Vitoria vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Apr 2021

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 84-71

20-16 15-23 25-11 24-21

Position#7

Record12-16

FormLWWLL

Points / game78.5

Allowed / game82.6

Vitoria 🏆

Sporting CP

Position#1

Record25-3

FormWWLWW

Points / game88.9

Allowed / game69.6

LPBLPB - Quarter-finals

Other2020-21

Meetings · Vitoria v Sporting CP

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sporting CP winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Vitoria

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

78-101

101

-23

A03/03

LPB

Galitos

#11

100-67

100

+33

H07/03

LPB

Maia

#13

83-65

+18

A13/03

LPB

CAB Madeira

89-100

100

-11

H18/03

LPB

Imortal

76-83

-7

A21/03

LPB

Sporting CP

78-80

-2

H27/03

Taca de Portugal

Academica

80-72

H03/04

LPB

Ovarense

#10

118-108 OT

118

108

+10

A17/04

LPB

Sporting CP

58-94

-36

A22/04

LPB

Sporting CP

67-85

-18

A24/04

LPB

21-24

15-33

17-16

25-28

28-17

20-9

27-17

25-24

22-16

21-15

29-14

11-20

29-27

24-20

24-22

12-31

20-27

18-16

16-16

22-24

25-21

20-16

19-26

14-17

14-16

24-20

18-14

24-22

21-15

17-21

23-23

20-22

8-28

21-15

11-30

18-21

9-24

21-19

27-26

10-16

168.2Avg total

82.7Scored

85.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	78.5	82.6	161.1	-4.1	43%
Season at home (13)	79.9	76.2	156.1	+3.8	54%
Season away (15)	77.3	88.2	165.5	-10.9	33%
Last 10 (10)	82.7	85.5	168.2	-2.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	87.8	168.0	-7.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	69.9	86.6	156.6	-16.7	7%
vs Similar (9)	85.8	84.6	170.3	+1.2	56%
vs Weaker (6)	87.7	69.8	157.5	+17.8	100%

This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sporting CP Portugal

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

89-84

H13/03

LPB

Benfica

87-75

+12

A19/03

LPB

Esgueira

#12

97-68

+29

H21/03

LPB

Vitoria

80-78

A27/03

Taca de Portugal

Ovarense

#10

97-92

A03/04

LPB

FC Porto

85-77

H10/04

Taca de Portugal

Imortal

83-59

+24

A11/04

Taca de Portugal

Oliveirense

76-87

-11

A17/04

LPB

Vitoria

94-58

+36

H22/04

LPB

Vitoria

85-67

+18

H24/04

LPB

24-24

21-19

28-24

16-17

21-14

16-20

21-21

29-20

22-16

26-16

25-24

24-12

21-25

16-20

26-19

17-14

18-16

20-19

21-30

38-27

18-19

22-17

21-16

24-25

20-20

24-12

21-12

18-15

20-22

17-21

19-22

20-22

28-8

15-21

30-11

21-18

24-9

19-21

26-27

16-10

161.8Avg total

87.3Scored

74.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	88.9	69.6	158.5	+19.2	89%
Season at home (15)	90.9	64.6	155.5	+26.3	100%
Season away (13)	86.5	75.4	161.8	+11.1	77%
Last 10 (10)	87.3	74.5	161.8	+12.8	90%
Last 5 (5)	84.6	69.6	154.2	+15.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	83.0	82.7	165.7	+0.3	33%
vs Similar (5)	71.2	73.2	144.4	-2.0	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	88.3	70.0	158.4	+18.3	90%

This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

VitoriaSporting CP

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.6	39.1	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	19.4	40.4	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	19.7	37.9	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.5	41.2	-1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	20.8	36.2	-5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	16.9	21.6	38.5	-4.6	21%	-
vs Similar (9)	22.2	20.7	42.9	+1.6	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.7	13.8	35.5	+7.8	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.9	15.7	38.6	+7.2	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.9	13.3	37.2	+10.6	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	18.8	40.4	+2.7	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	17.3	38.9	+4.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	15.6	37.6	+6.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.0	21.7	40.7	-2.7	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.8	16.4	36.2	+3.4	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	24.1	14.7	38.8	+9.4	85%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.3	37.7	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	19.0	38.2	+0.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.4	38.5	+1.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	18.2	38.8	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.9	19.4	37.4	-1.5	36%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.2	17.2	38.4	+4.0	78%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.7	18.5	37.2	+0.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.3	18.5	37.8	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.5	19.7	40.2	+0.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.6	38.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.3	19.3	40.7	+2.0	67%	-
vs Similar (5)	16.8	17.6	34.4	-0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.2	19.4	39.5	+0.8	55%	-

VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oliveirense

36-57

-21

A03/03

LPB

Galitos

#11

48-26

+22

H07/03

LPB

Maia

#13

43-31

+12

A13/03

LPB

CAB Madeira

53-47

H18/03

LPB

Imortal

38-43

-5

A21/03

LPB

Sporting CP

45-37

H27/03

Taca de Portugal

Academica

38-36

H03/04

LPB

Ovarense

#10

38-36

A17/04

LPB

Sporting CP

29-43

-14

A22/04

LPB

Sporting CP

30-43

-13

A24/04

LPB

79.7Avg total

39.8Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	37.9	76.8	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.6	37.0	77.6	+3.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	38.7	76.1	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	39.9	79.7	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	39.0	75.0	-3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	34.9	41.0	75.9	-6.1	14%	-
vs Similar (9)	43.4	37.9	81.3	+5.6	89%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.3	32.3	72.7	+8.0	83%	-

This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lusitania

45-43

H13/03

LPB

Benfica

37-34

A19/03

LPB

Esgueira

#12

48-32

+16

H21/03

LPB

Vitoria

37-45

-8

A27/03

Taca de Portugal

Ovarense

#10

38-35

A03/04

LPB

FC Porto

40-36

H10/04

Taca de Portugal

Imortal

44-32

+12

A11/04

Taca de Portugal

Oliveirense

37-43

-6

A17/04

LPB

Vitoria

43-29

+14

H22/04

LPB

Vitoria

43-30

+13

H24/04

LPB

77.1Avg total

41.2Scored

35.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.7	34.7	77.4	+7.9	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.2	31.8	75.0	+11.4	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.0	38.5	80.5	+3.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	35.9	77.1	+5.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	34.0	75.4	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	40.3	41.0	81.3	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	36.6	34.0	70.6	+2.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	44.2	34.0	78.3	+10.2	80%	-

This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.7	40.3	-1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	19.8	41.0	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.1	21.6	39.6	-3.5	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.4	41.5	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	23.8	43.4	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.4	23.4	40.8	-5.9	29%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.5	18.0	42.5	+6.5	83%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.2	18.5	40.6	+3.7	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.3	20.6	39.9	-1.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	20.6	44.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	17.6	41.0	+5.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.3	19.7	41.0	+1.7	67%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.4	20.0	37.4	-2.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.0	18.9	41.0	+3.1	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	21.2	39.2	-3.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.0	19.6	37.6	-1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	22.6	40.5	-4.6	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	22.5	40.6	-4.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	19.6	36.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	17.6	22.3	39.9	-4.6	21%	-
vs Similar (9)	16.4	21.7	38.1	-5.2	22%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.7	18.2	38.8	+2.5	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	17.5	38.1	+3.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.9	16.6	36.6	+3.3	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+2.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	18.0	40.3	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	21.3	22.0	43.3	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	15.8	17.2	33.0	-1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.6	16.9	38.4	+4.7	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.5	41.9	79.4	-4.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.2	39.4	78.6	-0.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.0	44.1	80.1	-8.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	42.9	82.1	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	43.4	80.2	-6.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	35.1	45.6	80.7	-10.6	14%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.3	40.8	77.1	-4.4	22%	-
vs Weaker (6)	45.2	36.2	81.3	+9.0	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.5	36.9	78.4	+4.7	73%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.1	35.1	77.2	+7.0	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.8	39.2	79.9	+1.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.1	38.6	84.7	+7.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	35.6	78.8	+7.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	42.7	41.7	84.3	+1.0	67%	-
vs Similar (5)	33.2	37.2	70.4	-4.0	20%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	43.5	35.8	79.3	+7.8	90%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 72.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.4 points a game

49%

32%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.0	15.5	41.9%	52.5%	31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	9.5	36.5%	32.3%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	21.0	12.5	59.5%	70.5%	12.5

They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.5	53.2%	52.5%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	6.5	25.5%	32.3%	19.5
🏀 Free throws	21.5	13.5	62.8%	70.5%	13.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.5	53.2%	52.5%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	6.5	25.5%	32.3%	19.5
🏀 Free throws	21.5	13.5	62.8%	70.5%	13.5

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Vitoria wins

Sporting CP wins

Date	Game	Score
24/04/21	Sporting CP v Vitoria	85-67
22/04/21	Sporting CP v Vitoria	94-58
27/03/21	Vitoria v Sporting CP	78-80
27/02/21	Vitoria v Sporting CP	77-82
07/11/20	Sporting CP v Vitoria	112-71
07/10/20	Sporting CP v Vitoria	85-71
29/02/20	Vitoria v Sporting CP	89-102
23/11/19	Sporting CP v Vitoria	89-83

Vitorialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/04/21	A	Sporting CP	67-85
22/04/21	A	Sporting CP	58-94
17/04/21	A	Ovarense	118-108 OT
03/04/21	H	Academica	80-72
27/03/21	H	Sporting CP	78-80
21/03/21	A	Imortal	76-83
18/03/21	H	CAB Madeira	89-100
13/03/21	A	Maia	83-65
07/03/21	H	Galitos	100-67
03/03/21	A	Oliveirense	78-101

Sporting CPlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/04/21	H	Vitoria	85-67
22/04/21	H	Vitoria	94-58
17/04/21	A	Oliveirense	76-87
11/04/21	A	Imortal	83-59
10/04/21	H	FC Porto	85-77
03/04/21	A	Ovarense	97-92
27/03/21	A	Vitoria	80-78
21/03/21	H	Esgueira	97-68
19/03/21	A	Benfica	87-75
13/03/21	H	Lusitania	89-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria

LPB 2020-21

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	43%
Home	LLWLW	54%
Away	WLWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	13	15
Win %	43%	54%	33%
Points / game	78.5	79.9	77.3
Allowed / game	82.6	76.2	88.2
Point differential	-4.1	+3.8	-10.9
Avg total	161.1	156.1	165.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	38%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	33% (3)	67% (3)
Overtime %	11%	0%	20%

Sporting CP

LPB 2020-21

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	89%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLWWL	77%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	15	13
Win %	89%	100%	77%
Points / game	88.9	90.9	86.5
Allowed / game	69.6	64.6	75.4
Point differential	+19.2	+26.3	+11.1
Avg total	158.5	155.5	161.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	64%	73%	54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	100% (2)	50% (4)
Overtime %	7%	7%	8%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sporting CP	28	25	3	89%	88.9	69.6	+19.2
2	FC Porto	28	24	4	86%	83.6	67.3	+16.2
3	Imortal	28	22	6	79%	85.7	76.7	+9.0
4	Benfica	28	20	8	71%	89.9	77.9	+11.9
5	Oliveirense	28	20	8	71%	85.1	76.5	+8.6
6	Lusitania	28	17	11	61%	83.1	81.2	+1.9
7	Vitoria	28	12	16	43%	78.5	82.6	-4.1
8	CAB Madeira	28	12	16	43%	81.5	86.6	-5.1
9	Academica	28	11	17	39%	77.0	81.4	-4.4
10	Ovarense	28	10	18	36%	79.8	83.9	-4.1
11	Esgueira	28	8	20	29%	75.6	81.2	-5.6
12	Galitos	28	8	20	29%	75.2	84.7	-9.4
13	Maia	26	3	23	12%	72.3	87.2	-14.9
14	Barreirense	26	2	24	8%	70.8	92.8	-22.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Vitoria	20	15	25	24	84
Sporting CP	16	23	11	21	71

← all games of the day

Vitoria vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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