Virtus Roma vs Ferrara Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2009

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 88-93

25-16 19-23 20-24 24-30

Position#2

Record15-8

FormLLWWL

Points / game85.6

Allowed / game80.7

Virtus Roma

Ferrara 🏆

Position#8

Record8-15

FormLLWLW

Points / game75.7

Allowed / game78.7

Lega ARound 22

Domestic2008-09

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Ferrara

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ferrara winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

78-72

H08/02

Lega A

Panathinaikos

67-92

-25

A12/02

Euroleague

Teramo

77-86

-9

A15/02

Lega A

Panathinaikos

71-90

-19

H26/02

Euroleague

Udine

#16

83-70

+13

H01/03

Lega A

Unicaja

64-99

-35

A04/03

Euroleague

Siena

88-93

-5

A08/03

Lega A

Partizan

#10

88-72

+16

H11/03

Euroleague

Pesaro

#11

98-76

+22

H15/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

74-89

-15

A22/03

Lega A

17-24

23-12

25-20

13-16

25-22

14-22

8-22

20-26

29-22

16-21

7-16

25-27

20-20

18-25

21-23

12-22

22-21

20-12

23-23

18-14

15-31

15-24

15-25

19-19

22-30

28-24

17-25

21-14

26-23

23-11

18-18

21-20

25-19

24-17

21-16

28-24

15-21

19-25

24-17

16-26

162.7Avg total

78.8Scored

83.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	85.6	80.7	166.3	+4.8	65%
Season at home (11)	86.4	77.6	164.0	+8.7	82%
Season away (12)	84.8	83.6	168.4	+1.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	78.8	83.9	162.7	-5.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	85.8	168.2	-3.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	75.6	93.3	168.9	-17.7	0%
vs Similar (7)	83.0	80.6	163.6	+2.4	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	83.7	78.2	161.9	+5.4	75%

This opponent (Ferrara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ferrara

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NSB Napoli

#13

105-64

105

+41

H11/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

71-69 OT

A18/01

Lega A

Teramo

91-88

H25/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

86-91

-5

A01/02

Lega A

Treviso

68-71

-3

A07/02

Lega A

Siena

75-103

103

-28

H15/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

74-76

-2

A01/03

Lega A

Avellino

#10

94-77

+17

H08/03

Lega A

Caserta

#14

66-84

-18

A15/03

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

86-73

+13

H21/03

Lega A

24-10

34-10

20-22

27-22

18-21

14-13

10-15

18-11

23-24

24-19

23-25

21-20

22-26

22-20

19-20

23-25

15-26

21-13

18-19

14-13

23-31

18-25

20-27

14-20

24-21

11-21

18-18

21-16

26-21

17-17

22-18

29-21

15-23

16-17

20-32

15-12

22-18

15-12

24-10

25-33

161.2Avg total

81.6Scored

79.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	75.7	78.7	154.5	-3.0	35%
Season at home (11)	82.0	78.5	160.5	+3.5	55%
Season away (12)	70.0	78.9	148.9	-8.9	17%
Last 10 (10)	81.6	79.6	161.2	+2.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	82.6	161.6	-3.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	69.3	86.3	155.7	-17.0	33%
vs Similar (17)	78.4	76.8	155.2	+1.6	41%
vs Weaker (3)	67.0	82.3	149.3	-15.3	0%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaFerrara

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.2	41.7	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	19.7	40.1	+0.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	22.9	43.4	-2.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	23.3	44.9	-1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	24.8	45.4	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.1	24.1	43.3	-5.0	29%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.1	20.7	42.9	+1.4	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	20.3	20.1	40.4	+0.2	44%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	18.3	20.8	39.1	-2.5	30%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.8	20.0	40.8	+0.8	55%	-
Last 30 away (12)	16.0	21.5	37.5	-5.5	8%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	22.1	43.3	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	22.8	44.8	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	15.3	23.0	38.3	-7.7	33%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.2	20.1	39.4	-0.9	35%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.0	22.3	38.3	-6.3	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.3	38.8	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	18.0	38.3	+2.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	20.9	39.4	-2.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	19.3	39.3	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	19.3	23.4	42.7	-4.1	14%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.7	17.6	37.3	+2.1	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	19.5	18.3	37.8	+1.2	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	18.1	19.0	37.0	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.7	20.0	39.7	-0.3	45%	-
Last 30 away (12)	16.6	18.0	34.6	-1.4	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	16.7	35.9	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	18.4	33.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (17)	18.1	18.9	37.0	-0.8	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.7	19.7	37.3	-2.0	33%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Biella

40-36

H08/02

Lega A

Panathinaikos

39-44

-5

A12/02

Euroleague

Teramo

45-43

A15/02

Lega A

Panathinaikos

38-45

-7

H26/02

Euroleague

Udine

#16

42-33

H01/03

Lega A

Unicaja

30-55

-25

A04/03

Euroleague

Siena

50-54

-4

A08/03

Lega A

Partizan

#10

49-34

+15

H11/03

Euroleague

Pesaro

#11

49-36

+13

H15/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

34-46

-12

A22/03

Lega A

84.2Avg total

41.6Scored

42.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	40.5	80.5	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	37.7	78.4	+3.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	43.8	82.9	-4.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	42.6	84.2	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	45.0	87.4	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	38.4	47.6	86.0	-9.1	14%	-
vs Similar (7)	41.9	38.3	80.1	+3.6	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	39.8	38.4	78.2	+1.4	69%	-

This opponent (Ferrara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

FerraraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NSB Napoli

#13

58-20

+38

H11/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

32-34

-2

A18/01

Lega A

Teramo

47-43

H25/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

44-46

-2

A01/02

Lega A

Treviso

36-39

-3

A07/02

Lega A

Siena

41-56

-15

H15/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

35-42

-7

A01/03

Lega A

Avellino

#10

43-38

H08/03

Lega A

Caserta

#14

31-40

-9

A15/03

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

37-30

H21/03

Lega A

79.2Avg total

40.4Scored

38.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	36.4	39.7	76.1	-3.3	26%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	40.5	40.0	80.5	+0.5	45%	-
Last 30 away (12)	32.6	39.5	72.1	-6.9	8%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	38.8	79.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	41.2	78.6	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	33.7	41.7	75.3	-8.0	33%	-
vs Similar (17)	37.4	39.0	76.4	-1.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (3)	33.7	42.0	75.7	-8.3	0%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.3	38.2	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	19.1	39.7	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.9	19.6	36.5	-2.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	20.5	38.4	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.0	22.4	40.4	-4.4	14%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.3	18.7	36.0	-1.4	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	19.9	18.2	38.2	+1.7	56%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	19.1	19.4	38.5	-0.3	39%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.8	17.2	37.0	+2.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.4	21.5	39.9	-3.1	17%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.0	22.7	40.7	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar (17)	19.8	17.9	37.7	+1.8	47%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.3	24.7	41.0	-8.3	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	18.4	36.8	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.8	21.5	44.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.8	40.1	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.6	20.7	38.3	-3.1	29%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.9	21.0	42.9	+0.9	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.1	18.9	40.1	+2.2	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.3	64%	-
Last 30 away (12)	18.1	17.2	35.2	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	17.7	22.0	39.7	-4.3	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	20.6	19.3	39.9	+1.4	65%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	15.7	32.7	+1.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	39.2	78.5	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.1	37.4	76.5	+1.6	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.6	41.1	80.8	-1.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	41.3	78.5	-4.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	40.8	80.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.6	43.1	78.7	-7.6	14%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.1	39.7	78.9	-0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	41.1	37.2	78.2	+3.9	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (23)	38.9	38.6	77.5	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	41.5	38.5	80.0	+2.9	55%	-
Last 30 away (12)	36.5	38.7	75.2	-2.2	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	39.9	80.0	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	41.4	83.0	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	35.7	44.7	80.3	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (17)	40.4	37.2	77.6	+3.2	59%	-
vs Weaker (3)	33.3	40.3	73.7	-7.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Ferrara wins

Date	Game	Score
07/12/08	Ferrara v Virtus Roma	73-67

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/03/09	A	Virtus Bologna	74-89
15/03/09	H	Pesaro	98-76
11/03/09	H	Partizan	88-72
08/03/09	A	Siena	88-93
04/03/09	A	Unicaja	64-99
01/03/09	H	Udine	83-70
26/02/09	H	Panathinaikos	71-90
15/02/09	A	Teramo	77-86
12/02/09	A	Panathinaikos	67-92
08/02/09	H	Biella	78-72

Ferraralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
21/03/09	H	Fortitudo Bologna	86-73
15/03/09	A	Caserta	66-84
08/03/09	H	Avellino	94-77
01/03/09	A	Olimpia Milano	74-76
15/02/09	H	Siena	75-103
07/02/09	A	Treviso	68-71
01/02/09	A	Pesaro	86-91
25/01/09	H	Teramo	91-88
18/01/09	A	Sutor Montegranaro	71-69 OT
11/01/09	H	NSB Napoli	105-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	65%
Home	WWWWW	82%
Away	WWLLL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	65%	82%	50%
Points / game	85.6	86.4	84.8
Allowed / game	80.7	77.6	83.6
Point differential	+4.8	+8.7	+1.2
Avg total	166.3	164.0	168.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	55%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	17%	27%	8%

Ferrara

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	35%
Home	WWLWW	55%
Away	WLLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	11	12
Win %	35%	55%	17%
Points / game	75.7	82.0	70.0
Allowed / game	78.7	78.5	78.9
Point differential	-3.0	+3.5	-8.9
Avg total	154.5	160.5	148.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	36%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (9)	33% (3)	33% (6)
Overtime %	4%	0%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	23	22	1	96%	88.7	71.3	+17.5
2	Virtus Bologna	24	16	8	67%	77.8	76.2	+1.6
3	Virtus Roma	23	15	8	65%	85.6	80.7	+4.8
4	Teramo	24	15	9	62%	83.1	81.0	+2.2
5	Olimpia Milano	24	14	10	58%	77.1	73.6	+3.5
6	Treviso	24	14	10	58%	76.9	75.1	+1.8
7	Cantu	24	12	12	50%	79.3	82.1	-2.8
8	Pesaro	24	11	13	46%	82.0	81.4	+0.6
9	Biella	24	11	13	46%	83.0	82.5	+0.5
10	Avellino	23	10	13	43%	77.3	75.6	+1.7
11	Sutor Montegranaro	23	10	13	43%	74.5	79.7	-5.2
12	NSB Napoli	24	9	15	38%	73.0	77.7	-4.7
13	Caserta	24	9	15	38%	74.4	80.0	-5.6
14	Ferrara	23	8	15	35%	75.7	78.7	-3.0
15	Fortitudo Bologna	23	7	16	30%	74.3	80.4	-6.1
16	Udine	24	6	18	25%	79.7	85.9	-6.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	25	19	20	24	88
Ferrara	16	23	24	30	93

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Ferrara Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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