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Vitoria vs Oliveirense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record2-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#5
Record2-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game84.7
PortugalLPBRound 19· Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense
Other2026-27
Meetings · Vitoria v Oliveirense
27 Mar 2027
VITO v OLIV
upcoming
25 Apr 2026
VITO84
OLIV74
11 Jan 2025
VITO74
OLIV92
27 Apr 2024
VITO77
OLIV94
24 Sep 2022
VITO86
OLIV104
06 Mar 2022
VITO69
OLIV85
14 Nov 2020
VITO84
OLIV74
08 Feb 2020
VITO85
OLIV79
22 Dec 2018
VITO86
OLIV91
01 Jun 2018
VITO63
OLIV83
21 Apr 2018
VITO79
OLIV83
13 Dec 2017
VITO73
OLIV96
29 Apr 2017
VITO74
OLIV84
12 Nov 2016
VITO66
OLIV62
16 Jan 2016
VITO66
OLIV61
07 Feb 2015
VITO84
OLIV67
13 Dec 2013
VITO80
OLIV57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Oliveirense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
91-75
91
75
+16
A21/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H28/03
LPB
Braga
#7
L
84-101
84
101
-17
A04/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H11/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
89-96
89
96
-7
A18/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H25/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A03/10
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
71-87
71
87
-16
H10/10
LPB
Braga
#2
L
72-91
72
91
-19
A18/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H24/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
23-19
24-16
22-17
19-16
17-23
24-25
24-22
19-11
22-40
22-29
21-21
21-17
23-15
29-30
20-25
14-28
17-20
24-18
34-30
29-18
15-12
22-17
18-27
14-18
17-24
25-21
27-15
21-17
17-20
9-30
24-20
12-20
18-23
22-26
20-22
24-21
19-13
15-20
16-18
167.2Avg total
82.5Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)75.082.0157.0-7.050%
Season at home (2)72.579.5152.0-7.050%
Season away (2)77.584.5162.0-7.050%
Last 10 (10)82.584.7167.2-2.250%
Last 5 (5)76.880.4157.2-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)77.990.9168.8-13.022%
vs Similar (7)88.985.3174.1+3.671%
vs Weaker (5)85.686.4172.0-0.840%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#10
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A25/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
79-93
79
93
-14
A09/05
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H13/05
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
69-65
69
65
+4
A16/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
A21/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
61-86
61
86
-25
A23/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H28/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A03/10
LPB
Benfica
#3
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A17/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
104-80
104
80
+24
H24/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-29
12-15
17-22
27-18
18-25
19-21
15-18
27-29
27-23
25-24
19-13
19-12
10-16
17-18
18-18
24-13
17-24
10-29
20-25
29-20
18-17
14-24
16-19
13-26
23-15
23-23
16-25
16-23
34-20
19-19
16-16
22-27
13-21
19-24
18-26
17-21
23-24
32-8
24-20
25-28
162.7Avg total
78.9Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.384.7172.0+2.767%
Season at home (1)104.080.0184.0+24.0100%
Season away (2)79.087.0166.0-8.050%
Last 10 (10)78.983.8162.7-4.940%
Last 5 (5)80.285.2165.4-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.688.3165.9-10.822%
vs Similar (9)83.282.7165.9+0.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)89.279.4168.6+9.875%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
VitoriaOliveirense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A21/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H28/03
LPB
Braga
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A04/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H11/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A18/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H25/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A03/10
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H10/10
LPB
Braga
#2
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A18/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H24/10
LPB
78.1Avg total
38.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.043.684.6-2.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.539.380.9+2.260%-
Last 30 away (15)40.547.888.3-7.313%-
Last 10 (10)38.339.878.1-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.237.274.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.244.583.7-5.328%-
vs Similar (7)44.442.787.1+1.743%-
vs Weaker (5)42.841.484.2+1.460%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#10
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A25/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A09/05
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H13/05
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A16/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A21/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A23/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H28/05
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A03/10
LPB
Benfica
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A17/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H24/10
LPB
81.0Avg total
39.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.541.284.7+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.940.989.8+7.986%-
Last 30 away (16)38.941.480.2-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)39.141.981.0-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)43.639.082.6+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.342.181.4-2.844%-
vs Similar (9)43.442.886.2+0.756%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)46.839.286.0+7.575%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.920.0
46.6%
50.9%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.1
30.2%
31.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws26.917.1
63.6%
70.6%17.1
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.820.8
53.6%
50.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.27.5
27.6%
31.4%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.614.2
72.4%
70.6%14.2
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vitoria
WLLWWLWLLW
Oliveirense
WLWLLLWWLL
#8
League position
#5
-2.8
Net rating
-1.7
85.6
Offensive rating
86.8
88.5
Defensive rating
88.4
46.1%
Effective FG%
48.6%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
14.7%
Turnover %
18.2%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.2%
3-point %
27.6%
53.4%
Assist %
59.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence85.6 · 86.8Defence88.5 · 88.4Shooting46.1% · 48.6%3-point %30.2% · 27.6%Ball care14.7% · 18.2%Free throws0.39 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Vitoria   ■ Oliveirense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Vitoria wins
8
Oliveirense wins
DateGameScore
25/04/26Vitoria v Oliveirense84-74
10/01/26Oliveirense v Vitoria84-76
11/01/25Vitoria v Oliveirense74-92
25/10/24Oliveirense v Vitoria93-76
27/04/24Vitoria v Oliveirense77-94
23/12/23Oliveirense v Vitoria80-100
08/12/22Oliveirense v Vitoria82-77
24/09/22Vitoria v Oliveirense86-104
06/03/22Vitoria v Oliveirense69-85
01/11/21Oliveirense v Vitoria90-69
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HPortimonense74-72
18/10/26ABraga72-91
10/10/26HOvarense71-87
03/10/26ACAB Madeira83-78
25/04/26HOliveirense84-74
18/04/26AVasco Da Gama89-96
11/04/26HEsgueira93-87
04/04/26ABraga84-101
28/03/26HGalitos Barreiro84-86
21/03/26AOvarense91-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HEsgueira104-80
17/10/26ABenfica67-92
03/10/26APortimonense91-82
28/05/26HBenfica78-86
23/05/26ABenfica61-86
21/05/26ABenfica76-98
16/05/26AOvarense69-65
13/05/26HOvarense90-72
09/05/26AOvarense79-93
25/04/26AVitoria74-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeLW50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game75.072.577.5
Allowed / game82.079.584.5
Point differential-7.0-7.0-7.0
Avg total157.0152.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oliveirense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game87.3104.079.0
Allowed / game84.780.087.0
Point differential+2.7+24.0-8.0
Avg total172.0184.0166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto440100%97.888.0+9.8
2 Braga43175%89.877.5+12.2
3 Benfica43175%87.875.8+12.0
4 Ovarense43175%82.873.5+9.2
5 Oliveirense32167%87.384.7+2.7
6 Sporting CP42250%78.576.8+1.8
7 CD Povoa42250%74.272.8+1.5
8 Vitoria42250%75.082.0-7.0
9 CA Queluz31233%84.094.0-10.0
10 CAB Madeira41325%80.583.2-2.8
11 Portimonense4040%77.089.2-12.2
12 Esgueira4040%73.892.8-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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