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Varese vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 73-85
23-29 16-24 21-15 13-17
Position#12
Record2-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Position#1
Record2-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game79.2
ItalyLega ARound 5
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Varese v Virtus Bologna
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upcoming
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17 Feb 2013
VAR78
VIR61
04 Mar 2012
VAR86
VIR63
28 Nov 2010
VAR91
VIR81
15 Nov 2009
VAR68
VIR78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-110
77
110
-33
H29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
L
88-89
88
89
-1
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-91
77
91
-14
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
102-100
102
100
+2
H13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#11
W
94-89 OT
94
89
+5
H27/09
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
88-83
88
83
+5
A04/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H11/10
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
67-80
67
80
-13
A17/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-32
25-27
19-33
17-18
31-22
20-25
22-19
15-23
24-22
14-16
24-20
22-19
18-22
17-19
19-21
18-19
20-19
21-23
18-25
18-24
33-29
17-24
32-30
20-17
17-23
16-20
26-16
22-22
29-22
14-23
19-22
26-16
29-23
15-21
20-14
16-32
18-26
15-21
16-15
18-18
171.9Avg total
82.9Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.285.5167.8-3.250%
Season at home (2)87.089.5176.5-2.550%
Season away (2)77.581.5159.0-4.050%
Last 10 (10)82.989.0171.9-6.140%
Last 5 (5)86.288.4174.6-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)78.290.6168.8-12.311%
vs Similar (9)83.787.1170.8-3.444%
vs Weaker (12)84.574.8159.2+9.867%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
W
88-76
88
76
+12
A18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A20/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H27/09
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#21
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A30/09
Eurocup
Brescia
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A04/10
Lega A
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H07/10
Eurocup
Cremona
#9
L
92-95
92
95
-3
H10/10
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
82-66
82
66
+16
A13/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
L
67-77
67
77
-10
H18/10
Lega A
Monaco
#2
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H21/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
21-18
22-17
26-17
16-21
17-24
18-8
17-22
25-15
20-15
20-14
19-21
19-24
17-11
17-3
23-23
23-24
24-24
12-12
22-20
14-14
22-26
32-23
17-16
10-20
26-26
23-34
33-15
16-20
29-10
22-22
15-14
24-18
18-26
15-12
10-21
27-23
14-18
18-22
35-22
157.6Avg total
81.7Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.079.2160.2+1.850%
Season at home (3)81.079.0160.0+2.033%
Season away (1)81.080.0161.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.775.9157.6+5.870%
Last 5 (5)84.080.4164.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.075.0143.0-7.00%
vs Similar (4)86.082.8168.8+3.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)84.673.1157.6+11.584%
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +2.6+2.6
VareseVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
41-59
41
59
-18
H29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A10/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#10
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Brescia
#11
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H27/09
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A04/10
Lega A
Cantu
#15
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H11/10
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A17/10
Lega A
86.8Avg total
40.9Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.384.0-0.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.341.684.9+1.750%-
Last 30 away (16)40.342.983.2-2.625%-
Last 10 (10)40.945.986.8-5.010%-
Last 5 (5)40.646.487.0-5.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)39.146.885.9-7.711%-
vs Similar (9)40.742.082.7-1.333%-
vs Weaker (12)44.439.183.5+5.358%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#5
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A20/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H27/09
Lega A
Lietkabelis
#21
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A30/09
Eurocup
Brescia
#11
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A04/10
Lega A
Lokomotiv Kuban
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H07/10
Eurocup
Cremona
#9
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H10/10
Lega A
MoraBanc Andorra
#14
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A13/10
Eurocup
Reggiana
#13
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H18/10
Lega A
Monaco
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H21/10
Eurocup
80.2Avg total
40.1Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.837.378.1+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.936.978.8+4.960%-
Last 30 away (15)39.737.777.5+2.053%-
Last 10 (10)40.140.180.2+0.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.040.280.2-0.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.045.078.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (4)38.841.580.2-2.80%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.436.477.8+5.168%-
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.015.3
52.8%
51.2%30.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.412.0
38.2%
35.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws17.313.9
80.3%
75.8%13.9
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.223.2
56.3%
51.2%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.98.1
38.8%
35.9%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.213.9
68.8%
75.8%13.9
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LLWWWLLWLL
Virtus Bologna
WLWLWWWWLW
#12
League position
#1
-2.1
Net rating
+12.1
114.6
Offensive rating
113.8
116.7
Defensive rating
101.7
55.1%
Effective FG%
56.9%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
16.9%
Turnover %
18.7%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.2%
3-point %
38.8%
60.4%
Assist %
76.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence114.6 · 113.8Defence116.7 · 101.7Shooting55.1% · 56.9%3-point %38.2% · 38.8%Ball care16.9% · 18.7%Off. rebounds25.9% · 30.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Varese   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Varese wins
6
Virtus Bologna wins
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/20ACremona67-80
11/10/20HCantu80-90
04/10/20AFortitudo Bologna88-83
27/09/20HBrescia94-89 OT
13/09/20HBrescia102-100
10/09/20AOlimpia Milano77-91
07/09/20ACantu72-81
04/09/20HCantu84-77
01/09/20ABrescia88-89
29/08/20HOlimpia Milano77-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/20HMonaco94-85
18/10/20HReggiana67-77
13/10/20AMoraBanc Andorra82-66
10/10/20HCremona92-95
07/10/20HLokomotiv Kuban85-79
04/10/20ABrescia81-80
30/09/20ALietkabelis76-61
27/09/20HCantu84-65
20/09/20AOlimpia Milano68-75
18/09/20ASassari88-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game82.287.077.5
Allowed / game85.589.581.5
Point differential-3.2-2.5-4.0
Avg total167.8176.5159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %25%50%0%
Virtus Bologna
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWLL33%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%33%100%
Points / game81.081.081.0
Allowed / game79.279.080.0
Point differential+1.8+2.0+1.0
Avg total160.2160.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano440100%92.867.8+25.0
2 Brindisi43175%84.575.2+9.2
3 Sassari43175%87.079.2+7.8
4 Venezia43175%76.272.5+3.8
5 Brescia42250%84.581.2+3.2
6 Virtus Bologna42250%81.079.2+1.8
7 Reggiana42250%77.878.8-1.0
8 Trieste42250%76.077.8-1.8
9 Cantu42250%75.877.8-2.0
10 Varese42250%82.285.5-3.2
11 Cremona42250%79.586.0-6.5
12 Fortitudo Bologna41325%84.582.0+2.5
13 Pesaro41325%76.079.8-3.8
14 Trento41325%75.580.2-4.8
15 Treviso41325%79.594.2-14.8
16 Virtus Roma41325%72.888.2-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2316211373
Virtus Bologna2924151785
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