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Vitoria vs Esgueira Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 93-87
21-17 23-15 29-30 20-25
Position#10
Record6-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game90.9
Vitoria 🏆
Portugal
vs
Position#8
Record8-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game89.9
PortugalLPBRound 20· Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vitoria v Esgueira
19 Dec 2026
VITO v ESGU
upcoming
11 Apr 2026
VITO93
ESGU87
02 Nov 2024
VITO79
ESGU82
10 Feb 2024
VITO60
ESGU78
06 May 2023
VITO101
ESGU99
08 Oct 2022
VITO96
ESGU95
11 Nov 2020
VITO99
ESGU71
04 Mar 2020
VITO89
ESGU81
11 Jan 2020
VITO85
ESGU72
26 Apr 2019
VITO73
ESGU81
12 Jan 2019
VITO99
ESGU88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Vitoria
4.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.3
81.4▼ 0.9
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 90.7
97.6▲ 6.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 55%
50%▼ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 13.2
14.0▲ 0.8
🔥 Form · Esgueira
6.2out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 84.5
85.8▲ 1.3
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 90.2
92.2▲ 2.0
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 55%
56%▲ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 16.8
17.0▲ 0.2
VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
84-88
84
88
-4
H04/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A10/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
72-99
72
99
-27
A24/01
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H31/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
103-96
103
96
+7
H07/02
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
79-111
79
111
-32
A14/02
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
69-115
69
115
-46
H14/03
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
91-75
91
75
+16
A21/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H28/03
LPB
Braga
#7
L
84-101
84
101
-17
A04/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
26-14
12-21
23-25
19-17
17-24
21-24
19-19
21-17
16-22
17-29
18-31
28-15
18-26
10-20
26-16
33-26
19-19
20-17
31-34
19-32
25-31
15-25
20-23
23-32
15-29
19-29
12-25
22-23
23-19
24-16
22-17
19-16
17-23
24-25
24-22
19-11
22-40
22-29
21-21
175.6Avg total
82.4Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.490.9173.3-8.632%
Season at home (9)80.690.2170.8-9.733%
Season away (10)84.091.6175.6-7.630%
Last 10 (10)82.493.2175.6-10.830%
Last 5 (5)81.497.6179.0-16.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)78.793.5172.3-14.813%
vs Similar ◀ (10)87.486.1173.5+1.360%
vs Weaker (5)88.084.4172.4+3.640%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A03/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H10/01
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H24/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
75-88
75
88
-13
A31/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
92-84
92
84
+8
A14/02
LPB
Braga
#7
L
76-97
76
97
-21
H21/02
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
L
84-98
84
98
-14
A14/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
93-88
93
88
+5
H21/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
79-95
79
95
-16
A28/03
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
97-83 OT
97
83
+14
H04/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
21-30
19-13
11-19
13-19
15-18
23-22
25-8
23-17
29-24
14-15
10-23
18-24
16-22
24-18
17-24
20-17
17-20
21-26
34-21
18-31
19-19
19-26
20-21
20-23
22-19
21-35
21-21
21-25
17-24
26-25
29-14
10-27
23-23
23-21
23-24
19-21
22-15
19-22
18-20
168.0Avg total
82.0Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)86.189.9175.9-3.842%
Season at home (10)89.490.0179.4-0.660%
Season away (9)82.389.8172.1-7.422%
Last 10 (10)82.086.0168.0-4.040%
Last 5 (5)85.892.2178.0-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)78.988.9167.7-10.033%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.388.5172.8-4.336%
vs Weaker (4)92.095.2187.2-3.250%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
VitoriaEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco Da Gama
#11
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H04/01
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A10/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A24/01
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H31/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H07/02
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
44-63
44
63
-19
A14/02
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
38-61
38
61
-23
H14/03
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A21/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H28/03
LPB
Braga
#7
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A04/04
LPB
88.8Avg total
42.4Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.344.286.5-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.841.684.4+1.250%-
Last 30 away (16)41.946.688.4-4.725%-
Last 10 (10)42.446.488.8-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.851.292.0-10.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.546.687.1-6.120%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.943.587.4+0.450%-
vs Weaker (5)44.638.683.2+6.060%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A03/01
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H10/01
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H24/01
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A31/01
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A14/02
LPB
Braga
#7
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H21/02
LPB
Vasco Da Gama
#11
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A14/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H21/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A28/03
LPB
Imortal
#6
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H04/04
LPB
82.1Avg total
38.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.944.986.9-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.044.987.9-1.947%-
Last 30 away (13)40.544.985.5-4.415%-
Last 10 (10)38.443.782.1-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)38.245.483.6-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)40.644.985.5-4.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.744.588.3-0.836%-
vs Weaker (4)42.046.288.2-4.225%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.022.2
51.6%
52.7%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.0
30.0%
32.4%21.0
🏀 Free throws26.417.0
64.4%
70.4%17.0
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.118.9
50.9%
52.7%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.7
32.9%
32.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws22.314.7
65.9%
70.4%14.7
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vitoria
LLWLLWWLLL
Esgueira
WLWLLWLLWL
#10
League position
#8
-10.8
Net rating
-4.8
87.7
Offensive rating
89.6
98.5
Defensive rating
94.4
49.3%
Effective FG%
50.2%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
18.2%
Turnover %
16.1%
35.5%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.0%
3-point %
32.9%
44.2%
Assist %
57.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence87.7 · 89.6Defence98.5 · 94.4Shooting49.3% · 50.2%3-point %30.0% · 32.9%Ball care18.2% · 16.1%Off. rebounds35.5% · 26.1%Free throws0.40 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Vitoria   ■ Esgueira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Vitoria wins
5
Esgueira wins
DateGameScore
28/12/25Esgueira v Vitoria91-103
15/02/25Esgueira v Vitoria73-86
02/11/24Vitoria v Esgueira79-82
10/02/24Vitoria v Esgueira60-78
09/12/23Esgueira v Vitoria78-66
21/10/23Esgueira v Vitoria66-96
06/05/23Vitoria v Esgueira101-99
25/03/23Esgueira v Vitoria98-88
28/12/22Esgueira v Vitoria88-77
08/10/22Vitoria v Esgueira96-95 OT
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26ABraga84-101
28/03/26HGalitos Barreiro84-86
21/03/26AOvarense91-75
14/03/26HFC Porto69-115
14/02/26ABenfica79-111
07/02/26HCA Queluz103-96
31/01/26HImortal82-77
24/01/26ASporting CP72-99
10/01/26AOliveirense76-84
04/01/26HVasco Da Gama84-88
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/26HImortal97-83 OT
28/03/26ASporting CP79-95
21/03/26HOliveirense93-88
14/03/26AVasco Da Gama84-98
21/02/26HBraga76-97
14/02/26ACA Queluz92-84
31/01/26AGalitos Barreiro75-88
24/01/26HOvarense76-79
10/01/26HFC Porto76-67
03/01/26ABenfica72-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL32%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %32%33%30%
Points / game82.480.684.0
Allowed / game90.990.291.6
Point differential-8.6-9.7-7.6
Avg total173.3170.8175.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%11%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Esgueira
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW42%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %42%60%22%
Points / game86.189.482.3
Allowed / game89.990.089.8
Point differential-3.8-0.6-7.4
Avg total175.9179.4172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%20%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica1917289%96.876.6+20.2
2 Sporting CP1916384%89.677.7+11.8
3 FC Porto2014670%89.982.9+7.0
4 Ovarense2013765%82.378.5+3.8
5 Oliveirense1910953%86.584.0+2.5
6 Braga1981142%80.882.2-1.4
7 Esgueira1981142%86.189.9-3.8
8 Imortal2081240%86.286.1+0.1
9 CA Queluz2071335%83.888.3-4.5
10 Vitoria1961332%82.490.9-8.6
11 Galitos Barreiro2051525%82.193.5-11.4
12 Vasco Da Gama2051525%83.298.0-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vitoria2123292093
Esgueira1715302587
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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