Ferrara vs Avellino Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2009

Tip-off: 17:15

Final 94-77

26-21 17-17 22-18 29-21

Position#8

Record6-14

FormWLLLL

Points / game74.8

Allowed / game78.8

Ferrara 🏆

Avellino

Position#10

Record9-11

FormWLLLL

Points / game76.8

Allowed / game74.5

Lega A

Domestic2008-09

Meetings · Ferrara v Avellino

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferrara winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Avellino winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ferrara

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

92-94

-2

H21/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

63-78

-15

A25/12

Lega A

Biella

93-98

-5

A04/01

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

105-64

105

+41

H11/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

71-69 OT

A18/01

Lega A

Teramo

91-88

H25/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

86-91

-5

A01/02

Lega A

Treviso

68-71

-3

A07/02

Lega A

Siena

75-103

103

-28

H15/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

74-76

-2

A01/03

Lega A

22-22

20-30

21-15

29-27

18-18

17-23

14-23

14-14

20-27

23-15

21-23

29-33

24-10

34-10

20-22

27-22

18-21

14-13

10-15

18-11

23-24

24-19

23-25

21-20

22-26

22-20

19-20

23-25

15-26

21-13

18-19

14-13

23-31

18-25

20-27

14-20

24-21

11-21

18-18

21-16

165.0Avg total

81.8Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	74.8	78.8	153.6	-4.0	30%
Season at home (9)	80.2	79.3	159.6	+0.9	44%
Season away (11)	70.4	78.5	148.8	-8.1	18%
Last 10 (10)	81.8	83.2	165.0	-1.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	78.8	85.8	164.6	-7.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	69.3	86.3	155.7	-17.0	33%
vs Similar ◀ (15)	76.9	77.0	153.9	-0.1	33%
vs Weaker (2)	67.5	81.5	149.0	-14.0	0%

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Avellino

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#11

82-78

H04/01

Lega A

Le Mans

#20

88-92

-4

A07/01

Euroleague

Virtus Roma

90-93 OT

-3

A11/01

Lega A

Cibona

#12

79-75

H15/01

Euroleague

Caserta

#14

85-58

+27

H18/01

Lega A

Treviso

83-73

+10

H24/01

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

74-79

-5

A01/02

Lega A

Cantu

61-65

-4

H08/02

Lega A

Biella

78-81

-3

A15/02

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

64-65

-1

H28/02

Lega A

17-22

11-8

26-13

28-35

19-27

18-23

16-23

35-19

24-18

21-18

19-23

18-23

13-18

28-18

12-15

26-24

16-11

21-15

18-19

30-13

23-21

20-23

20-18

20-11

17-16

21-16

18-22

18-25

12-14

19-16

17-17

13-18

30-21

15-19

14-24

19-17

17-13

15-16

18-16

14-20

154.3Avg total

78.4Scored

75.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	76.8	74.5	151.3	+2.3	45%
Season at home (11)	75.9	73.1	149.0	+2.8	45%
Season away (9)	78.0	76.2	154.2	+1.8	44%
Last 10 (10)	78.4	75.9	154.3	+2.5	40%
Last 5 (5)	72.0	72.6	144.6	-0.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	74.6	83.8	158.4	-9.1	12%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	75.0	73.5	148.5	+1.5	50%
vs Weaker (6)	82.3	76.3	158.7	+6.0	50%

This opponent (Ferrara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FerraraAvellino

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	17.9	20.8	38.7	-2.9	25%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	20.1	20.1	40.2	+0.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (11)	16.1	21.4	37.5	-5.3	9%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	22.6	43.5	-1.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	25.6	47.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	15.3	23.0	38.3	-7.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.6	27%	-
vs Weaker (2)	16.5	22.0	38.5	-5.5	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.8	38.2	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	17.2	36.4	+1.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.1	36.9	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	17.0	36.8	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.7	19.1	37.8	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.2	14.3	34.5	+5.8	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	18.4	19.5	37.9	-1.1	45%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.7	44%	-
Last 30 away (11)	16.6	18.1	34.7	-1.5	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.9	39.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.3	18.7	37.0	-0.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	18.4	19.5	37.9	-1.1	47%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	21.0	39.5	-2.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	16.7	34.3	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	17.1	34.7	+0.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	16.2	33.9	+1.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.2	36.1	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.0	19.5	35.5	-3.5	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	17.2	15.4	32.6	+1.8	56%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.0	16.3	37.3	+4.7	83%	-

FerraraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

42-52

-10

H21/12

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

35-41

-6

A25/12

Lega A

Biella

43-42

A04/01

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

58-20

+38

H11/01

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

#12

32-34

-2

A18/01

Lega A

Teramo

47-43

H25/01

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

44-46

-2

A01/02

Lega A

Treviso

36-39

-3

A07/02

Lega A

Siena

41-56

-15

H15/02

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

35-42

-7

A01/03

Lega A

82.8Avg total

41.3Scored

41.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	36.3	40.3	76.6	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	40.7	41.3	82.0	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (11)	32.7	39.5	72.2	-6.7	9%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	41.5	82.8	-0.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	45.2	85.8	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	33.7	41.7	75.3	-8.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	37.0	39.7	76.7	-2.7	20%	-
vs Weaker (2)	35.0	43.0	78.0	-8.0	0%	-

This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AvellinoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Pesaro

#11

28-30

-2

H04/01

Lega A

Le Mans

#20

37-50

-13

A07/01

Euroleague

Virtus Roma

45-36

A11/01

Lega A

Cibona

#12

41-36

H15/01

Euroleague

Caserta

#14

37-26

+11

H18/01

Lega A

Treviso

43-44

-1

H24/01

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

38-32

A01/02

Lega A

Cantu

31-30

H08/02

Lega A

Biella

45-40

A15/02

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

32-29

H28/02

Lega A

73.0Avg total

37.7Scored

35.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	35.5	72.5	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.8	34.3	71.1	+2.5	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	36.9	74.0	+0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	35.3	73.0	+2.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	35.0	72.8	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.0	41.1	77.1	-5.1	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	35.9	34.5	70.4	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.2	30.7	71.8	+10.5	100%	-

This opponent (Ferrara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.7	35%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	19.1	17.9	37.0	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.3	20.5	38.8	-2.3	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.7	39.1	-2.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.8	41.4	-2.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	22.7	40.7	-4.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.3	18.5	37.8	+0.9	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	14.5	21.0	35.5	-6.5	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	20.9	39.1	-2.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	22.3	39.6	-4.9	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.4	36.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.6	22.2	40.9	-3.6	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	17.9	19.0	36.9	-1.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.7	24.2	42.8	-5.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	19.3	18.8	38.0	+0.6	55%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	20.4	20.1	40.6	+0.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.4	17.6	36.0	+0.7	45%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.1	41.1	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.7	22.0	39.7	-4.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	19.8	18.3	38.1	+1.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	17.5	35.5	+0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.5	20.4	39.9	-0.9	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	18.7	40.6	+3.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	20.5	42.6	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.2	35.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	38%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.7	19.2	39.9	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	22.5	21.5	44.0	+1.0	17%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	38.0	38.1	76.1	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	39.6	38.0	77.6	+1.6	44%	-
Last 30 away (11)	36.6	38.2	74.8	-1.5	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	40.8	80.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	40.6	78.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	35.7	44.7	80.3	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (15)	39.1	36.7	75.9	+2.4	53%	-
vs Weaker (2)	32.5	38.5	71.0	-6.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	40.5	79.4	-1.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.5	40.1	78.6	-1.6	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.2	41.0	80.2	-1.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	39.5	79.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	37.6	71.8	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	37.6	41.2	78.9	-3.6	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	38.6	38.2	76.8	+0.3	38%	-
vs Weaker (6)	41.2	45.7	86.8	-4.5	17%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ferrara wins

Avellino wins

Date	Game	Score
16/11/08	Avellino v Ferrara	66-70

Ferraralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/03/09	A	Olimpia Milano	74-76
15/02/09	H	Siena	75-103
07/02/09	A	Treviso	68-71
01/02/09	A	Pesaro	86-91
25/01/09	H	Teramo	91-88
18/01/09	A	Sutor Montegranaro	71-69 OT
11/01/09	H	NSB Napoli	105-64
04/01/09	A	Biella	93-98
25/12/08	A	Virtus Bologna	63-78
21/12/08	H	Cantu	92-94

Avellinolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/02/09	H	Virtus Bologna	64-65
15/02/09	A	Biella	78-81
08/02/09	H	Cantu	61-65
01/02/09	A	NSB Napoli	74-79
24/01/09	H	Treviso	83-73
18/01/09	H	Caserta	85-58
15/01/09	H	Cibona	79-75
11/01/09	A	Virtus Roma	90-93 OT
07/01/09	A	Le Mans	88-92
04/01/09	H	Pesaro	82-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferrara

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	30%
Home	WLWWL	44%
Away	LWLLL	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	9	11
Win %	30%	44%	18%
Points / game	74.8	80.2	70.4
Allowed / game	78.8	79.3	78.5
Point differential	-4.0	+0.9	-8.1
Avg total	153.7	159.6	148.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	22%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (9)	33% (3)	33% (6)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

Avellino

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	45%
Home	WWWLL	45%
Away	WWLLL	44%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	11	9
Win %	45%	45%	44%
Points / game	76.8	75.9	78.0
Allowed / game	74.5	73.1	76.2
Point differential	+2.4	+2.8	+1.8
Avg total	151.3	149.0	154.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	27%	22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	18% (11)	20% (5)	17% (6)
Overtime %	5%	0%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	21	20	1	95%	89.7	71.8	+18.0
2	Virtus Roma	21	14	7	67%	85.5	80.6	+5.0
3	Teramo	20	13	7	65%	83.7	82.5	+1.2
4	Virtus Bologna	21	13	8	62%	77.6	77.0	+0.6
5	Treviso	20	11	9	55%	78.0	77.4	+0.7
6	Cantu	20	11	9	55%	81.5	83.5	-2.0
7	Olimpia Milano	20	10	10	50%	76.1	74.0	+2.0
8	Pesaro	21	10	11	48%	83.6	80.6	+3.0
9	Sutor Montegranaro	19	9	10	47%	75.6	80.2	-4.6
10	Avellino	20	9	11	45%	76.8	74.5	+2.4
11	Biella	20	9	11	45%	84.5	83.3	+1.1
12	NSB Napoli	21	8	13	38%	73.8	77.7	-3.9
13	Fortitudo Bologna	19	7	12	37%	74.1	80.3	-6.3
14	Caserta	20	7	13	35%	73.3	80.3	-7.0
15	Ferrara	20	6	14	30%	74.8	78.8	-4.0
16	Udine	21	5	16	24%	79.3	86.7	-7.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ferrara	26	17	22	29	94
Avellino	21	17	18	21	77

← all games of the day

Ferrara vs Avellino Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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