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Virtus Bologna vs Lietkabelis Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-73
21-17 16-17 28-12 17-27
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#21
Record1-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game84.3
EuropeEurocupRound 6
European cup2020
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Lietkabelis
20 Apr 2022
VIR75
LIE67
20 Nov 2020
VIR82
LIE73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H07/10
Eurocup
Cremona
#9
L
92-95
92
95
-3
H10/10
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
82-66
82
66
+16
A13/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
L
67-77
67
77
-10
H18/10
Lega A
Monaco
#2
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H21/10
Eurocup
Varese
#12
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A24/10
Lega A
Antwerp Giants
#24
W
95-76
95
76
+19
A27/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#4
W
83-68
83
68
+15
A01/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
88-98
88
98
-10
H07/11
Lega A
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
89-83
89
83
+6
A11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
22-26
32-23
17-16
10-20
26-26
23-34
33-15
16-20
29-10
22-22
15-14
24-18
18-26
15-12
10-21
27-23
14-18
18-22
35-22
29-23
24-16
15-21
17-13
23-19
20-14
28-21
24-22
21-20
13-23
27-19
22-6
23-24
17-26
25-26
23-22
27-22
22-22
16-24
24-15
166.0Avg total
86.0Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)86.875.0161.8+11.8100%
Season at home (2)89.582.0171.5+7.5100%
Season away (4)85.571.5157.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.080.0166.0+6.070%
Last 5 (5)88.079.6167.6+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.075.0143.0-7.00%
vs Similar (6)86.885.3172.2+1.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)85.772.7158.4+12.987%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H30/09
Eurocup
Neptunas
#6
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H03/10
LKL
Monaco
#2
L
57-82
57
82
-25
A07/10
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
82-63
82
63
+19
A11/10
LKL
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
76-105
76
105
-29
H14/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#7
W
101-76
101
76
+25
H17/10
LKL
Antwerp Giants
#24
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H21/10
Eurocup
Juventus
#4
W
78-76
78
76
+2
A24/10
LKL
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A27/10
Eurocup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
90-94
90
94
-4
A18/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
11-17
3-17
23-23
15-22
29-23
22-21
21-16
17-17
17-18
8-35
15-12
13-10
27-18
17-15
25-20
13-27
26-32
11-23
26-23
17-18
32-14
25-22
27-22
19-20
23-15
18-23
20-15
20-17
20-25
16-16
22-18
19-15
19-24
14-19
14-18
18-29
20-23
24-20
28-22
158.1Avg total
77.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)71.784.3156.0-12.717%
Season at home (3)72.384.7157.0-12.333%
Season away (3)71.084.0155.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)77.880.3158.1-2.550%
Last 5 (5)83.079.0162.0+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)72.180.9153.0-8.729%
vs Similar (5)85.274.2159.4+11.080%
vs Weaker (18)78.871.8150.6+7.167%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: +3.2+3.2
Virtus BolognaLietkabelis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H07/10
Eurocup
Cremona
#9
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H10/10
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A13/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H18/10
Lega A
Monaco
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H21/10
Eurocup
Varese
#12
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A24/10
Lega A
Antwerp Giants
#24
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A27/10
Eurocup
Venezia
#4
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A01/11
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H07/11
Lega A
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A11/11
Eurocup
82.9Avg total
41.9Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.837.479.2+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.937.379.2+4.657%-
Last 30 away (16)41.637.579.1+4.162%-
Last 10 (10)41.941.082.9+0.940%-
Last 5 (5)43.841.885.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.045.078.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (6)40.743.384.0-2.717%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)42.435.578.0+6.974%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H30/09
Eurocup
Neptunas
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H03/10
LKL
Monaco
#2
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A07/10
Eurocup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A11/10
LKL
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H14/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#7
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H17/10
LKL
Antwerp Giants
#24
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H21/10
Eurocup
Juventus
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A24/10
LKL
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A27/10
Eurocup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A18/11
Eurocup
80.2Avg total
39.9Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.937.776.6+1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.537.379.8+5.160%-
Last 30 away (15)35.338.173.4-2.727%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.380.2-0.430%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.081.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.941.478.3-4.614%-
vs Similar (5)45.236.081.2+9.280%-
vs Weaker (18)37.936.774.7+1.244%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.7
55.2%
51.4%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.6
36.3%
36.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.013.8
72.6%
75.4%13.8
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.218.4
49.5%
51.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.0
34.6%
36.6%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.213.6
79.1%
75.4%13.6
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
WLWWWWLWLW
Lietkabelis
LLWWWLWLWL
#1
League position
#21
+7.9
Net rating
-2.8
112.6
Offensive rating
104.7
104.6
Defensive rating
107.6
54.9%
Effective FG%
50.5%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
18.3%
Turnover %
19.7%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.3%
3-point %
34.6%
69.6%
Assist %
53.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 104.7Defence104.6 · 107.6Shooting54.9% · 50.5%3-point %36.3% · 34.6%Ball care18.3% · 19.7%Off. rebounds32.0% · 31.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Lietkabelis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Virtus Bologna wins
0
Lietkabelis wins
DateGameScore
30/09/20Lietkabelis v Virtus Bologna61-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/20ALokomotiv Kuban89-83
07/11/20HBrindisi88-98
01/11/20AVenezia83-68
27/10/20AAntwerp Giants95-76
24/10/20AVarese85-73
21/10/20HMonaco94-85
18/10/20HReggiana67-77
13/10/20AMoraBanc Andorra82-66
10/10/20HCremona92-95
07/10/20HLokomotiv Kuban85-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/20ALokomotiv Kuban90-94
27/10/20AMoraBanc Andorra66-76
24/10/20AJuventus78-76
21/10/20HAntwerp Giants80-73
17/10/20HSiauliai101-76
14/10/20HLokomotiv Kuban76-105
11/10/20APieno Zvaigzdes82-63
07/10/20AMonaco57-82
03/10/20HNeptunas87-82
30/09/20HVirtus Bologna61-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Eurocup 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.889.585.5
Allowed / game75.082.071.5
Point differential+11.8+7.5+14.0
Avg total161.8171.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game71.772.371.0
Allowed / game84.384.784.0
Point differential-12.7-12.3-13.0
Avg total156.0157.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna660100%86.875.0+11.8
2 Lokomotiv Kuban86275%91.079.9+11.1
3 Unicaja86275%87.879.8+8.0
4 Trento86275%80.573.5+7.0
5 Gran Canaria86275%84.479.1+5.2
6 Joventut Badalona75271%85.380.7+4.6
7 Levallois75271%81.777.9+3.9
8 Monaco64267%82.074.3+7.7
9 Unics Kazan85362%85.481.6+3.8
10 JL Bourg53260%83.681.0+2.6
11 Cedevita Olimpija74357%81.375.7+5.6
12 Partizan74357%81.782.4-0.7
13 MoraBanc Andorra63350%72.072.5-0.5
14 Buducnost63350%81.783.0-1.3
15 Nanterre73443%79.482.9-3.4
16 Venezia52340%82.287.4-5.2
17 Ulm83538%78.477.1+1.2
18 Mornar Bar83538%78.082.1-4.1
19 Promitheas62433%78.384.5-6.2
20 Brescia72529%76.685.1-8.6
21 Lietkabelis61517%71.784.3-12.7
22 Bahcesehir Kol.81712%78.984.4-5.5
23 Bursaspor6060%82.395.0-12.7
24 Antwerp Giants8080%71.987.8-15.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna2116281782
Lietkabelis1717122773
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