5	18.8	38.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.4	18.5	36.9	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	21.9	20.1	42.1	+1.8	61%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.9	19.0	42.9	+4.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.6	21.5	41.1	-1.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.1	41.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	21.6	47.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.0	21.3	44.3	+1.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.2	18.8	39.1	+1.4	67%	-
vs Weaker (13)	23.2	21.1	44.3	+2.2	54%	-

FerraraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#11

44-46

-2

A01/02

Lega A

Treviso

36-39

-3

A07/02

Lega A

Siena

41-56

-15

H15/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

35-42

-7

A01/03

Lega A

Avellino

#10

43-38

H08/03

Lega A

Caserta

#14

31-40

-9

A15/03

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

37-30

H21/03

Lega A

Virtus Roma

39-44

-5

A29/03

Lega A

Udine

#16

49-34

+15

H05/04

Lega A

Cantu

37-34

A11/04

Lega A

79.5Avg total

39.2Scored

40.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	37.0	39.5	76.5	-2.5	31%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	41.2	39.5	80.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.4	39.4	72.8	-6.1	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	40.3	79.5	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	36.4	75.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.0	42.2	77.2	-7.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	37.3	38.7	76.1	-1.4	33%	-
vs Weaker (4)	37.5	40.0	77.5	-2.5	25%	-

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oldenburg

40-38

A03/03

EuroChallenge

NSB Napoli

#13

30-37

-7

A07/03

Lega A

BC Kiev

34-26

A10/03

EuroChallenge

Cantu

32-36

-4

H15/03

Lega A

Bonn

#26

47-33

+14

A17/03

EuroChallenge

Bonn

#26

56-44

+12

H19/03

EuroChallenge

Virtus Roma

46-34

+12

H22/03

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

34-30

A29/03

Lega A

Caserta

#14

46-47

-1

H04/04

Lega A

Siena

44-34

+10

H16/04

Lega A

76.8Avg total

40.9Scored

35.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	40.9	38.1	78.9	+2.8	64%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.8	37.2	81.0	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.5	39.1	76.5	-1.6	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	35.9	76.8	+5.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	37.8	83.0	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	41.7	40.3	82.0	+1.3	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	39.1	36.3	75.4	+2.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (13)	42.3	39.2	81.5	+3.2	62%	-

This opponent (Ferrara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	19.2	19.7	38.9	-0.6	38%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.8	17.8	37.6	+2.1	58%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	21.4	40.0	-2.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.6	42.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.5	22.0	41.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.5	18.2	37.7	+1.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (4)	17.2	24.5	41.8	-7.2	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	18.4	18.3	36.7	+0.1	46%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	18.1	37.7	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.1	18.5	35.5	-1.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.6	37.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.2	42.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	24.7	42.7	-6.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	16.4	16.2	32.6	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.3	18.8	39.1	+1.5	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	20.6	19.3	39.9	+1.3	62%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.8	21.0	42.8	+0.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	17.9	37.4	+1.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.1	42.3	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	21.2	45.4	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	22.5	43.2	-1.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	21.0	19.3	40.3	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.8	16.0	34.8	+2.8	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	20.8	20.5	41.2	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-1.1	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.1	38.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.0	21.3	44.3	+1.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.6	19.8	38.3	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.2	20.9	43.2	+1.3	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	39.8	39.0	78.8	+0.7	46%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	41.7	38.8	80.4	+2.9	58%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.1	39.3	77.4	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	41.1	83.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	42.8	87.6	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.2	44.5	84.8	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	40.5	37.5	78.0	+3.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (4)	36.0	40.5	76.5	-4.5	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	39.1	38.8	77.9	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.3	37.4	77.7	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.8	40.3	78.2	-2.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	38.7	75.9	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	41.8	83.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	41.0	46.0	87.0	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	35.0	35.9	70.9	-0.9	42%	-
vs Weaker (13)	42.5	39.7	82.2	+2.8	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ferrara wins

Virtus Bologna wins

Date	Game	Score
25/12/08	Virtus Bologna v Ferrara	78-63

Ferraralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/04/09	A	Cantu	79-76
05/04/09	H	Udine	93-75
29/03/09	A	Virtus Roma	93-88
21/03/09	H	Fortitudo Bologna	86-73
15/03/09	A	Caserta	66-84
08/03/09	H	Avellino	94-77
01/03/09	A	Olimpia Milano	74-76
15/02/09	H	Siena	75-103
07/02/09	A	Treviso	68-71
01/02/09	A	Pesaro	86-91

Virtus Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/04/09	H	Siena	86-89 OT
04/04/09	H	Caserta	86-81
29/03/09	A	Fortitudo Bologna	75-74
22/03/09	H	Virtus Roma	89-74
19/03/09	H	Bonn	106-91
17/03/09	A	Bonn	86-76
15/03/09	H	Cantu	73-62
10/03/09	A	BC Kiev	69-57
07/03/09	A	NSB Napoli	55-80
03/03/09	A	Oldenburg	64-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferrara

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	42%
Home	WLWWW	58%
Away	LLLWW	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	12	14
Win %	42%	58%	29%
Points / game	77.2	82.9	72.3
Allowed / game	78.8	78.2	79.4
Point differential	-1.7	+4.7	-7.1
Avg total	156.0	161.2	151.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	42%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	45% (11)	33% (3)	50% (8)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

Virtus Bologna

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	65%
Home	WWWWL	79%
Away	LWWLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	14	12
Win %	65%	79%	50%
Points / game	78.4	81.8	74.5
Allowed / game	76.8	72.8	81.6
Point differential	+1.6	+9.0	-7.1
Avg total	155.3	154.6	156.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	64%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	33% (3)	100% (3)
Overtime %	8%	7%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	26	25	1	96%	88.4	71.9	+16.5
2	Virtus Bologna	26	17	9	65%	78.4	76.8	+1.6
3	Olimpia Milano	27	17	10	63%	77.7	73.6	+4.1
4	Virtus Roma	26	16	10	62%	85.3	80.9	+4.3
5	Teramo	26	16	10	62%	83.5	81.7	+1.7
6	Treviso	27	15	12	56%	76.3	75.0	+1.4
7	Cantu	26	13	13	50%	80.0	82.4	-2.3
8	Avellino	26	12	14	46%	77.5	75.4	+2.1
9	Biella	26	12	14	46%	83.1	82.7	+0.4
10	Ferrara	26	11	15	42%	77.2	78.8	-1.7
11	Sutor Montegranaro	26	11	15	42%	76.5	81.2	-4.7
12	Pesaro	27	11	16	41%	81.9	82.5	-0.6
13	Caserta	26	10	16	38%	75.2	80.3	-5.1
14	NSB Napoli	26	9	17	35%	72.3	78.2	-5.8
15	Fortitudo Bologna	27	9	18	33%	75.6	80.5	-4.9
16	Udine	26	6	20	23%	79.0	85.9	-7.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ferrara	26	26	15	26	93
Virtus Bologna	16	22	26	20	84

← all games of the day

Ferrara vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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