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Ferrara vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Mar 2010
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 78-63
21-18 21-15 24-12 12-18
Position#15
Record5-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game81.7
vs
Position#8
Record12-8
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game74.8
ItalyLega A
Domestic2009-10
Meetings · Ferrara v Avellino
14 Mar 2010
FER78
AVE63
08 Mar 2009
FER94
AVE77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferrara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FerraraItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#4
L
72-84
72
84
-12
H20/12
Lega A
Sutor Montegranaro
#6
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
A03/01
Lega A
Treviso
#9
W
102-95
102
95
+7
H09/01
Lega A
Caserta
#2
L
72-95
72
95
-23
A17/01
Lega A
Biella
#14
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H24/01
Lega A
Teramo
#13
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A31/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
L
56-66
56
66
-10
H07/02
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A13/02
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#7
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A28/02
Lega A
Siena
#1
L
63-71
63
71
-8
H07/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
14-17
23-24
22-25
19-19
20-21
19-25
22-15
26-15
26-29
27-24
23-27
21-22
23-26
13-27
15-20
20-21
22-21
29-14
18-22
16-18
18-21
23-16
12-16
14-13
15-16
13-13
14-24
20-23
21-27
19-17
23-15
15-17
17-22
21-18
20-27
15-20
19-20
17-15
12-16
158.5Avg total
76.7Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.381.7155.9-7.425%
Season at home (10)76.480.5156.9-4.140%
Season away (10)72.282.8155.0-10.610%
Last 10 (10)76.781.8158.5-5.130%
Last 5 (5)68.874.8143.6-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.285.8155.0-16.525%
vs Similar ◀ (23)80.382.0162.3-1.743%
vs Weaker (3)75.072.7147.7+2.367%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutor Montegranaro
#6
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H10/01
Lega A
Biella
#14
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A17/01
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H24/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#11
L
86-94
86
94
-8
A31/01
Lega A
NSB Napoli
#16
W
172-70
172
70
+102
H07/02
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#7
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H14/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A18/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
61-73
61
73
-12
H20/02
Italian Cup
Treviso
#9
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A27/02
Lega A
Varese
#10
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H07/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
24-16
16-24
23-13
22-25
25-18
9-24
23-16
16-17
17-10
19-13
19-23
23-20
22-26
23-31
18-17
43-15
35-16
48-22
46-17
17-18
13-13
28-9
16-16
17-13
11-13
16-16
15-13
8-13
21-29
20-16
12-15
19-22
20-21
15-11
10-19
19-28
15-15
20-16
22-8
152.5Avg total
82.2Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.074.8154.9+5.260%
Season at home (11)84.371.4155.6+12.982%
Season away (9)74.979.1154.0-4.233%
Last 10 (10)82.270.3152.5+11.960%
Last 5 (5)66.864.8131.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.680.8149.4-12.220%
vs Similar ◀ (16)75.178.2153.4-3.144%
vs Weaker (8)92.467.2159.6+25.1100%
This opponent (Ferrara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +4.7+4.7
FerraraAvellino
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FerraraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#4
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H20/12
Lega A
Sutor Montegranaro
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A03/01
Lega A
Treviso
#9
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H09/01
Lega A
Caserta
#2
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A17/01
Lega A
Biella
#14
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H24/01
Lega A
Teramo
#13
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A31/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#3
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H07/02
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A13/02
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A28/02
Lega A
Siena
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H07/03
Lega A
78.0Avg total
37.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)38.039.877.8-1.939%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.137.978.1+2.260%-
Last 30 away (13)35.542.077.5-6.515%-
Last 10 (10)37.440.678.0-3.210%-
Last 5 (5)34.039.473.4-5.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.543.881.2-6.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)38.039.877.8-1.843%-
vs Weaker (3)38.335.073.3+3.367%-
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutor Montegranaro
#6
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H10/01
Lega A
Biella
#14
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A17/01
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H24/01
Lega A
Pesaro
#11
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A31/01
Lega A
NSB Napoli
#16
W
78-31
78
31
+47
H07/02
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#7
L
30-31
30
31
-1
H14/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
28-26
28
26
+2
A18/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H20/02
Italian Cup
Treviso
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A27/02
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H07/03
Lega A
76.8Avg total
40.4Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.837.875.6-0.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.236.474.6+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)37.339.476.7-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)40.436.476.8+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)32.037.069.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.841.272.0-10.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)37.237.874.9-0.644%-
vs Weaker (8)44.537.281.8+7.250%-
This opponent (Ferrara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ferrara wins
1
Avellino wins
DateGameScore
14/11/09Avellino v Ferrara88-78 OT
08/03/09Ferrara v Avellino94-77
16/11/08Avellino v Ferrara66-70
Ferraralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/10HSiena63-71
28/02/10AVirtus Roma73-84
13/02/10ACremona83-82
07/02/10HOlimpia Milano56-66
31/01/10ATeramo69-71
24/01/10HBiella89-78
17/01/10ACaserta72-95
09/01/10HTreviso102-95
03/01/10ASutor Montegranaro88-92 OT
20/12/09HCantu72-84
Avellinolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/10HVarese76-67
27/02/10ATreviso64-73
20/02/10HVirtus Bologna61-73
18/02/10AOlimpia Milano59-55
14/02/10HVirtus Roma74-56
07/02/10HNSB Napoli172-70
31/01/10APesaro86-94
24/01/10HCremona71-63
17/01/10ABiella79-83
10/01/10HSutor Montegranaro80-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferrara
Lega A 2009-10
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeLWWLL40%
AwayLLLWL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %25%40%10%
Points / game74.376.472.2
Allowed / game81.780.582.8
Point differential-7.3-4.1-10.6
Avg total155.9156.9155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)-20% (5)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Avellino
Lega A 2009-10
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %60%82%33%
Points / game80.084.374.9
Allowed / game74.871.479.1
Point differential+5.2+12.9-4.2
Avg total154.9155.6154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%45%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %10%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena21210100%90.266.0+24.2
2 Caserta2114767%86.574.9+11.6
3 Sutor Montegranaro2114767%80.877.8+3.0
4 Olimpia Milano2113862%76.975.0+1.9
5 Avellino2012860%80.074.8+5.2
6 Virtus Bologna2112957%77.572.5+5.0
7 Cantu2112957%78.574.4+4.0
8 Virtus Roma20101050%81.175.7+5.4
9 Treviso20101050%82.282.5-0.3
10 Biella2091145%81.079.8+1.1
11 Varese2091145%76.080.2-4.2
12 Teramo2191243%77.275.1+2.1
13 Cremona2071335%83.180.8+2.4
14 Pesaro2071335%82.083.0-1.1
15 Ferrara2051525%74.381.7-7.3
16 NSB Napoli210210%58.0111.0-53.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ferrara2121241278
Avellino1815121863
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