Vitoria vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Jan 2023

Tip-off: 20:00

Final 95-90

20-24 26-24 26-22 23-20

Position#6

Record6-9

FormLLWWL

Points / game85.3

Allowed / game89.2

Vitoria 🏆

Sporting CP

Position#2

Record12-3

FormWWLWW

Points / game91.7

Allowed / game80.7

LPBRound 16

Other2022-23

Meetings · Vitoria v Sporting CP

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sporting CP winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vitoria

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

83-96

-13

A28/10

LPB

CAB Madeira

#11

101-75

101

+26

H05/11

LPB

Sangalhos

#12

89-82

A19/11

LPB

Benfica

79-106

106

-27

H25/11

LPB

Imortal

76-82

-6

A03/12

LPB

Oliveirense

77-82

-5

A08/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

91-109

109

-18

H11/12

Taca de Portugal

CD Povoa

79-76

H17/12

LPB

Ovarense

97-76

+21

H22/12

LPB

Esgueira

77-88

-11

A28/12

LPB

22-25

21-24

22-25

18-22

26-31

35-13

22-14

18-17

23-21

18-18

26-21

22-22

20-25

22-19

21-31

16-31

30-15

16-20

14-19

16-28

18-17

18-29

23-19

21-33

20-27

20-23

30-26

19-10

14-22

22-21

24-23

23-21

30-18

21-17

23-20

22-29

24-19

18-19

13-21

172.1Avg total

84.9Scored

87.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	85.3	89.2	174.5	-3.9	40%
Season at home (7)	88.6	88.7	177.3	-0.1	57%
Season away (8)	82.4	89.6	172.0	-7.2	25%
Last 10 (10)	84.9	87.2	172.1	-2.3	40%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	86.2	170.4	-2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	81.7	97.4	179.1	-15.7	14%
vs Similar (14)	86.1	83.9	169.9	+2.2	57%
vs Weaker (8)	92.1	84.0	176.1	+8.1	75%

This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sporting CP Portugal

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kormend

#41

89-84

H23/11

FIBA Europe Cup

CAB Madeira

#11

72-68

H25/11

LPB

Benfica

78-89

-11

H27/11

LPB

Karhu Basket

84-93

-9

H30/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Sangalhos

#12

95-83

+12

A03/12

LPB

Braga

#16

108-56

108

+52

A10/12

Taca de Portugal

Benfica

93-90

A14/12

LPB

Imortal

91-96

-5

H17/12

LPB

Oliveirense

86-79

A22/12

LPB

CD Povoa

86-73

+13

H30/12

LPB

15-17

21-21

22-30

31-16

20-15

19-18

10-11

23-24

23-25

23-21

7-20

25-23

25-26

20-8

24-36

15-23

20-21

29-24

19-13

27-25

31-16

23-10

24-14

30-16

24-28

25-19

13-16

31-27

30-24

20-28

17-17

24-27

26-20

23-19

8-19

29-21

28-18

22-23

15-17

21-15

169.3Avg total

88.2Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	91.7	80.7	172.4	+11.1	80%
Season at home (7)	90.0	80.9	170.9	+9.1	71%
Season away (8)	93.2	80.5	173.8	+12.8	88%
Last 10 (10)	88.2	81.1	169.3	+7.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	92.8	78.8	171.6	+14.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	85.4	92.1	177.6	-6.7	43%
vs Similar (5)	81.2	86.4	167.6	-5.2	20%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	92.2	79.1	171.4	+13.1	94%

This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VitoriaSporting CP

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	23.2	44.7	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	23.5	45.7	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	22.9	43.5	-2.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	22.7	45.1	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.0	42.6	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.9	25.3	45.1	-5.4	14%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.6	21.8	42.4	-1.1	36%	-
vs Weaker (8)	24.2	22.8	47.0	+1.5	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.7	21.2	44.9	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.3	20.9	44.2	+2.4	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	24.0	21.4	45.4	+2.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.2	21.0	45.2	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.8	21.2	49.0	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.1	26.4	47.6	-5.3	14%	-
vs Similar (5)	24.4	19.2	43.6	+5.2	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	23.6	19.4	43.0	+4.1	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	19.8	41.9	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	24.1	19.4	43.4	+4.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	20.4	40.1	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	19.7	41.5	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.6	41.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	19.9	23.1	43.0	-3.3	29%	-
vs Similar (14)	22.7	19.1	41.9	+3.6	64%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.0	17.2	40.2	+5.8	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.6	42.8	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.5	20.8	43.3	+1.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.9	20.5	42.4	+1.4	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	19.1	41.6	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	19.8	42.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.9	19.1	42.0	+3.7	71%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.6	21.6	38.2	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	24.0	22.3	46.3	+1.7	56%	-

VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

FC Porto

43-49

-6

A28/10

LPB

CAB Madeira

#11

61-44

+17

H05/11

LPB

Sangalhos

#12

41-39

A19/11

LPB

Benfica

42-44

-2

H25/11

LPB

Imortal

46-35

+11

A03/12

LPB

Oliveirense

36-34

A08/12

LPB

CAB Madeira

41-60

-19

H11/12

Taca de Portugal

CD Povoa

33-32

H17/12

LPB

Ovarense

53-39

+14

H22/12

LPB

Esgueira

46-48

-2

A28/12

LPB

86.6Avg total

44.2Scored

42.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.5	43.1	86.5	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	46.2	42.9	89.1	+3.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.3	43.3	83.6	-3.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.2	42.4	86.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	42.6	84.4	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	39.7	48.4	88.1	-8.7	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	43.4	40.9	84.3	+2.4	57%	-
vs Weaker (8)	47.2	40.0	87.2	+7.2	75%	-

This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kormend

#41

36-38

-2

H23/11

FIBA Europe Cup

CAB Madeira

#11

39-33

H25/11

LPB

Benfica

46-46

H27/11

LPB

Karhu Basket

45-34

+11

H30/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Sangalhos

#12

49-45

A03/12

LPB

Braga

#16

54-26

+28

A10/12

Taca de Portugal

Benfica

49-47

A14/12

LPB

Imortal

50-52

-2

H17/12

LPB

Oliveirense

49-39

+10

A22/12

LPB

CD Povoa

50-41

H30/12

LPB

86.8Avg total

46.7Scored

40.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.9	41.8	87.7	+4.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	45.8	41.7	87.5	+4.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	45.9	41.9	87.8	+4.0	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.7	40.1	86.8	+6.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.4	41.0	91.4	+9.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	44.0	45.6	89.6	-1.6	43%	-
vs Similar (5)	41.0	40.8	81.8	+0.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	47.6	41.8	89.3	+5.8	69%	-

This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.3	43.0	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.9	21.0	42.9	+0.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.3	21.7	43.0	-0.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.9	42.3	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.8	41.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	20.6	24.1	44.7	-3.6	29%	-
vs Similar (14)	21.4	20.9	42.4	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.1	19.4	42.5	+3.8	88%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.5	39.8	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.1	20.3	39.4	-1.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.2	18.9	40.1	+2.2	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	19.3	35.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	16.6	32.0	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.9	22.3	40.1	-4.4	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	21.3	18.3	39.6	+3.0	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	23.3	44.8	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	24.2	46.5	-1.9	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	22.3	42.9	-1.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	22.9	43.2	-2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.8	44.4	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	21.4	24.9	46.3	-3.4	43%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	57%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.8	24.6	46.4	-2.9	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	21.4	44.5	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.7	22.8	46.5	+0.9	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.6	20.4	43.1	+2.2	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.6	21.7	47.3	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	21.2	48.2	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	23.6	24.3	47.9	-0.7	43%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.8	24.4	45.2	-3.6	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	23.4	19.1	42.4	+4.3	81%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	44.6	87.8	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.2	45.2	89.4	-0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.9	44.0	85.9	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	44.8	85.5	-4.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	43.6	86.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	42.0	49.0	91.0	-7.0	29%	-
vs Similar (14)	42.2	42.5	84.7	-0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	44.9	44.0	88.9	+0.9	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.4	41.0	84.3	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.8	43.1	85.8	-0.3	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	43.8	39.4	83.2	+4.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	41.0	82.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	37.8	80.2	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	41.4	46.6	88.0	-5.1	29%	-
vs Similar (5)	40.2	45.6	85.8	-5.4	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)	44.7	37.4	82.1	+7.3	69%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 71.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀41%

🏀🏀🏀42%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers29.3 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 42% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	14.7	36.7%	52.4%	29.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	10.0	38.0%	32.3%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	19.0	11.7	61.4%	70.4%	11.7

They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	19.3	50.9%	52.4%	38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	8.0	32.4%	32.3%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	21.7	14.7	67.7%	70.4%	14.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	19.3	50.9%	52.4%	38.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.7	8.0	32.4%	32.3%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	21.7	14.7	67.7%	70.4%	14.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vitoria wins

Sporting CP wins

Date	Game	Score
16/10/22	Sporting CP v Vitoria	114-83
06/02/22	Vitoria v Sporting CP	88-102
13/11/21	Sporting CP v Vitoria	99-62
01/05/21	Vitoria v Sporting CP	80-97
29/04/21	Vitoria v Sporting CP	84-71
24/04/21	Sporting CP v Vitoria	85-67
22/04/21	Sporting CP v Vitoria	94-58
27/03/21	Vitoria v Sporting CP	78-80
27/02/21	Vitoria v Sporting CP	77-82
07/11/20	Sporting CP v Vitoria	112-71

Vitorialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/12/22	A	Esgueira	77-88
22/12/22	H	Ovarense	97-76
17/12/22	H	CD Povoa	79-76
11/12/22	H	CAB Madeira	91-109
08/12/22	A	Oliveirense	77-82
03/12/22	A	Imortal	76-82
25/11/22	H	Benfica	79-106
19/11/22	A	Sangalhos	89-82
05/11/22	H	CAB Madeira	101-75
28/10/22	A	FC Porto	83-96

Sporting CPlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/12/22	H	CD Povoa	86-73
22/12/22	A	Oliveirense	86-79
17/12/22	H	Imortal	91-96
14/12/22	A	Benfica	93-90
10/12/22	A	Braga	108-56
03/12/22	A	Sangalhos	95-83
30/11/22	H	Karhu Basket	84-93
27/11/22	H	Benfica	78-89
25/11/22	H	CAB Madeira	72-68
23/11/22	H	Kormend	89-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	40%
Home	LWLWW	57%
Away	LWLLL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	40%	57%	25%
Points / game	85.3	88.6	82.4
Allowed / game	89.2	88.7	89.6
Point differential	-3.9	-0.1	-7.2
Avg total	174.5	177.3	172.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	29%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (2)	0% (1)
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

Sporting CP

LPB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	80%
Home	WWLLW	71%
Away	WLWWW	88%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	80%	71%	88%
Points / game	91.7	90.0	93.2
Allowed / game	80.7	80.9	80.5
Point differential	+11.1	+9.1	+12.8
Avg total	172.4	170.9	173.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	43%	62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	FC Porto	15	14	1	93%	88.9	74.7	+14.3
2	Benfica	15	13	2	87%	93.1	77.4	+15.7
3	Sporting CP	15	12	3	80%	91.7	80.7	+11.1
4	Ovarense	15	9	6	60%	80.9	80.7	+0.2
5	Oliveirense	15	8	7	53%	79.8	79.5	+0.3
6	Esgueira	15	7	8	47%	78.7	80.7	-2.0
7	Imortal	15	6	9	40%	74.3	77.7	-3.4
8	Vitoria	15	6	9	40%	85.3	89.2	-3.9
9	Lusitania	14	5	9	36%	78.6	85.9	-7.2
10	CD Povoa	15	5	10	33%	70.9	72.7	-1.8
11	CAB Madeira	15	3	12	20%	78.3	86.0	-7.7
12	Sangalhos	14	1	13	7%	69.0	86.0	-17.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Vitoria	20	26	26	23	95
Sporting CP	24	24	22	20	90

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Vitoria vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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