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Mercer vs VMI Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 80-54
39-26 41-28
Position#261
Record11-13
FormWLWWL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game68.3
Mercer 🏆
USA
vs
Position#356
Record6-18
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game74.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Mercer v VMI
20 Jan 2027
MERC v VMI
upcoming
31 Jan 2026
MERC95
VMI81
15 Feb 2025
MERC71
VMI80
03 Feb 2024
MERC90
VMI69
04 Feb 2023
MERC80
VMI54
13 Jan 2022
MERC97
VMI91
23 Jan 2021
MERC83
VMI80
15 Jan 2020
MERC73
VMI62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
VMI winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
51-80
51
80
-29
H31/12
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H05/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
L
45-73
45
73
-28
A07/01
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
66-84
66
84
-18
H12/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
68-55
68
55
+13
A14/01
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A20/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A21/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
71-67 OT
71
67
+4
H26/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
74-65
74
65
+9
A28/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
49-69
49
69
-20
H03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
22-35
29-45
27-28
25-25
23-31
22-42
32-52
34-32
31-28
37-27
30-30
39-31
24-29
24-30
27-32
32-27
30-29
44-36
21-41
28-28
125.9Avg total
59.3Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)69.468.3137.7+1.146%
Season at home (11)71.565.7137.2+5.755%
Season away (13)67.670.5138.1-2.838%
Last 10 (10)59.366.6125.9-7.340%
Last 5 (5)62.264.2126.4-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)63.472.7136.1-9.314%
vs Similar (15)65.165.1130.3+0.053%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)82.867.5150.2+15.262%
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#286
L
50-64
50
64
-14
H31/12
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A05/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
78-85
78
85
-7
A07/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
57-72
57
72
-15
H12/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
67-86
67
86
-19
A15/01
NCAA
Mercer
#261
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H20/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H21/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
50-62
50
62
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H28/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A03/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-33
25-31
39-46
39-41
29-39
49-46
22-31
35-41
30-36
37-50
30-30
31-39
23-14
29-46
16-28
34-34
26-32
39-39
36-43
39-26
135.8Avg total
63.3Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)70.674.2144.8-3.625%
Season at home (10)75.666.5142.1+9.150%
Season away (14)67.079.6146.6-12.67%
Last 10 (10)63.372.5135.8-9.210%
Last 5 (5)60.666.2126.8-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)67.277.4144.6-10.316%
vs Similar (5)64.470.4134.8-6.020%
vs Weaker (4)96.576.8173.2+19.850%
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.8-6.81st half: -5.6-5.62nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: -3.6-3.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -6.8-6.81st half: -5.6-5.62nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: -3.6-3.6
MercerVMI
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H31/12
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H05/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A07/01
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H12/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A14/01
NCAA
VMI
#356
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A20/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A21/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H26/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A28/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
21-41
21
41
-20
H03/02
NCAA
60.2Avg total
26.7Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.432.265.5+1.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.633.768.4+0.936%-
Last 30 away (16)32.230.863.1+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)26.733.560.2-6.820%-
Last 5 (5)26.432.258.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.636.066.6-5.429%-
vs Similar (15)30.630.160.7+0.540%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.032.673.6+8.462%-
This opponent (VMI) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#286
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H31/12
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A05/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A07/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
22-31
22
31
-9
H12/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A15/01
NCAA
Mercer
#261
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H20/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
W
23-14
23
14
+9
H21/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
16-28
16
28
-12
A26/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H28/01
NCAA
Citadel
#330
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A03/02
NCAA
60.8Avg total
27.6Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.835.468.2-2.627%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.830.666.3+5.242%-
Last 30 away (18)30.838.669.4-7.817%-
Last 10 (10)27.633.260.8-5.610%-
Last 5 (5)26.229.455.6-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)29.536.365.7-6.811%-
vs Similar (5)32.233.665.8-1.440%-
vs Weaker (4)43.533.276.8+10.275%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Mercer wins
1
VMI wins
DateGameScore
20/01/23VMI v Mercer61-69
11/02/22VMI v Mercer85-79
14/01/22Mercer v VMI97-91
08/03/21VMI v Mercer59-73
23/01/21Mercer v VMI83-80
25/01/20VMI v Mercer66-69
16/01/20Mercer v VMI73-62
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/23HNC Greensboro49-69
28/01/23ACitadel74-65
26/01/23HEast Tennessee St71-67 OT
21/01/23ANC Greensboro48-59
20/01/23AVMI69-61
14/01/23AEast Tennessee St68-55
12/01/23HFurman66-84
07/01/23AWestern Carolina45-73
05/01/23HWofford52-53
31/12/22HChattanooga Mocs51-80
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/23ACitadel75-69
28/01/23HWestern Carolina65-71
26/01/23ANC Greensboro50-62
21/01/23HCitadel52-60
20/01/23HMercer61-69
15/01/23AWofford67-86
12/01/23HNC Greensboro57-72
07/01/23AChattanooga Mocs78-85
05/01/23ASamford78-87
31/12/22HEast Tennessee St50-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercer
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL46%
HomeLLLWL55%
AwayLWWLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %46%55%38%
Points / game69.471.567.6
Allowed / game68.365.770.5
Point differential+1.1+5.7-2.8
Avg total137.7137.2138.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%27%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %8%9%8%
VMI
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW25%
HomeLLLLL50%
AwayLLLLW7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241014
Win %25%50%7%
Points / game70.675.667.0
Allowed / game74.266.579.6
Point differential-3.6+9.1-12.6
Avg total144.8142.1146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman2418675%82.071.7+10.3
2 NC Greensboro2516964%70.262.8+7.4
3 Samford2415962%78.571.2+7.3
4 Wofford24131154%74.170.2+4.0
5 Chattanooga Mocs24121250%77.171.0+6.1
6 Western Carolina24121250%74.869.9+4.9
7 Mercer24111346%69.468.3+1.1
8 East Tennessee St2491538%69.767.8+1.9
9 Citadel2591636%69.174.5-5.4
10 VMI2461825%70.674.2-3.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Mercer394180
VMI262854
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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