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Vitoria vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 68-97
8-20 27-21 14-27 19-29
Position#10
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#3
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalLPBRound 1· Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense
Other2025-26
Meetings · Vitoria v Sporting CP
06 Mar 2027
VITO v SCP
upcoming
05 Oct 2025
VITO68
SCP97
12 Apr 2025
VITO89
SCP97
27 Jan 2024
VITO80
SCP88
08 Oct 2023
VITO89
SCP92
04 Jan 2023
VITO95
SCP90
06 Feb 2022
VITO88
SCP102
01 May 2021
VITO80
SCP97
29 Apr 2021
VITO84
SCP71
27 Mar 2021
VITO78
SCP80
27 Feb 2021
VITO77
SCP82
29 Feb 2020
VITO89
SCP102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sporting CP winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
63avg 76
A15/03
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
82-75
82
75
+7
75avg 76
A22/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
103-93
103
93
+10
113avg 76
H29/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
71-81
71
81
-10
63avg 76
A05/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
84-102
84
102
-18
74avg 76
A08/04
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#3
L
89-97
89
97
-8
76avg 76
H12/04
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
85-74
85
74
+11
76avg 76
H19/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
81-91
81
91
-10
79avg 76
A26/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
87-99
87
99
-12
77avg 76
A09/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
68-88
68
88
-20
55avg 76
H14/05
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-15
13-20
17-25
23-21
23-16
15-31
22-11
22-17
30-17
23-28
24-13
26-35
15-17
21-21
27-19
8-24
24-24
21-17
21-31
18-30
13-31
32-19
16-26
28-21
22-26
21-17
17-13
25-18
15-32
24-19
22-21
20-19
20-25
25-31
25-20
17-23
22-19
10-12
19-33
17-24
170.7Avg total
82.6Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.688.1170.7-5.530%
Last 5 (5)82.089.8171.8-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)79.492.0171.4-12.68%
vs Similar (12)82.282.5164.7-0.350%
vs Weaker (5)86.077.4163.4+8.660%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#1
L
72-82
72
82
-10
62avg 73
A09/04
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#9
W
97-89
97
89
+8
90avg 73
A12/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
75avg 73
H19/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
86-75
86
75
+11
85avg 73
A26/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
L
64-92
64
92
-28
51avg 73
A01/05
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
89avg 73
H10/05
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
88-83
88
83
+5
83avg 73
A15/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
81-91
81
91
-10
71avg 73
A23/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
64-83
64
83
-19
50avg 73
A25/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
74-78
74
78
-4
61avg 73
H30/05
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
19-20
24-24
11-21
31-13
19-32
26-16
21-28
17-21
18-16
25-18
16-21
30-19
25-19
16-21
15-16
17-26
11-15
17-29
19-22
32-12
18-23
25-21
15-23
30-26
18-13
21-16
19-28
25-17
20-19
20-26
16-29
13-25
15-24
14-15
22-19
15-19
21-21
27-13
11-25
164.0Avg total
80.1Scored
83.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.183.9164.0-3.840%
Last 5 (5)79.482.8162.2-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.084.3157.3-11.317%
vs Similar (8)80.981.6162.5-0.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)88.378.3166.5+10.087%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -6.7-6.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -6.7-6.7
VitoriaSporting CP
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A15/03
LPB
Galomar
#12
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A22/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H29/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A05/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A08/04
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#3
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H12/04
LPB
Galomar
#12
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H19/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A26/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A09/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H14/05
LPB
84.9Avg total
41.2Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.042.283.3-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.040.680.6-0.647%-
Last 30 away (15)42.143.985.9-1.847%-
Last 10 (10)41.243.784.9-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.846.287.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.245.984.1-7.817%-
vs Similar (12)42.040.682.6+1.467%-
vs Weaker (5)40.437.878.2+2.660%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A09/04
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#9
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A12/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H19/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A26/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A01/05
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H10/05
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A15/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A23/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A25/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H30/05
LPB
80.9Avg total
41.2Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.580.3+3.257%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.037.779.7+4.362%-
Last 30 away (17)41.639.280.8+2.453%-
Last 10 (10)41.239.780.9+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.439.881.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.539.775.2-4.217%-
vs Similar (8)42.141.083.1+1.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.637.481.0+6.273%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.818.0
54.9%
52.7%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.59.9
31.4%
32.4%29.7
🏀 Free throws21.615.9
73.6%
70.4%15.9
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.1
55.2%
52.7%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.86.7
27.0%
32.4%20.1
🏀 Free throws28.716.6
57.8%
70.4%16.6
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vitoria
LLLWLLLWWL
Sporting CP
LLLWWLWLWL
#10
League position
#3
-7.4
Net rating
-5.6
106.1
Offensive rating
100.1
113.6
Defensive rating
105.7
51.1%
Effective FG%
49.4%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
20.9%
Turnover %
19.6%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.46
31.4%
3-point %
27.0%
57.3%
Assist %
55.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 100.1Defence113.6 · 105.7Shooting51.1% · 49.4%3-point %31.4% · 27.0%Ball care20.9% · 19.6%Off. rebounds33.2% · 30.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.46Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Vitoria   ■ Sporting CP
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vitoria wins
9
Sporting CP wins
DateGameScore
12/04/25Vitoria v Sporting CP89-97
21/12/24Sporting CP v Vitoria92-90
04/02/24Sporting CP v Vitoria98-68
27/01/24Vitoria v Sporting CP80-88
08/10/23Vitoria v Sporting CP89-92
04/01/23Vitoria v Sporting CP95-90
16/10/22Sporting CP v Vitoria114-83
06/02/22Vitoria v Sporting CP88-102
13/11/21Sporting CP v Vitoria99-62
01/05/21Vitoria v Sporting CP80-97
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/25HBenfica68-88
09/05/25ABenfica87-99
26/04/25ABenfica81-91
19/04/25HGalomar85-74
12/04/25HSporting CP89-97
08/04/25AGalitos Barreiro84-102
05/04/25ACD Povoa71-81
29/03/25HGalitos Barreiro103-93
22/03/25AGalomar82-75
15/03/25AOvarense76-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/05/25HFC Porto74-78
25/05/25AFC Porto64-83
23/05/25AFC Porto81-91
15/05/25AGalitos Barreiro88-83
10/05/25HGalitos Barreiro90-79
01/05/25AOliveirense64-92
26/04/25AOliveirense86-75
19/04/25HBenfica85-87 OT
12/04/25AVitoria97-89
09/04/25AFC Porto72-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Sporting CP
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto110100%95.073.0+22.0
2 Benfica110100%89.076.0+13.0
3 Ovarense110100%81.075.0+6.0
4 Imortal110100%81.078.0+3.0
5 CA Queluz1010%78.081.0-3.0
6 Esgueira1010%75.081.0-6.0
7 Oliveirense1010%76.089.0-13.0
8 Vasco Da Gama1010%73.095.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vitoria827141968
Sporting CP2021272997
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