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Vitoria vs Vasco Da Gama Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 84-88
23-28 26-14 12-21 23-25
Position#10
Record3-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game88.4
vs
Position#11
Record1-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game93.6
PortugalLPBRound 10· Pavilhao Desportivo Unidade Vimaranense
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vitoria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco Da Gama winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
68-88
68
88
-20
55avg 76
H14/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
68-97
68
97
-29
58avg 76
H05/10
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
81-84
81
84
-3
70avg 76
A11/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
72-76
72
76
-4
60avg 76
A18/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
76-87
76
87
-11
64avg 76
H01/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
85-105
85
105
-20
76avg 76
A08/11
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
77-94
77
94
-17
64avg 76
H15/11
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
97-90
97
90
+7
94avg 76
A06/12
LPB
Braga
#7
W
82-72
82
72
+10
65avg 76
H20/12
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
103-91
103
91
+12
95avg 76
A28/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
10-12
19-33
17-24
8-20
27-21
14-27
19-29
23-28
21-16
22-21
15-19
22-25
13-18
16-20
21-13
27-18
12-22
21-23
16-24
26-29
16-27
16-14
27-35
16-25
24-18
20-25
17-26
34-25
21-19
20-29
22-17
25-16
19-15
17-18
21-23
23-28
29-26
30-21
21-16
169.3Avg total
80.9Scored
88.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.388.4170.8-6.133%
Season at home (4)75.887.5163.2-11.825%
Season away (5)87.689.2176.8-1.640%
Last 10 (10)80.988.4169.3-7.530%
Last 5 (5)88.890.4179.2-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.592.6172.1-13.17%
vs Similar (11)85.985.2171.1+0.755%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)91.580.0171.5+11.575%
This opponent (Vasco Da Gama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vasco Da GamaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGama
Date
Competition
CB Queluz
#4
W
100-79
100
79
+21
96avg 72
H01/06
Proliga
FC Porto
#2
L
73-95
73
95
-22
59avg 72
A04/10
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
75-83
75
83
-8
61avg 72
A11/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
111-83
111
83
+28
111avg 72
A18/10
LPB
Braga
#7
L
74-84
74
84
-10
58avg 72
H01/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
103-107 OT
103
107
-4
92avg 72
A09/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
80-95
80
95
-15
67avg 72
H15/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
80-87
80
87
-7
69avg 72
H06/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
67-89
67
89
-22
55avg 72
A20/12
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
66-119
66
119
-53
46avg 72
H28/12
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
20-21
30-17
23-23
17-25
10-27
21-20
25-23
21-16
18-21
11-23
25-23
19-18
28-9
25-29
39-27
22-19
12-25
17-19
23-21
27-19
23-20
22-30
21-24
24-26
23-28
14-26
19-15
11-25
23-20
22-18
24-24
16-26
17-24
19-21
15-18
15-27
19-31
13-28
19-33
175.0Avg total
82.9Scored
92.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.093.6174.6-12.611%
Season at home (4)75.096.2171.2-21.20%
Season away (5)85.891.4177.2-5.620%
Last 10 (10)82.992.1175.0-9.220%
Last 5 (5)79.299.4178.6-20.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)78.091.3169.3-13.310%
vs Similar (15)85.779.9165.7+5.873%
vs Weaker (4)80.278.2158.5+2.050%
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +0.2+0.2
VitoriaVasco Da Gama
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H14/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H05/10
LPB
Imortal
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A11/10
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A18/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H01/11
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A08/11
LPB
Ovarense
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H15/11
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A06/12
LPB
Braga
#7
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H20/12
LPB
Esgueira
#8
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A28/12
LPB
84.5Avg total
41.8Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.543.185.6-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.240.381.5+0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)43.645.689.2-2.138%-
Last 10 (10)41.842.784.5-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)46.645.692.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.345.184.4-5.814%-
vs Similar (11)43.543.086.5+0.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)44.537.582.0+7.075%-
This opponent (Vasco Da Gama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vasco Da GamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CB Queluz
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H01/06
Proliga
FC Porto
#2
L
27-52
27
52
-25
A04/10
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A11/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
47-27
47
27
+20
A18/10
LPB
Braga
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H01/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A09/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H15/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H06/12
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A20/12
LPB
Imortal
#6
L
34-58
34
58
-24
H28/12
LPB
83.7Avg total
39.2Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.842.882.6-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.344.084.3-3.738%-
Last 30 away (14)39.141.480.6-2.350%-
Last 10 (10)39.244.583.7-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.649.288.8-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.645.382.9-7.730%-
vs Similar (15)41.440.081.4+1.460%-
vs Weaker (4)39.041.080.0-2.025%-
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.921.8
53.3%
52.7%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.2
30.9%
32.4%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.515.1
70.2%
70.4%15.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vasco Da Gamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco Da Gama: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.921.4
48.7%
52.7%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.1
29.6%
32.4%21.3
🏀 Free throws24.517.8
72.7%
70.4%17.8
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vitoria
WWWLLLLLLL
Vasco Da Gama
LLLLLLWLLW
#10
League position
#11
-9.3
Net rating
-11.6
102.2
Offensive rating
99.3
111.5
Defensive rating
110.9
50.8%
Effective FG%
47.2%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
21.7%
Turnover %
17.9%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.9%
3-point %
29.6%
43.1%
Assist %
55.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.2 · 99.3Defence111.5 · 110.9Shooting50.8% · 47.2%3-point %30.9% · 29.6%Ball care21.7% · 17.9%Off. rebounds33.2% · 26.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Vitoria   ■ Vasco Da Gama
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Vitoria wins
0
Vasco Da Gama wins
DateGameScore
18/01/25Vasco Da Gama v Vitoria88-122
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25AEsgueira103-91
20/12/25HBraga82-72
06/12/25AGalitos Barreiro97-90
15/11/25HOvarense77-94
08/11/25AFC Porto85-105
01/11/25HBenfica76-87
18/10/25ACA Queluz72-76
11/10/25AImortal81-84
05/10/25HSporting CP68-97
14/05/25HBenfica68-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HImortal66-119
20/12/25ASporting CP67-89
06/12/25HOliveirense80-87
15/11/25HCA Queluz80-95
09/11/25AEsgueira103-107 OT
01/11/25HBraga74-84
18/10/25AGalitos Barreiro111-83
11/10/25AOvarense75-83
04/10/25AFC Porto73-95
01/06/25HCB Queluz100-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vitoria
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW33%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %33%25%40%
Points / game82.375.887.6
Allowed / game88.487.589.2
Point differential-6.1-11.8-1.6
Avg total170.8163.2176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vasco Da Gama
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %11%0%20%
Points / game81.075.085.8
Allowed / game93.696.291.4
Point differential-12.6-21.2-5.6
Avg total174.6171.2177.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica990100%94.671.1+23.4
2 Sporting CP108280%89.177.9+11.2
3 Ovarense97278%80.377.8+2.6
4 FC Porto96367%94.088.8+5.2
5 Oliveirense106460%86.681.7+4.9
6 Imortal104640%87.184.8+2.3
7 CA Queluz104640%82.183.9-1.8
8 Esgueira104640%88.792.9-4.2
9 Braga104640%76.083.4-7.4
10 Vitoria93633%82.388.4-6.1
11 Vasco Da Gama91811%81.093.6-12.6
12 Galitos Barreiro91811%83.9102.0-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vitoria2326122384
Vasco Da Gama2814212588
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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