Virtus Roma vs Sutor Montegranaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 May 2013

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 82-64

18-20 27-13 24-13 13-18

Position#6

Record19-10

FormLLLWW

Points / game78.6

Allowed / game76.2

Virtus Roma 🏆

Sutor Montegranaro

Position#14

Record11-18

FormWWLLL

Points / game83.6

Allowed / game85.8

Lega ARound 30

Domestic2012-13

Meetings · Virtus Roma v Sutor Montegranaro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Roma winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sutor Montegranaro winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Roma Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#12

66-64

A24/02

Lega A

Cremona

#10

79-71

H03/03

Lega A

Siena

94-70

+24

A11/03

Lega A

Venezia

74-69

H16/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

90-70

+20

H24/03

Lega A

Varese

58-81

-23

A01/04

Lega A

Avellino

#11

75-81 OT

-6

H07/04

Lega A

Sassari

87-105

105

-18

A14/04

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

88-82

H21/04

Lega A

Biella

#17

85-78

A28/04

Lega A

14-20

22-21

13-16

17-7

10-21

20-17

23-14

26-19

27-23

20-16

19-16

28-15

17-25

19-7

19-19

19-18

16-22

17-16

33-16

24-16

17-18

11-15

10-21

20-27

23-20

18-15

8-17

17-14

18-16

19-32

21-28

29-29

18-20

23-18

22-34

25-10

25-23

28-17

17-15

15-23

156.7Avg total

79.6Scored

77.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	78.6	76.2	154.8	+2.4	66%
Season at home (14)	77.1	73.8	150.9	+3.3	64%
Season away (15)	80.0	78.4	158.4	+1.6	67%
Last 10 (10)	79.6	77.1	156.7	+2.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	78.6	85.4	164.0	-6.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	79.7	89.7	169.3	-10.0	0%
vs Similar (16)	77.7	76.8	154.5	+0.9	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	79.3	72.1	151.4	+7.2	80%

This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sutor Montegranaro Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#10

87-89

-2

A24/02

Lega A

Venezia

88-64

+24

H03/03

Lega A

Reggiana

83-100

100

-17

A10/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

93-86

H17/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

85-71

+14

A24/03

Lega A

Biella

#17

86-73

+13

A01/04

Lega A

Varese

93-91

H07/04

Lega A

Cantu

61-85

-24

A14/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

94-108

108

-14

H21/04

Lega A

Siena

90-94

-4

H28/04

Lega A

27-21

22-24

15-21

23-23

20-13

33-12

17-17

18-22

24-21

23-21

13-23

23-35

22-24

27-16

23-18

21-28

21-15

22-16

23-16

19-24

16-21

23-11

31-22

16-19

24-26

27-27

25-23

17-15

14-20

15-30

17-16

15-19

30-27

23-28

18-28

23-25

18-29

19-21

25-23

28-21

172.1Avg total

86.0Scored

86.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	83.6	85.8	169.4	-2.2	38%
Season at home (15)	85.1	84.8	169.9	+0.3	40%
Season away (14)	82.0	86.9	168.9	-4.9	36%
Last 10 (10)	86.0	86.1	172.1	-0.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	90.2	175.0	-5.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	80.3	93.3	173.6	-13.0	14%
vs Similar (14)	85.0	81.9	166.9	+3.1	50%
vs Weaker (2)	84.0	74.0	158.0	+10.0	100%

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus RomaSutor Montegranaro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.4	19.0	36.5	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.5	18.7	35.2	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	19.3	37.7	-0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.8	39.3	-2.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.3	18.3	32.7	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	16.1	19.1	35.2	-3.0	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	19.7	19.2	38.9	+0.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.6	41.7	+0.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.6	20.4	43.0	+2.1	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.7	43.3	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	24.6	45.0	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.9	22.7	42.6	-2.9	36%	-
vs Similar (14)	23.4	18.4	41.9	+5.0	79%	-
vs Weaker (2)	14.5	20.5	35.0	-6.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.7	38.3	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.4	16.9	36.3	+2.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.8	20.5	40.3	-0.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	17.4	37.1	+2.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.4	39.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.3	22.3	44.7	+0.0	67%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	18.3	17.7	36.0	+0.6	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.0	41.9	-0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	20.2	42.4	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.4	22.0	41.4	-2.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	20.6	44.0	+2.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	23.4	44.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.1	23.1	43.1	-3.0	36%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.5	19.7	41.2	+1.8	43%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	16.0	38.5	+6.5	100%	-

Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caserta

#12

36-41

-5

A24/02

Lega A

Cremona

#10

30-38

-8

H03/03

Lega A

Siena

47-39

A11/03

Lega A

Venezia

36-32

H16/03

Lega A

Virtus Bologna

#16

33-38

-5

H24/03

Lega A

Varese

28-33

-5

A01/04

Lega A

Avellino

#11

41-35

H07/04

Lega A

Sassari

37-48

-11

A14/04

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

41-38

H21/04

Lega A

Biella

#17

53-40

+13

A28/04

Lega A

76.4Avg total

38.2Scored

38.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.0	37.7	74.8	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.9	35.7	71.5	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.2	39.8	78.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.2	38.2	76.4	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	38.8	78.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	36.7	40.7	77.3	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	35.7	37.3	73.0	-1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	38.0	36.9	74.9	+1.1	50%	-

This opponent (Sutor Montegranaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sutor MontegranaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#10

49-45

A24/02

Lega A

Venezia

53-25

+28

H03/03

Lega A

Reggiana

47-42

A10/03

Lega A

Brindisi

#13

49-40

H17/03

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

43-31

+12

A24/03

Lega A

Biella

#17

39-32

A01/04

Lega A

Varese

51-53

-2

H07/04

Lega A

Cantu

29-50

-21

A14/04

Lega A

Pesaro

#15

53-55

-2

H21/04

Lega A

Siena

37-50

-13

H28/04

Lega A

87.3Avg total

45.0Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.1	41.6	83.7	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	42.1	40.9	83.0	+1.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.0	42.4	84.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.0	42.3	87.3	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	48.0	89.8	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	39.9	45.8	85.7	-5.9	29%	-
vs Similar (14)	44.9	38.1	83.1	+6.8	57%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.0	36.5	73.5	+0.5	50%	-

This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.7	38.5	+1.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.3	17.7	37.0	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	19.7	40.0	+0.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.6	38.1	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	23.0	38.6	-7.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	19.7	38.7	-0.7	67%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.9	19.4	40.4	+1.5	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	18.3	18.1	36.4	+0.2	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	21.3	40.1	-2.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	21.9	41.6	-2.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.9	20.6	38.5	-2.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.7	41.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	22.4	45.6	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.1	23.6	42.6	-4.5	36%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.7	19.0	36.7	-1.3	36%	-
vs Weaker (2)	25.5	21.0	46.5	+4.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.5	40.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.6	19.1	40.7	+2.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	17.8	39.8	+4.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	24.0	29.3	53.3	-5.3	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.1	20.1	41.1	+1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	20.8	14.5	35.3	+6.3	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	23.0	44.2	-1.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	22.2	42.6	-1.8	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.1	23.9	45.9	-1.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	23.1	43.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.5	23.0	43.5	-2.5	36%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.9	23.9	45.7	-2.0	21%	-
vs Weaker (2)	21.5	16.5	38.0	+5.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	38.2	79.2	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.2	37.6	77.8	+2.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.9	38.8	80.7	+3.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	37.4	77.9	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	43.6	80.4	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	43.0	49.0	92.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	42.0	39.5	81.5	+2.5	69%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	39.1	32.6	71.7	+6.5	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	44.2	84.3	-4.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.1	44.1	84.2	-3.9	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.0	44.4	84.4	-4.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	43.8	84.8	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	42.2	85.2	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	39.6	46.6	86.1	-7.0	21%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.6	42.9	82.4	-3.3	21%	-
vs Weaker (2)	47.0	37.5	84.5	+9.5	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Roma wins

Sutor Montegranaro wins

Date	Game	Score
13/01/13	Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Roma	84-86 OT
08/02/12	Virtus Roma v Sutor Montegranaro	76-69
23/10/11	Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Roma	67-76
01/05/11	Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Roma	75-66
06/01/11	Virtus Roma v Sutor Montegranaro	88-73
03/04/10	Virtus Roma v Sutor Montegranaro	75-72
06/12/09	Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Roma	103-97
19/04/09	Sutor Montegranaro v Virtus Roma	75-84
28/12/08	Virtus Roma v Sutor Montegranaro	88-70

Virtus Romalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/04/13	A	Biella	85-78
21/04/13	H	Brindisi	88-82
14/04/13	A	Sassari	87-105
07/04/13	H	Avellino	75-81 OT
01/04/13	A	Varese	58-81
24/03/13	H	Virtus Bologna	90-70
16/03/13	H	Venezia	74-69
11/03/13	A	Siena	94-70
03/03/13	H	Cremona	79-71
24/02/13	A	Caserta	66-64

Sutor Montegranarolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/04/13	H	Siena	90-94
21/04/13	H	Pesaro	94-108
14/04/13	A	Cantu	61-85
07/04/13	H	Varese	93-91
01/04/13	A	Biella	86-73
24/03/13	A	Olimpia Milano	85-71
17/03/13	H	Brindisi	93-86
10/03/13	A	Reggiana	83-100
03/03/13	H	Venezia	88-64
24/02/13	A	Cremona	87-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Roma

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	66%
Home	WWWLW	64%
Away	WWLLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	66%	64%	67%
Points / game	78.6	77.1	80.0
Allowed / game	76.2	73.8	78.4
Point differential	+2.4	+3.3	+1.6
Avg total	154.8	150.9	158.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	21%	13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	73% (11)	75% (4)	71% (7)
Overtime %	7%	7%	7%

Sutor Montegranaro

Lega A 2012-13

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	38%
Home	WWWLL	40%
Away	LLWWL	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	38%	40%	36%
Points / game	83.6	85.1	82.0
Allowed / game	85.8	84.8	86.9
Point differential	-2.2	+0.3	-4.9
Avg total	169.4	169.9	168.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	20%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	33% (3)	0% (2)
Overtime %	7%	13%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Nazionale Italiana	1	1	0	100%	107.0	92.0	+15.0
2	Varese	29	23	6	79%	84.4	77.1	+7.3
3	Sassari	29	21	8	72%	89.1	83.7	+5.4
4	Virtus Roma	29	19	10	66%	78.6	76.2	+2.4
5	Siena	29	18	11	62%	76.7	71.3	+5.3
6	Olimpia Milano	29	18	11	62%	80.9	76.4	+4.6
7	Reggiana	29	17	12	59%	77.5	73.2	+4.3
8	Cantu	29	16	13	55%	73.9	68.3	+5.6
9	Venezia	29	15	14	52%	79.1	78.7	+0.4
10	Caserta	29	13	16	45%	72.0	76.9	-4.9
11	Cremona	29	12	17	41%	79.7	80.9	-1.2
12	Avellino	29	12	17	41%	75.8	81.1	-5.2
13	Brindisi	29	11	18	38%	81.1	82.4	-1.3
14	Sutor Montegranaro	29	11	18	38%	83.6	85.8	-2.2
15	Pesaro	29	10	19	34%	74.7	78.9	-4.2
16	Virtus Bologna	29	10	19	34%	75.2	80.2	-5.0
17	Biella	29	6	23	21%	72.4	83.6	-11.2
18	International All Stars	1	0	1	0%	92.0	107.0	-15.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Roma	18	27	24	13	82
Sutor Montegranaro	20	13	13	18	64

← all games of the day

Virtus Roma vs Sutor Montegranaro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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