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Ovarense vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 75-91
23-22 19-23 16-24 17-22
Position#4
Record12-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game78.6
Ovarense
Portugal
vs
Vitoria 🏆
Portugal
Position#10
Record5-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game91.6
PortugalLPBRound 17· Arena de Ovar
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ovarense v Vitoria
09 Jan 2027
OVAR v VITO
upcoming
21 Mar 2026
OVAR75
VITO91
15 Mar 2025
OVAR81
VITO76
06 Jan 2024
OVAR91
VITO90
05 Oct 2022
OVAR97
VITO88
16 Apr 2022
OVAR101
VITO93
02 Feb 2022
OVAR81
VITO63
17 Apr 2021
OVAR108
VITO118
29 Mar 2020
OVAR v VITO
upcoming
16 Feb 2019
OVAR82
VITO60
26 Jan 2018
OVAR85
VITO84
17 Feb 2017
OVAR95
VITO102
21 Feb 2016
OVAR73
VITO62
24 Jan 2015
OVAR72
VITO70
27 Apr 2014
OVAR79
VITO85
26 Apr 2014
OVAR83
VITO82
07 Dec 2013
OVAR81
VITO74
01 May 2013
OVAR73
VITO71
21 Apr 2013
OVAR62
VITO75
20 Apr 2013
OVAR77
VITO68
02 Mar 2013
OVAR77
VITO84
24 Mar 2012
OVAR82
VITO74
26 Feb 2011
OVAR72
VITO54
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vitoria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
70-96
70
96
-26
67avg 73
H06/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
84-82
84
82
+2
79avg 73
A27/12
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
88-64
88
64
+24
79avg 73
H03/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
62-74
62
74
-12
46avg 73
A06/01
LPB
Braga
#7
W
86-74
86
74
+12
79avg 73
A11/01
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
79-76
79
76
+3
75avg 73
A24/01
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
110-66
110
66
+44
112avg 73
A31/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
97-82
97
82
+15
96avg 73
A07/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
82-85
82
85
-3
76avg 73
H14/02
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
107-100 OT
107
100
+7
101avg 73
A14/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
23-24
11-29
20-21
23-15
16-26
26-24
19-17
19-15
25-23
25-16
19-10
23-15
11-28
17-14
11-17
25-20
32-13
19-28
10-13
17-23
24-29
15-14
23-10
24-9
35-15
23-22
28-20
19-32
28-20
28-11
22-19
17-23
18-17
21-19
26-26
26-21
22-21
17-22
22-23
166.4Avg total
86.5Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.178.6162.7+5.675%
Season at home (7)80.478.3158.7+2.171%
Season away (9)87.078.8165.8+8.278%
Last 10 (10)86.579.9166.4+6.670%
Last 5 (5)95.081.8176.8+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)73.886.4160.2-12.621%
vs Similar (6)84.277.8162.0+6.383%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)88.476.0164.4+12.4100%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
97-90
97
90
+7
94avg 73
A06/12
LPB
Braga
#7
W
82-72
82
72
+10
65avg 73
H20/12
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
103-91
103
91
+12
95avg 73
A28/12
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
84-88
84
88
-4
82avg 73
H04/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
76-84
76
84
-8
64avg 73
A10/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
72-99
72
99
-27
54avg 73
A24/01
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
82-77
82
77
+5
72avg 73
H31/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
103-96
103
96
+7
95avg 73
H07/02
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
79-111
79
111
-32
61avg 73
A14/02
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
69-115
69
115
-46
56avg 73
H14/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-25
21-19
20-29
22-17
25-16
19-15
17-18
21-23
23-28
29-26
30-21
21-16
23-28
26-14
12-21
23-25
19-17
17-24
21-24
19-19
21-17
16-22
17-29
18-31
28-15
18-26
10-20
26-16
33-26
19-19
20-17
31-34
19-32
25-31
15-25
20-23
23-32
15-29
19-29
12-25
177.0Avg total
84.7Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.691.6173.2-10.031%
Season at home (8)80.190.8170.9-10.638%
Season away (8)83.192.5175.6-9.425%
Last 10 (10)84.792.3177.0-7.650%
Last 5 (5)81.099.6180.6-18.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)77.294.2171.4-17.07%
vs Similar (11)87.884.4172.2+3.564%
vs Weaker (4)89.084.0173.0+5.050%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -1.6-1.6
OvarenseVitoria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H06/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A27/12
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H03/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A06/01
LPB
Braga
#7
W
57-33
57
33
+24
A11/01
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A24/01
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
59-24
59
24
+35
A31/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A07/02
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H14/02
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A14/03
LPB
85.4Avg total
44.3Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.280.8+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.240.277.5-3.042%-
Last 30 away (18)42.840.282.9+2.644%-
Last 10 (10)44.341.185.4+3.240%-
Last 5 (5)46.042.088.0+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.240.977.1-4.721%-
vs Similar (6)44.040.084.0+4.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)44.639.383.9+5.360%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A06/12
LPB
Braga
#7
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H20/12
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A28/12
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H04/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A10/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/01
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H31/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H07/02
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
44-63
44
63
-19
A14/02
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
38-61
38
61
-23
H14/03
LPB
91.4Avg total
45.3Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.444.486.8-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.642.185.7+1.657%-
Last 30 away (16)41.246.587.8-5.225%-
Last 10 (10)45.346.191.4-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.449.893.2-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.547.186.7-7.613%-
vs Similar (11)44.642.987.5+1.764%-
vs Weaker (4)46.838.585.2+8.275%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.220.7
55.6%
52.7%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.6
33.7%
32.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.315.9
68.2%
70.4%15.9
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.723.2
54.3%
52.7%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.1
32.6%
32.4%21.3
🏀 Free throws25.216.6
65.9%
70.4%16.6
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
WLWWWWLWWL
Vitoria
LLWWLLLWWW
#4
League position
#10
+8.7
Net rating
-8.3
101.5
Offensive rating
94.8
92.8
Defensive rating
103.1
53.4%
Effective FG%
52.5%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
17.4%
Turnover %
20.0%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
36.1%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.39
33.7%
3-point %
32.6%
60.7%
Assist %
43.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 94.8Defence92.8 · 103.1Shooting53.4% · 52.5%3-point %33.7% · 32.6%Ball care17.4% · 20.0%Off. rebounds28.3% · 36.1%Free throws0.35 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Ovarense   ■ Vitoria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Ovarense wins
3
Vitoria wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Vitoria v Ovarense77-94
15/03/25Ovarense v Vitoria81-76
16/11/24Vitoria v Ovarense62-67
06/01/24Ovarense v Vitoria91-90
23/09/23Vitoria v Ovarense79-76
22/12/22Vitoria v Ovarense97-76
05/10/22Ovarense v Vitoria97-88
16/04/22Ovarense v Vitoria101-93
02/04/22Vitoria v Ovarense95-91
02/02/22Ovarense v Vitoria81-63
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26AImortal107-100 OT
14/02/26HSporting CP82-85
07/02/26AOliveirense97-82
31/01/26AVasco Da Gama110-66
24/01/26AEsgueira79-76
11/01/26ABraga86-74
06/01/26AFC Porto62-74
03/01/26HGalitos Barreiro88-64
27/12/25ACA Queluz84-82
06/12/25HBenfica70-96
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/26HFC Porto69-115
14/02/26ABenfica79-111
07/02/26HCA Queluz103-96
31/01/26HImortal82-77
24/01/26ASporting CP72-99
10/01/26AOliveirense76-84
04/01/26HVasco Da Gama84-88
28/12/25AEsgueira103-91
20/12/25HBraga82-72
06/12/25AGalitos Barreiro97-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWLWL71%
AwayWWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %75%71%78%
Points / game84.180.487.0
Allowed / game78.678.378.8
Point differential+5.6+2.1+8.2
Avg total162.7158.7165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%14%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Vitoria
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL31%
HomeWLWWL38%
AwayWWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%38%25%
Points / game81.680.183.1
Allowed / game91.690.892.5
Point differential-10.0-10.6-9.4
Avg total173.2170.9175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica1715288%96.676.7+19.9
2 Sporting CP1613381%87.476.9+10.6
3 Ovarense1612475%84.178.6+5.6
4 FC Porto1712571%91.682.8+8.8
5 Oliveirense169756%85.282.7+2.5
6 Braga167944%79.781.4-1.7
7 Esgueira1661038%85.490.1-4.8
8 Imortal1651131%86.187.4-1.3
9 CA Queluz1651131%81.887.2-5.5
10 Vitoria1651131%81.691.6-10.0
11 Galitos Barreiro1641225%82.994.2-11.3
12 Vasco Da Gama1641225%81.295.9-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ovarense2319161775
Vitoria2223242291
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