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Lietkabelis vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Sep 2020
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 61-76
24-19 11-17 3-17 23-23
Position#21
Record-
FormWLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Lietkabelis
vs
Virtus Bologna 🏆
Position#1
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEurocupRound 1
European cup2020
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lietkabelis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LietkabelisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#4
W
102-64
102
64
+38
H11/01
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A18/01
LKL
CBet
#6
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H25/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H01/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#10
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A08/02
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A29/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H07/03
LKL
CBet
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
H20/09
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
L
70-76
70
76
-6
A24/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
72-61
72
61
+11
A27/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-14
22-21
32-14
18-15
17-22
15-27
25-19
20-21
19-18
25-9
12-17
20-18
20-17
23-11
14-21
28-20
19-18
19-16
23-10
12-21
22-27
18-14
21-22
23-15
17-16
15-20
12-28
23-17
17-26
28-24
27-16
12-21
16-25
14-17
18-19
22-15
13-19
20-17
29-11
10-14
152.2Avg total
79.0Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.073.2152.2+5.860%
Last 5 (5)75.476.6152.0-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)74.776.3151.0-1.767%
vs Similar (5)84.075.2159.2+8.860%
vs Weaker (22)79.173.4152.5+5.768%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#17
W
106-89
106
89
+17
H01/02
Lega A
Cremona
#14
W
87-66
87
66
+21
A29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
W
79-75 OT
79
75
+4
H01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
W
87-73
87
73
+14
A04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#14
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H09/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
W
88-76
88
76
+12
A18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
68-75
68
75
-7
A20/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H27/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
27-22
29-11
25-31
17-22
21-10
24-24
25-10
11-15
23-7
15-29
19-17
18-24
17-22
31-11
21-16
11-14
15-22
34-27
24-23
19-15
25-15
13-13
22-13
17-18
22-9
19-25
16-20
19-24
21-18
22-17
26-17
16-21
17-24
18-8
17-22
25-15
20-15
20-14
19-21
156.9Avg total
83.6Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.673.3156.9+10.380%
Last 5 (5)78.668.8147.4+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.073.5149.5+2.550%
vs Similar (3)82.382.3164.7+0.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)85.472.9158.2+12.592%
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
LietkabelisVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LietkabelisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#4
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H11/01
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
32-49
32
49
-17
A18/01
LKL
CBet
#6
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H25/01
LKL
Nevezis
#9
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H01/02
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A08/02
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A29/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#7
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H07/03
LKL
CBet
#5
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H20/09
LKL
Nevezis-OPTIBET
#10
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A24/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A27/09
LKL
76.7Avg total
38.9Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.937.376.2+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.235.277.4+7.071%-
Last 30 away (16)36.139.175.2-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)38.937.876.7+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.041.077.0-5.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)39.739.078.7+0.733%-
vs Similar (5)44.437.081.4+7.460%-
vs Weaker (22)37.637.174.7+0.550%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#17
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H01/02
Lega A
Cremona
#14
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A29/08
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H01/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A04/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Fortitudo Bologna
#8
L
26-36
26
36
-10
H07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#14
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H09/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#9
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#5
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A18/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A20/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cantu
#15
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H27/09
Lega A
74.3Avg total
38.6Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.236.077.3+5.267%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.234.877.0+7.480%-
Last 30 away (15)40.337.377.5+3.053%-
Last 10 (10)38.635.774.3+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.234.875.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.041.080.0-2.050%-
vs Similar (3)39.342.081.3-2.70%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)41.634.976.6+6.776%-
This opponent (Lietkabelis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lietkabelistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lietkabelis: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.7 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.016.3
48.0%
51.4%32.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.710.0
39.0%
36.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws17.012.0
70.6%
75.4%12.0
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 89.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
49%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.423.0
59.9%
51.4%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.210.2
40.5%
36.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws17.912.4
69.3%
75.4%12.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/10 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lietkabelis
WLLLWWWWLW
Virtus Bologna
WLWWWLWWWW
#21
League position
#1
+0.9
Net rating
+21.8
103.9
Offensive rating
119.7
103.0
Defensive rating
97.9
52.5%
Effective FG%
60.2%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
45.6%
21.2%
Turnover %
18.6%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
39.0%
3-point %
40.5%
59.5%
Assist %
69.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 119.7Defence103.0 · 97.9Shooting52.5% · 60.2%3-point %39.0% · 40.5%Ball care21.2% · 18.6%Off. rebounds28.8% · 31.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Lietkabelis   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lietkabelis wins
0
Virtus Bologna wins
No previous meetings.
Lietkabelislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/20AZalgiris Kaunas72-61
24/09/20ANevezis-OPTIBET70-76
20/09/20HCBet84-87
07/03/20HPieno Zvaigzdes67-81
29/02/20ANeptunas84-78
08/02/20AAlytaus Dzukija73-65
01/02/20HNevezis85-69
25/01/20HCBet76-62
18/01/20AJuventus77-89
11/01/20HNeptunas102-64
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/20HCantu84-65
20/09/20AOlimpia Milano68-75
18/09/20ASassari88-76
13/09/20AReggiana74-72
09/09/20HCremona79-56
07/09/20HFortitudo Bologna84-86
04/09/20AFortitudo Bologna87-73
01/09/20HReggiana79-75 OT
29/08/20ACremona87-66
01/02/20HPesaro106-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lietkabelis
Eurocup 2020
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Virtus Bologna
Eurocup 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost110100%93.081.0+12.0
2 Unicaja110100%96.088.0+8.0
3 Trento110100%93.086.0+7.0
4 Bursaspor1010%86.093.0-7.0
5 Levallois1010%88.096.0-8.0
6 Brescia1010%81.093.0-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lietkabelis241132361
Virtus Bologna1917172376
← all games of the day
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