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VMI vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 64-86
28-48 36-38
Position#365
Record3-11
FormLLLWL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Mercer 🏆
USA
Position#223
Record7-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game70.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · VMI v Mercer
15 Jan 2026
VMI67
MERC77
04 Jan 2025
VMI67
MERC70
06 Jan 2024
VMI64
MERC86
19 Jan 2023
VMI61
MERC69
10 Feb 2022
VMI85
MERC79
07 Mar 2021
VMI59
MERC73
10 Dec 2020
VMI v MERC
upcoming
25 Jan 2020
VMI66
MERC69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VMI winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#272
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A18/11
NCAA
Air Force
#331
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A22/11
NCAA
Clarks Summit
#622
W
100-63
100
63
+37
H25/11
NCAA
Navy
#275
L
47-67
47
67
-20
A30/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#232
L
71-75
71
75
-4
H02/12
NCAA
American University
#203
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H09/12
NCAA
Radford
#220
L
56-73
56
73
-17
A13/12
NCAA
Longwood
#129
L
49-68
49
68
-19
A17/12
NCAA
Penn State-New Kensington
#405
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H22/12
NCAA
Wofford
#183
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-38
36-40
20-36
34-28
53-31
47-32
20-31
27-36
32-36
39-39
30-36
39-41
30-39
26-34
26-29
23-39
37-27
45-38
37-33
40-44
139.9Avg total
68.2Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)70.673.0143.6-2.421%
Season at home (5)81.866.6148.4+15.260%
Season away (9)64.476.6141.0-12.10%
Last 10 (10)68.271.7139.9-3.520%
Last 5 (5)68.274.0142.2-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)65.078.5143.5-13.64%
vs Similar (2)63.564.5128.0-1.050%
vs Weaker (1)100.063.0163.0+37.0100%
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#176
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A24/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
L
66-72
66
72
-6
A25/11
NCAA
Georgia
#197
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A02/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
62-83
62
83
-21
H06/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H09/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H16/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
W
84-65
84
65
+19
H20/12
NCAA
Thomas Univ.
#443
W
98-75
98
75
+23
H21/12
NCAA
Talladega
#452
W
74-50
74
50
+24
H29/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-17
28-42
36-32
30-40
31-44
38-36
31-44
31-39
36-31
28-29
37-33
33-32
42-26
42-39
50-36
48-39
39-25
35-25
30-42
39-38
140.5Avg total
71.6Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)69.970.9140.9-1.050%
Season at home (7)73.767.0140.7+6.771%
Season away (7)66.174.9141.0-8.729%
Last 10 (10)71.668.9140.5+2.760%
Last 5 (5)79.067.0146.0+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)61.274.6135.9-13.40%
vs Similar (14)67.168.6135.8-1.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)72.254.2126.4+18.0100%
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -0.7-0.7
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.8-1.81st half: +3.4+3.42nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: -0.7-0.7
VMIMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Arizona
#272
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A18/11
NCAA
Air Force
#331
L
20-36
20
36
-16
A22/11
NCAA
Clarks Summit
#622
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H25/11
NCAA
Navy
#275
L
20-31
20
31
-11
A30/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#232
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H02/12
NCAA
American University
#203
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H09/12
NCAA
Radford
#220
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A13/12
NCAA
Longwood
#129
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A17/12
NCAA
Penn State-New Kensington
#405
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H22/12
NCAA
Wofford
#183
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A04/01
NCAA
65.4Avg total
31.8Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.735.565.1-5.820%-
Last 30 at home (13)30.432.763.1-2.338%-
Last 30 away (17)29.137.666.7-8.56%-
Last 10 (10)31.833.665.4-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)32.032.864.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)27.937.265.1-9.38%-
vs Similar (2)29.528.558.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker (1)53.031.084.0+22.0100%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tennessee State
#176
W
32-17
32
17
+15
A24/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#300
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A25/11
NCAA
Georgia
#197
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A02/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
31-44
31
44
-13
H06/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#252
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H09/12
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H16/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#269
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H20/12
NCAA
Thomas Univ.
#443
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H21/12
NCAA
Talladega
#452
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H29/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#170
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A04/01
NCAA
69.4Avg total
36.4Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.632.364.8+0.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.131.365.3+2.873%-
Last 30 away (15)31.133.364.3-2.253%-
Last 10 (10)36.433.069.4+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)39.632.472.0+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)28.238.066.2-9.825%-
vs Similar (14)33.432.365.7+1.171%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)32.024.056.0+8.080%-
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
VMI wins
7
Mercer wins
DateGameScore
04/02/23Mercer v VMI80-54
20/01/23VMI v Mercer61-69
11/02/22VMI v Mercer85-79
14/01/22Mercer v VMI97-91
08/03/21VMI v Mercer59-73
23/01/21Mercer v VMI83-80
25/01/20VMI v Mercer66-69
16/01/20Mercer v VMI73-62
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24AWofford85-87 OT
22/12/23HPenn State-New Kensington82-65
17/12/23ALongwood49-68
13/12/23ARadford56-73
09/12/23HAmerican University69-77
02/12/23HPresbyterian71-75
30/11/23ANavy47-67
25/11/23HClarks Summit100-63
22/11/23AAir Force54-64
18/11/23ANorthern Arizona69-78
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/24AEast Tennessee St69-80
29/12/23HTalladega74-50
21/12/23HThomas Univ.98-75
20/12/23HQueens Royals84-65
16/12/23HFlorida Gulf Coast70-65
09/12/23HGeorgia State64-60
06/12/23HSouth Alabama62-83
02/12/23AGeorgia69-80
25/11/23AWestern Michigan66-72
24/11/23ATennessee State60-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VMI
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL21%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %21%60%0%
Points / game70.681.864.4
Allowed / game73.066.676.6
Point differential-2.4+15.2-12.1
Avg total143.6148.4141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %7%0%11%
Mercer
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL50%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game69.973.766.1
Allowed / game70.967.074.9
Point differential-1.0+6.7-8.7
Avg total140.9140.7141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samford1412286%90.174.9+15.2
2 Western Carolina1412286%77.466.4+11.0
3 NC Greensboro1410471%78.669.9+8.6
4 East Tennessee St149564%72.867.8+5.0
5 Citadel148657%73.266.5+6.7
6 Chattanooga Mocs148657%78.572.6+5.9
7 Wofford148657%80.676.6+4.0
8 Mercer147750%69.970.9-1.0
9 Furman146843%83.580.1+3.4
10 VMI1431121%70.673.0-2.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
VMI283664
Mercer483886
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