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Braga vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 91-72
20-12 23-18 26-22 22-20
Position#4
Record1-1
FormWLLLW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game83.5
Braga 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#9
Record1-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game82.5
PortugalLPBRound 3· AMCO Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Braga v Vitoria
18 Oct 2026
BRAG91
VITO72
04 Apr 2026
BRAG101
VITO84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Braga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vitoria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BragaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBraga
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
87-96
87
96
-9
80avg 75
H21/03
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
73-80
73
80
-7
58avg 75
A28/03
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
101-84
101
84
+17
107avg 75
H04/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
77-108
77
108
-31
66avg 75
A11/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
68-82
68
82
-14
58avg 75
H18/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
74-67
74
67
+7
66avg 75
A25/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
62avg 75
A09/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
79-94
79
94
-15
68avg 75
H13/05
LPB
Ovarense
#2
L
83-96
83
96
-13
71avg 75
A03/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
105-71
105
71
+34
107avg 75
H11/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
14-20
22-28
22-24
15-22
24-22
11-23
23-13
11-19
40-22
29-22
21-21
17-28
15-26
27-30
18-24
21-17
19-29
12-21
16-15
28-21
16-14
18-19
12-13
19-24
15-22
24-24
14-20
18-22
18-22
23-33
20-17
19-26
9-26
20-23
35-21
28-18
33-21
17-18
27-14
168.7Avg total
81.9Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)94.083.5177.5+10.550%
Season at home (1)105.071.0176.0+34.0100%
Season away (1)83.096.0179.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)81.986.8168.7-4.930%
Last 5 (5)82.683.6166.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.287.2161.3-13.017%
vs Similar (9)80.983.3164.2-2.433%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)86.273.1159.3+13.178%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
79-111
79
111
-32
61avg 72
A14/02
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
69-115
69
115
-46
56avg 72
H14/03
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
91-75
91
75
+16
77avg 72
A21/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
84-86
84
86
-2
74avg 72
H28/03
LPB
Braga
#7
L
84-101
84
101
-17
71avg 72
A04/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
83avg 72
H11/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
89-96
89
96
-7
77avg 72
A18/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
84-74
84
74
+10
71avg 72
H25/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
83-78
83
78
+5
74avg 72
A03/10
LPB
Ovarense
#2
L
71-87
71
87
-16
56avg 72
H10/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-32
25-31
15-25
20-23
23-32
15-29
19-29
12-25
22-23
23-19
24-16
22-17
19-16
17-23
24-25
24-22
19-11
22-40
22-29
21-21
21-17
23-15
29-30
20-25
14-28
17-20
24-18
34-30
29-18
15-12
22-17
18-27
14-18
17-24
25-21
27-15
21-17
17-20
9-30
24-20
173.7Avg total
82.7Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)77.082.5159.5-5.550%
Season at home (1)71.087.0158.0-16.00%
Season away (1)83.078.0161.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.791.0173.7-8.340%
Last 5 (5)84.084.4168.4-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.891.2170.1-12.422%
vs Similar (8)88.287.4175.6+0.962%
vs Weaker (4)88.590.0178.5-1.525%
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
BragaVitoria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BragaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H21/03
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A28/03
LPB
Vitoria
#10
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H04/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A11/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H18/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A25/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A09/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H13/05
LPB
Ovarense
#2
L
28-52
28
52
-24
A03/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H11/10
LPB
85.3Avg total
40.8Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.341.980.2-3.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.640.879.4-2.240%-
Last 30 away (15)38.043.081.0-5.040%-
Last 10 (10)40.844.585.3-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.643.283.8-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.946.183.0-9.217%-
vs Similar (9)38.143.781.8-5.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.334.674.9+5.867%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
44-63
44
63
-19
A14/02
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
38-61
38
61
-23
H14/03
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A21/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H28/03
LPB
Braga
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A04/04
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H11/04
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A18/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H25/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A03/10
LPB
Ovarense
#2
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H10/10
LPB
83.7Avg total
39.2Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.644.085.6-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.740.482.1+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)41.547.789.1-6.220%-
Last 10 (10)39.244.583.7-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.875.4-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)40.044.984.9-4.928%-
vs Similar (8)44.542.587.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker (4)42.843.286.0-0.550%-
This opponent (Braga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bragatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Braga: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.317.6
46.0%
51.1%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.99.6
33.2%
31.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws23.116.6
71.9%
71.1%16.6
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.020.5
48.8%
51.1%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.8
29.2%
31.9%23.4
🏀 Free throws27.117.2
63.5%
71.1%17.2
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Braga
WLLLWLLWLL
Vitoria
LWWLWLLWLL
#4
League position
#9
+1.2
Net rating
-9.2
89.7
Offensive rating
85.3
88.5
Defensive rating
94.5
47.6%
Effective FG%
46.9%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
16.3%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.39
33.2%
3-point %
29.2%
75.0%
Assist %
50.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence89.7 · 85.3Defence88.5 · 94.5Shooting47.6% · 46.9%3-point %33.2% · 29.2%Ball care16.3% · 15.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Braga   ■ Vitoria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Braga wins
1
Vitoria wins
DateGameScore
04/04/26Braga v Vitoria101-84
20/12/25Vitoria v Braga82-72
Bragalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26HPortimonense105-71
03/10/26AOvarense83-96
13/05/26HBenfica79-94
09/05/26ABenfica72-90
25/04/26AOvarense74-67
18/04/26HFC Porto68-82
11/04/26ABenfica77-108
04/04/26HVitoria101-84
28/03/26AImortal73-80
21/03/26HSporting CP87-96
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26HOvarense71-87
03/10/26ACAB Madeira83-78
25/04/26HOliveirense84-74
18/04/26AVasco Da Gama89-96
11/04/26HEsgueira93-87
04/04/26ABraga84-101
28/03/26HGalitos Barreiro84-86
21/03/26AOvarense91-75
14/03/26HFC Porto69-115
14/02/26ABenfica79-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Braga
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game94.0105.083.0
Allowed / game83.571.096.0
Point differential+10.5+34.0-13.0
Avg total177.5176.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vitoria
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game77.071.083.0
Allowed / game82.587.078.0
Point differential-5.5-16.0+5.0
Avg total159.5158.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ovarense330100%87.074.3+12.7
2 FC Porto330100%99.390.0+9.3
3 Benfica32167%87.377.0+10.3
4 CD Povoa32167%75.370.3+5.0
5 Braga21150%94.083.5+10.5
6 Vitoria21150%77.082.5-5.5
7 CA Queluz21150%90.096.5-6.5
8 Oliveirense21150%79.087.0-8.0
9 Sporting CP31233%81.079.0+2.0
10 CAB Madeira31233%80.080.0+0.0
11 Portimonense3030%78.794.3-15.7
12 Esgueira3030%71.789.0-17.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Braga2023262291
Vitoria1218222072
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