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VMI vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 67-70
26-34 41-36
Position#250
Record6-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game72.1
vs
Mercer 🏆
USA
Position#264
Record8-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game76.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · VMI v Mercer
15 Jan 2026
VMI67
MERC77
04 Jan 2025
VMI67
MERC70
06 Jan 2024
VMI64
MERC86
19 Jan 2023
VMI61
MERC69
10 Feb 2022
VMI85
MERC79
07 Mar 2021
VMI59
MERC73
10 Dec 2020
VMI v MERC
upcoming
25 Jan 2020
VMI66
MERC69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VMI winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston Southern
#329
W
80-69
80
69
+11
A16/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
48-93
48
93
-45
A19/11
NCAA
Davidson
#195
L
66-93
66
93
-27
A23/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#294
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A27/11
NCAA
George Washington
#96
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A29/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#673
W
113-51
113
51
+62
H03/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#143
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H07/12
NCAA
Regent University
#586
W
100-61
100
61
+39
H12/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A21/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-39
40-30
20-39
28-54
30-48
36-45
42-30
25-40
29-42
35-35
60-23
53-28
33-46
45-35
54-28
46-33
29-41
42-37
38-38
31-46
151.3Avg total
75.6Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.172.1151.3+7.043%
Season at home (5)99.260.6159.8+38.680%
Season away (9)68.078.6146.6-10.622%
Last 10 (10)75.675.7151.3-0.130%
Last 5 (5)86.271.0157.2+15.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)66.988.5155.4-21.65%
vs Similar ◀ (4)70.579.0149.5-8.50%
vs Weaker (6)90.564.0154.5+26.583%
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#301
L
72-84
72
84
-12
A22/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
W
90-89 OT
90
89
+1
H25/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H26/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H04/12
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
A08/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H15/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#143
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A19/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
L
97-102
97
102
-5
A21/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A28/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
99-94 OT
99
94
+5
H01/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-36
40-48
30-40
44-34
30-35
42-40
40-29
46-43
40-38
33-35
37-30
38-33
29-30
37-43
36-44
61-58
40-37
31-31
42-37
43-48
162.0Avg total
81.7Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.876.4160.2+7.457%
Season at home (7)92.670.0162.6+22.686%
Season away (7)75.082.9157.9-7.929%
Last 10 (10)81.780.3162.0+1.460%
Last 5 (5)81.680.0161.6+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.478.9154.3-3.443%
vs Similar ◀ (10)70.975.8146.7-4.940%
vs Weaker (6)94.364.0158.3+30.3100%
This opponent (VMI) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +0.2+0.2
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.1+0.11st half: +0.0+0.02nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +0.2+0.2
VMIMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston Southern
#329
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A16/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#173
L
20-39
20
39
-19
A19/11
NCAA
Davidson
#195
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A23/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#294
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A27/11
NCAA
George Washington
#96
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A29/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#673
W
60-23
60
23
+37
H03/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#143
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H07/12
NCAA
Regent University
#586
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H12/12
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A21/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A01/01
NCAA
74.9Avg total
37.5Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.240.877.0-4.630%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.536.875.3+1.646%-
Last 30 away (17)34.543.878.3-9.418%-
Last 10 (10)37.537.474.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)42.835.278.0+7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)33.044.877.8-11.811%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)34.040.574.5-6.525%-
vs Weaker (6)45.330.876.2+14.583%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina
#301
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A22/11
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#133
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H25/11
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H26/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#354
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H04/12
NCAA
Stetson
#341
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A08/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H15/12
NCAA
Queens Royals
#143
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A19/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A21/12
NCAA
Georgia State
#274
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A28/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H01/01
NCAA
71.2Avg total
35.6Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.934.569.4+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.132.469.5+4.856%-
Last 30 away (14)32.436.969.3-4.436%-
Last 10 (10)35.635.671.2+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.672.4+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.937.570.4-4.621%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)31.733.264.9-1.550%-
vs Weaker (6)45.029.574.5+15.5100%-
This opponent (VMI) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
VMI wins
9
Mercer wins
DateGameScore
03/02/24Mercer v VMI90-69
06/01/24VMI v Mercer64-86
04/02/23Mercer v VMI80-54
20/01/23VMI v Mercer61-69
11/02/22VMI v Mercer85-79
14/01/22Mercer v VMI97-91
08/03/21VMI v Mercer59-73
23/01/21Mercer v VMI83-80
25/01/20VMI v Mercer66-69
16/01/20Mercer v VMI73-62
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/25AEast Tennessee St69-84
21/12/24ARichmond Spiders71-78
12/12/24HRegent University100-61
07/12/24HQueens Royals78-81
03/12/24HVirginia-Lynchburg113-51
29/11/24AGeorge Washington64-77
27/11/24ALoyola Maryland67-70
23/11/24ADavidson66-93
19/11/24APittsburgh48-93
16/11/24ACharleston Southern80-69
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/25HChattanooga Mocs99-94 OT
28/12/24AGeorgia State71-68
21/12/24AWinthrop97-102
19/12/24AQueens Royals66-73
15/12/24HChicago State75-63
08/12/24AStetson89-83 OT
04/12/24HWest Georgia86-72
26/11/24HMiami (Ohio)72-75
25/11/24HJacksonville Dolphins90-89 OT
22/11/24ASouth Carolina72-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VMI
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL43%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %43%80%22%
Points / game79.199.268.0
Allowed / game72.160.678.6
Point differential+7.0+38.6-10.6
Avg total151.3159.8146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%80%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mercer
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayLWLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%86%29%
Points / game83.892.675.0
Allowed / game76.470.082.9
Point differential+7.4+22.6-7.9
Avg total160.2162.6157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %21%29%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman1513287%78.965.0+13.9
2 Samford1512380%88.775.8+12.9
3 NC Greensboro159660%74.663.6+11.0
4 Chattanooga Mocs159660%76.772.2+4.5
5 Mercer148657%83.876.4+7.4
6 East Tennessee St158753%75.868.4+7.4
7 Wofford157847%74.671.1+3.5
8 VMI146843%79.172.1+7.0
9 Citadel135838%71.874.0-2.2
10 Western Carolina134931%69.278.2-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
VMI264167
Mercer343670
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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