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Vitoria vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 89-97
13-31 32-19 16-26 28-21
Position#9
Record8-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game83.4
Vitoria
Portugal
vs
Sporting CP 🏆
Portugal
Position#3
Record13-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game77.7
PortugalLPBRound 20· Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense
Other2024-25
Meetings · Vitoria v Sporting CP
06 Mar 2027
VITO v SCP
upcoming
05 Oct 2025
VITO68
SCP97
12 Apr 2025
VITO89
SCP97
27 Jan 2024
VITO80
SCP88
08 Oct 2023
VITO89
SCP92
04 Jan 2023
VITO95
SCP90
06 Feb 2022
VITO88
SCP102
01 May 2021
VITO80
SCP97
29 Apr 2021
VITO84
SCP71
27 Mar 2021
VITO78
SCP80
27 Feb 2021
VITO77
SCP82
29 Feb 2020
VITO89
SCP102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sporting CP winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
W
100-97 OT
100
97
+3
85avg 75
H02/02
LPB
Benfica
#3
L
90-95
90
95
-5
91avg 75
H08/02
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#8
W
86-73
86
73
+13
86avg 75
A15/02
LPB
Benfica
#4
L
68-85
68
85
-17
64avg 75
A01/03
Taca da Liga
CA Queluz
#11
W
104-77
104
77
+27
108avg 75
H08/03
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
63avg 75
A15/03
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
82-75
82
75
+7
75avg 75
A22/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
103-93
103
93
+10
113avg 75
H29/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
71-81
71
81
-10
63avg 75
A05/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
84-102
84
102
-18
74avg 75
A08/04
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
17-20
20-20
18-17
21-26
27-20
20-17
22-32
22-17
23-25
19-19
22-12
15-22
16-28
22-18
15-17
25-11
22-19
33-25
24-22
23-15
13-20
17-25
23-21
23-16
15-31
22-11
22-17
30-17
23-28
24-13
26-35
15-17
21-21
27-19
8-24
24-24
21-17
21-31
18-30
172.3Avg total
86.4Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.783.4165.1-1.742%
Season at home (9)83.683.1166.7+0.444%
Season away (10)80.083.7163.7-3.740%
Last 10 (10)86.485.9172.3+0.550%
Last 5 (5)83.286.4169.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)75.790.0165.7-14.311%
vs Similar (12)81.584.2165.7-2.742%
vs Weaker (8)85.875.4161.1+10.475%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
Galomar
#8
W
89-69
89
69
+20
86avg 73
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
CA Queluz
#11
W
103-78
103
78
+25
107avg 73
A15/02
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
W
99-87
99
87
+12
89avg 73
A01/03
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
W
100-91
100
91
+9
102avg 73
H08/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
76-77
76
77
-1
70avg 73
A15/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
80-70
80
70
+10
74avg 73
H22/03
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
66avg 73
A23/03
Taca de Portugal
CD Povoa
#10
W
84-57
84
57
+27
78avg 73
H29/03
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
94-82
94
82
+12
79avg 73
A05/04
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
72-82
72
82
-10
62avg 73
A09/04
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
23-25
18-22
23-9
29-18
21-21
24-26
29-13
23-28
28-16
24-14
24-29
24-17
23-22
25-31
28-21
23-17
16-22
22-15
15-23
27-21
20-17
13-15
20-17
15-19
16-25
16-20
26-30
22-15
20-20
21-12
21-10
16-20
28-15
27-25
23-22
18-17
19-20
24-24
11-21
165.7Avg total
87.0Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)85.577.7163.2+7.768%
Season at home (10)89.476.5165.9+12.990%
Season away (9)81.179.1160.2+2.044%
Last 10 (10)87.078.7165.7+8.370%
Last 5 (5)80.677.0157.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.386.4158.7-14.114%
vs Similar (4)85.581.5167.0+4.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)86.876.2163.0+10.678%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: +3.7+3.7Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
VitoriaSporting CP
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H02/02
LPB
Benfica
#3
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H08/02
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A15/02
LPB
Benfica
#4
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A01/03
Taca da Liga
CA Queluz
#11
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H08/03
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A15/03
LPB
Galomar
#12
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A22/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H29/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A05/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A08/04
Taca da Liga
83.4Avg total
41.9Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.382.2-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.941.281.1-1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)41.841.383.1+0.456%-
Last 10 (10)41.941.583.4+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)41.641.282.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)36.144.680.7-8.411%-
vs Similar (12)41.041.282.2-0.267%-
vs Weaker (8)42.937.880.6+5.175%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galomar
#8
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H09/02
Taca de Portugal
CA Queluz
#11
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A15/02
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A01/03
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H08/03
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A15/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H22/03
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A23/03
Taca de Portugal
CD Povoa
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H29/03
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A05/04
LPB
FC Porto
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A09/04
Taca da Liga
82.4Avg total
43.6Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.580.6+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.838.580.3+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)40.540.580.9+0.040%-
Last 10 (10)43.638.882.4+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.878.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.944.681.4-7.714%-
vs Similar (4)43.241.284.5+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.937.779.6+4.261%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.617.8
53.0%
51.2%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.610.9
33.4%
32.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws24.617.3
70.3%
69.2%17.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 86.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.923.9
58.4%
51.2%47.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.8
33.9%
32.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws24.314.8
60.9%
69.2%14.8
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vitoria
LLWWLWLWLW
Sporting CP
LWWLWLWWWW
#9
League position
#3
+0.4
Net rating
+10.4
108.9
Offensive rating
113.7
108.5
Defensive rating
103.2
51.6%
Effective FG%
55.7%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
19.9%
Turnover %
15.1%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.4%
3-point %
33.9%
64.5%
Assist %
54.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 113.7Defence108.5 · 103.2Shooting51.6% · 55.7%3-point %33.4% · 33.9%Ball care19.9% · 15.1%Off. rebounds35.3% · 29.6%Free throws0.37 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Vitoria   ■ Sporting CP
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Vitoria wins
8
Sporting CP wins
DateGameScore
21/12/24Sporting CP v Vitoria92-90
04/02/24Sporting CP v Vitoria98-68
27/01/24Vitoria v Sporting CP80-88
08/10/23Vitoria v Sporting CP89-92
04/01/23Vitoria v Sporting CP95-90
16/10/22Sporting CP v Vitoria114-83
06/02/22Vitoria v Sporting CP88-102
13/11/21Sporting CP v Vitoria99-62
01/05/21Vitoria v Sporting CP80-97
29/04/21Vitoria v Sporting CP84-71
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/25AGalitos Barreiro84-102
05/04/25ACD Povoa71-81
29/03/25HGalitos Barreiro103-93
22/03/25AGalomar82-75
15/03/25AOvarense76-81
08/03/25HCA Queluz104-77
01/03/25ABenfica68-85
15/02/25AEsgueira86-73
08/02/25HBenfica90-95
02/02/25HFC Porto100-97 OT
Sporting CPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/25AFC Porto72-82
05/04/25AGalomar94-82
29/03/25HCD Povoa84-57
23/03/25AFC Porto73-94
22/03/25HOliveirense80-70
15/03/25AGalitos Barreiro76-77
08/03/25HOvarense100-91
01/03/25ACA Queluz99-87
15/02/25ACA Queluz103-78
09/02/25HGalomar89-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL42%
HomeLLWWW44%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %42%44%40%
Points / game81.783.680.0
Allowed / game83.483.183.7
Point differential-1.7+0.4-3.7
Avg total165.1166.7163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%33%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Sporting CP
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW68%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayLLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %68%90%44%
Points / game85.589.481.1
Allowed / game77.776.579.1
Point differential+7.7+12.9+2.0
Avg total163.2165.9160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica1918195%91.176.0+15.1
2 FC Porto1916384%88.078.5+9.5
3 Sporting CP1913668%85.577.7+7.7
4 Oliveirense1911858%85.379.7+5.6
5 Ovarense1911858%79.379.9-0.6
6 Galitos Barreiro1991047%79.479.8-0.5
7 Imortal1991047%79.384.9-5.6
8 Vitoria1981142%81.783.4-1.7
9 Esgueira1981142%82.286.9-4.8
10 CD Povoa1951426%73.480.7-7.4
11 CA Queluz1941521%81.189.6-8.5
12 Galomar1921711%74.182.8-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vitoria1332162889
Sporting CP3119262197
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