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Vitoria vs Oliveirense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 74-92
14-24 25-20 17-21 18-27
Position#9
Record3-7
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game81.1
vs
Position#4
Record7-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game78.4
PortugalLPBRound 12· Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vitoria v Oliveirense
27 Mar 2027
VITO v OLIV
upcoming
25 Apr 2026
VITO84
OLIV74
11 Jan 2025
VITO74
OLIV92
27 Apr 2024
VITO77
OLIV94
24 Sep 2022
VITO86
OLIV104
06 Mar 2022
VITO69
OLIV85
14 Nov 2020
VITO84
OLIV74
08 Feb 2020
VITO85
OLIV79
22 Dec 2018
VITO86
OLIV91
01 Jun 2018
VITO63
OLIV83
21 Apr 2018
VITO79
OLIV83
13 Dec 2017
VITO73
OLIV96
29 Apr 2017
VITO74
OLIV84
12 Nov 2016
VITO66
OLIV62
16 Jan 2016
VITO66
OLIV61
07 Feb 2015
VITO84
OLIV67
13 Dec 2013
VITO80
OLIV57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oliveirense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
L
76-93
76
93
-17
66avg 68
A25/10
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 68
H02/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
86-79
86
79
+7
75avg 68
A13/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
62-67
62
67
-5
55avg 68
H16/11
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
86-73
86
73
+13
78avg 68
H30/11
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
71-70
71
70
+1
62avg 68
A07/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
75-78
75
78
-3
62avg 68
H15/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#11
W
94-72
94
72
+22
90avg 68
H18/12
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#3
L
90-92
90
92
-2
88avg 68
A21/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
69-89
69
89
-20
53avg 68
H04/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
18-21
24-22
12-23
12-18
23-20
21-24
23-20
29-29
18-14
19-19
20-17
25-11
14-20
12-23
11-13
27-26
16-11
19-17
24-19
19-14
20-22
17-18
15-16
21-19
11-21
29-21
14-17
15-22
25-16
28-12
26-22
17-23
30-20
31-16
12-33
18-21
14-20
17-30
20-18
158.3Avg total
78.8Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.481.1158.5-3.730%
Season at home (5)74.277.8152.0-3.620%
Season away (5)80.684.4165.0-3.840%
Last 10 (10)78.879.5158.3-0.740%
Last 5 (5)79.880.2160.0-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.888.4165.2-11.59%
vs Similar (9)78.979.1158.0-0.233%
vs Weaker (9)83.971.9155.8+12.078%
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOliveirense
Date
Competition
Imortal
#7
W
90-60
90
60
+30
88avg 77
H02/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
95-98
95
98
-3
85avg 77
A09/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
93-77
93
77
+16
91avg 77
H16/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
75-93
75
93
-18
72avg 77
A30/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
L
99-109 OT
99
109
-10
93avg 77
A07/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
80-79
80
79
+1
75avg 77
H14/12
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
96-88 OT
96
88
+8
92avg 77
A17/12
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
80-74
80
74
+6
69avg 77
A21/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
92-53
92
53
+39
96avg 77
H29/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
69-82
69
82
-13
61avg 77
A04/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
20-15
21-17
26-14
20-21
27-21
23-23
25-33
18-18
27-23
21-21
27-15
15-17
16-26
18-25
26-25
25-35
22-18
24-18
18-18
29-22
11-20
17-17
23-20
18-19
20-28
23-17
19-16
15-19
17-20
25-16
23-19
19-18
22-15
21-14
30-6
20-17
21-21
11-24
17-20
168.2Avg total
86.9Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)87.478.4165.7+9.064%
Season at home (5)89.669.0158.6+20.6100%
Season away (6)85.586.2171.7-0.733%
Last 10 (10)86.981.3168.2+5.660%
Last 5 (5)83.475.2158.6+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.686.8156.4-17.220%
vs Similar (5)78.680.8159.4-2.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)86.674.0160.6+12.585%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +4.8+4.8
VitoriaOliveirense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A25/10
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H02/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A13/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H16/11
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H30/11
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A07/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H15/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H18/12
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#3
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A21/12
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H04/01
LPB
78.9Avg total
39.4Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.639.778.4-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.738.974.6-3.140%-
Last 30 away (15)41.540.682.1+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)39.439.578.9-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.677.6-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.643.080.6-5.427%-
vs Similar (9)37.739.076.7-1.356%-
vs Weaker (9)41.135.977.0+5.278%-
This opponent (Oliveirense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OliveirenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#7
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H02/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A09/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H16/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A30/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#11
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A07/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H14/12
LPB
Esgueira
#12
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A17/12
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A21/12
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H29/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A04/01
LPB
81.2Avg total
40.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.438.778.1+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.137.176.2+2.150%-
Last 30 away (16)39.640.179.8-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.781.2-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.439.878.2-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.243.475.6-11.220%-
vs Similar (5)39.236.876.0+2.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)41.238.079.2+3.255%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.516.5
46.5%
51.2%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.310.5
32.5%
32.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.613.8
67.0%
69.2%13.8
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oliveirensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oliveirense: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.6
50.7%
51.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.3
37.2%
32.7%33.9
🏀 Free throws22.016.8
76.4%
69.2%16.8
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vitoria
LLWLWWLWLL
Oliveirense
LWWWWLLWLW
#9
League position
#4
+0.0
Net rating
+6.6
101.3
Offensive rating
110.6
101.3
Defensive rating
104.0
47.6%
Effective FG%
53.1%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
20.1%
Turnover %
19.3%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.5%
3-point %
37.2%
58.9%
Assist %
66.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 110.6Defence101.3 · 104.0Shooting47.6% · 53.1%3-point %32.5% · 37.2%Ball care20.1% · 19.3%Off. rebounds34.6% · 32.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Vitoria   ■ Oliveirense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Vitoria wins
7
Oliveirense wins
DateGameScore
25/10/24Oliveirense v Vitoria93-76
27/04/24Vitoria v Oliveirense77-94
23/12/23Oliveirense v Vitoria80-100
08/12/22Oliveirense v Vitoria82-77
24/09/22Vitoria v Oliveirense86-104
06/03/22Vitoria v Oliveirense69-85
01/11/21Oliveirense v Vitoria90-69
03/03/21Oliveirense v Vitoria101-78
14/11/20Vitoria v Oliveirense84-74
08/02/20Vitoria v Oliveirense85-79
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HBenfica69-89
21/12/24ASporting CP90-92
18/12/24HCD Povoa94-72
15/12/24HCD Povoa75-78
07/12/24AGalitos Barreiro71-70
30/11/24HImortal86-73
16/11/24HOvarense62-67
13/11/24ACA Queluz86-79
02/11/24HEsgueira79-82
25/10/24AOliveirense76-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25ASporting CP69-82
29/12/24HCD Povoa92-53
21/12/24AGalitos Barreiro80-74
17/12/24AEsgueira96-88 OT
14/12/24HOvarense80-79
07/12/24ACA Queluz99-109 OT
30/11/24ABenfica75-93
16/11/24HEsgueira93-77
09/11/24AFC Porto95-98
02/11/24HImortal90-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL30%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game77.474.280.6
Allowed / game81.177.884.4
Point differential-3.7-3.6-3.8
Avg total158.5152.0165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oliveirense
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL64%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%100%33%
Points / game87.489.685.5
Allowed / game78.469.086.2
Point differential+9.0+20.6-0.7
Avg total165.7158.6171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%80%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica11110100%90.674.2+16.5
2 FC Porto109190%86.777.4+9.3
3 Sporting CP118373%83.376.0+7.3
4 Oliveirense117464%87.478.4+9.0
5 Ovarense106460%78.977.8+1.1
6 Esgueira105550%82.985.9-3.0
7 Vitoria103730%77.481.1-3.7
8 CA Queluz103730%82.089.3-7.3
9 Galitos Barreiro113827%75.779.2-3.5
10 CD Povoa113827%72.477.8-5.5
11 Imortal113827%73.787.0-13.3
12 Galomar102820%74.082.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vitoria1425171874
Oliveirense2420212792
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