Siena vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2009

Tip-off: 11:00

Final 93-88

30-22 24-28 25-17 14-21

Position#1

Record19-1

FormWWLLW

Points / game89.5

Allowed / game71.0

Siena 🏆

Virtus Roma

Position#2

Record14-6

FormLLLWL

Points / game85.4

Allowed / game80.0

Lega A

Domestic2008-09

Meetings · Siena v Virtus Roma

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Siena winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Virtus Roma winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Siena

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

93-70

+23

H25/01

Lega A

Cibona

#12

81-88

-7

A28/01

Euroleague

Treviso

84-67

+17

A01/02

Lega A

Fenerbahce

#11

87-79

H04/02

Euroleague

Teramo

99-80

+19

H08/02

Lega A

CSKA Moscow

74-56

+18

H11/02

Euroleague

Ferrara

103-75

103

+28

A15/02

Lega A

CSKA Moscow

71-95

-24

A25/02

Euroleague

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

63-67

-4

A01/03

Lega A

Cibona

#12

86-70

+16

H05/03

Euroleague

17-13

28-11

20-18

28-28

25-17

19-21

18-24

19-26

17-23

19-12

30-12

18-20

25-13

26-21

18-17

18-28

23-18

22-23

27-17

27-22

11-10

16-12

26-15

21-19

31-23

25-18

27-20

20-14

19-19

25-26

11-32

16-18

14-19

25-11

10-11

14-26

27-18

19-14

11-15

29-23

158.8Avg total

84.1Scored

74.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	89.5	71.0	160.5	+18.6	95%
Season at home (10)	92.3	71.1	163.4	+21.2	100%
Season away (10)	86.8	70.8	157.6	+16.0	90%
Last 10 (10)	84.1	74.7	158.8	+9.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	72.6	152.0	+6.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	69.2	74.8	144.0	-5.5	50%
vs Similar (2)	79.0	79.0	158.0	+0.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	89.9	72.7	162.6	+17.2	92%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#14

79-74

A25/01

Lega A

Unicaja

75-88

-13

H29/01

Euroleague

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

87-71

+16

H01/02

Lega A

Partizan

#10

76-84

-8

A04/02

Euroleague

Biella

78-72

H08/02

Lega A

Panathinaikos

67-92

-25

A12/02

Euroleague

Teramo

77-86

-9

A15/02

Lega A

Panathinaikos

71-90

-19

H26/02

Euroleague

Udine

#16

83-70

+13

H01/03

Lega A

Unicaja

64-99

-35

A04/03

Euroleague

18-19

19-23

16-15

26-17

14-26

20-22

22-23

19-17

22-23

28-15

25-18

12-15

16-27

26-23

15-18

19-16

17-24

23-12

25-20

13-16

25-22

14-22

8-22

20-26

29-22

16-21

7-16

25-27

20-20

18-25

21-23

12-22

22-21

20-12

23-23

18-14

15-31

15-24

15-25

19-19

158.3Avg total

75.7Scored

82.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (20)	85.4	80.0	165.4	+5.5	70%
Season at home (10)	85.2	77.8	163.0	+7.4	80%
Season away (10)	85.6	82.1	167.7	+3.5	60%
Last 10 (10)	75.7	82.6	158.3	-6.9	40%
Last 5 (5)	72.4	87.4	159.8	-15.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	76.3	92.9	169.1	-16.6	14%
vs Similar (7)	84.1	81.0	165.1	+3.1	43%
vs Weaker (16)	84.1	78.6	162.7	+5.4	75%

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

SienaVirtus Roma

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	16.7	38.1	+4.8	83%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	15.2	37.8	+7.3	100%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.2	18.3	38.5	+1.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	17.3	38.2	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.8	38.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	12.8	17.5	30.2	-4.8	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	23.3	16.2	39.5	+7.0	92%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.4	40.6	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	21.7	42.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	23.5	43.3	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	23.2	45.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.9	21.6	40.4	-2.7	43%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.7	19.3	41.0	+2.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.2	20.3	40.6	-0.1	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	17.6	39.3	+4.2	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	16.9	38.3	+4.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	18.4	40.4	+3.7	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	16.9	39.3	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	16.2	38.2	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	25.5	21.0	46.5	+4.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.9	17.1	39.0	+4.8	71%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.5	39.7	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	18.8	39.5	+1.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	20.2	40.0	-0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.9	39.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.8	37.4	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.4	23.9	43.3	-4.4	14%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.0	19.1	40.1	+1.9	71%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.5	50%	-

SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cantu

45-24

+21

H25/01

Lega A

Cibona

#12

44-38

A28/01

Euroleague

Treviso

36-35

A01/02

Lega A

Fenerbahce

#11

51-34

+17

H04/02

Euroleague

Teramo

45-41

H08/02

Lega A

CSKA Moscow

27-22

H11/02

Euroleague

Ferrara

56-41

+15

A15/02

Lega A

CSKA Moscow

44-45

-1

A25/02

Euroleague

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

39-30

A01/03

Lega A

Cibona

#12

46-32

+14

H05/03

Euroleague

77.5Avg total

43.3Scored

34.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	34.2	77.4	+9.0	83%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.0	32.1	76.1	+11.9	94%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.3	36.6	78.9	+5.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	34.2	77.5	+9.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	34.0	76.4	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	31.8	36.2	68.0	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	42.5	41.0	83.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	45.2	33.3	78.5	+11.8	96%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#14

37-42

-5

A25/01

Lega A

Unicaja

34-48

-14

H29/01

Euroleague

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

50-38

+12

H01/02

Lega A

Partizan

#10

42-50

-8

A04/02

Euroleague

Biella

40-36

H08/02

Lega A

Panathinaikos

39-44

-5

A12/02

Euroleague

Teramo

45-43

A15/02

Lega A

Panathinaikos

38-45

-7

H26/02

Euroleague

Udine

#16

42-33

H01/03

Lega A

Unicaja

30-55

-25

A04/03

Euroleague

83.1Avg total

39.7Scored

43.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	39.9	80.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.6	37.9	78.5	+2.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.4	41.9	82.3	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	43.4	83.1	-3.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	44.0	82.8	-5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	38.3	45.4	83.7	-7.1	29%	-
vs Similar (7)	42.7	38.4	81.1	+4.3	57%	-
vs Weaker (16)	40.5	38.1	78.6	+2.4	75%	-

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	18.7	39.9	+2.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	17.6	39.1	+4.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.7	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.1	37.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	18.6	35.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.8	22.8	39.5	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	15.5	17.5	33.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	22.4	18.2	40.6	+4.2	79%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.8	38.8	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	19.5	39.9	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	20.0	37.7	-2.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	20.3	38.0	-2.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	21.8	36.6	-7.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.7	22.1	40.9	-3.4	14%	-
vs Similar (7)	16.9	19.3	36.1	-2.4	29%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.2	18.9	39.1	+1.2	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.4	42.5	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.7	21.2	44.9	+2.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	19.5	39.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	15.8	36.5	+5.0	75%	-
vs Similar (2)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	22.3	21.2	43.5	+1.1	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.3	40.6	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	17.9	36.0	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.6	22.7	45.3	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.9	37.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	21.6	40.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	17.7	22.7	40.4	-5.0	14%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.6	20.7	43.3	+1.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.6	19.0	39.6	+1.6	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.2	39.2	82.4	+4.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.2	38.8	84.1	+6.4	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.9	39.6	80.5	+1.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	40.5	81.3	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	38.6	75.6	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.5	38.5	76.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	36.5	38.0	74.5	-1.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	44.8	39.4	84.1	+5.4	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	40.0	79.5	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.5	37.4	75.9	+1.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.3	42.7	83.0	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	39.2	75.2	-3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.6	43.4	77.0	-9.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	36.4	44.9	81.3	-8.4	14%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.4	40.0	79.4	-0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (16)	40.8	37.9	78.7	+2.8	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Siena wins

Virtus Roma wins

Date	Game	Score
16/11/08	Virtus Roma v Siena	68-88

Sienalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/03/09	H	Cibona	86-70
01/03/09	A	Fortitudo Bologna	63-67
25/02/09	A	CSKA Moscow	71-95
15/02/09	A	Ferrara	103-75
11/02/09	H	CSKA Moscow	74-56
08/02/09	H	Teramo	99-80
04/02/09	H	Fenerbahce	87-79
01/02/09	A	Treviso	84-67
28/01/09	A	Cibona	81-88
25/01/09	H	Cantu	93-70

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/03/09	A	Unicaja	64-99
01/03/09	H	Udine	83-70
26/02/09	H	Panathinaikos	71-90
15/02/09	A	Teramo	77-86
12/02/09	A	Panathinaikos	67-92
08/02/09	H	Biella	78-72
04/02/09	A	Partizan	76-84
01/02/09	H	Fortitudo Bologna	87-71
29/01/09	H	Unicaja	75-88
25/01/09	A	Caserta	79-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Siena

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	95%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWL	90%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	95%	100%	90%
Points / game	89.5	92.3	86.8
Allowed / game	71.0	71.1	70.8
Point differential	+18.6	+21.2	+16.0
Avg total	160.5	163.4	157.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	75%	90%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	5%	0%	10%

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	70%
Home	WWWWW	80%
Away	WWWWL	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	20	10	10
Win %	70%	80%	60%
Points / game	85.4	85.2	85.6
Allowed / game	80.0	77.8	82.1
Point differential	+5.5	+7.4	+3.5
Avg total	165.3	163.0	167.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	50%	30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	20%	30%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	20	19	1	95%	89.5	71.0	+18.6
2	Virtus Roma	20	14	6	70%	85.4	80.0	+5.5
3	Teramo	20	13	7	65%	83.7	82.5	+1.2
4	Virtus Bologna	21	13	8	62%	77.6	77.0	+0.6
5	Treviso	20	11	9	55%	78.0	77.4	+0.7
6	Cantu	20	11	9	55%	81.5	83.5	-2.0
7	Olimpia Milano	20	10	10	50%	76.1	74.0	+2.0
8	Pesaro	21	10	11	48%	83.6	80.6	+3.0
9	Sutor Montegranaro	19	9	10	47%	75.6	80.2	-4.6
10	Avellino	20	9	11	45%	76.8	74.5	+2.4
11	Biella	20	9	11	45%	84.5	83.3	+1.1
12	NSB Napoli	21	8	13	38%	73.8	77.7	-3.9
13	Fortitudo Bologna	19	7	12	37%	74.1	80.3	-6.3
14	Caserta	20	7	13	35%	73.3	80.3	-7.0
15	Ferrara	20	6	14	30%	74.8	78.8	-4.0
16	Udine	21	5	16	24%	79.3	86.7	-7.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Siena	30	24	25	14	93
Virtus Roma	22	28	17	21	88

← all games of the day

Siena vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature