PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Wagner vs Mercyhurst Lakers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 69-70
32-32 37-38
Position#249
Record6-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#206
Record6-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game66.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Wagner v Mercyhurst Lakers
14 Jan 2027
WAGN v MERC
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
WAGN69
MERC70
18 Jan 2025
WAGN65
MERC69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wagner winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercyhurst Lakers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WagnerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#225
L
75-92
75
92
-17
A22/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
103-101 OT
103
101
+2
A26/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
63-89
63
89
-26
A03/12
NCAA
Bryant & Stratton
#605
W
92-36
92
36
+56
H06/12
NCAA
Bloomfield Deacons
#375
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
H12/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H18/12
NCAA
Manor College
#487
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H22/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A03/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
60-69
60
69
-9
H04/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-44
48-48
43-56
46-33
26-33
37-56
43-13
49-23
42-48
43-37
35-31
43-33
36-18
38-39
41-35
38-37
29-28
31-41
37-39
32-32
153.2Avg total
78.8Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.374.9150.2+0.443%
Season at home (6)78.065.0143.0+13.067%
Season away (8)73.282.4155.6-9.125%
Last 10 (10)78.874.4153.2+4.460%
Last 5 (5)72.066.6138.6+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)62.769.5132.2-6.817%
vs Similar ◀ (13)61.167.9129.0-6.823%
vs Weaker (10)76.367.5143.8+8.870%
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mercyhurst LakersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#124
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A24/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
38-70
38
70
-32
A30/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A06/12
NCAA
Bethany
#562
W
80-51
80
51
+29
H07/12
NCAA
Davidson
#109
L
47-80
47
80
-33
A13/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A18/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
82-61
82
61
+21
H20/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H03/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H04/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A09/01
NCAA
1H
2H
23-27
37-42
22-39
16-31
34-34
37-45
45-22
35-29
15-36
32-44
23-39
39-37
42-18
40-43
32-28
35-46
34-31
40-29
26-39
32-21
131.9Avg total
63.9Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)66.566.5133.0+0.038%
Season at home (6)80.360.2140.5+20.283%
Season away (10)58.270.3128.5-12.110%
Last 10 (10)63.968.0131.9-4.130%
Last 5 (5)68.666.2134.8+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.575.2145.8-4.825%
vs Similar ◀ (14)60.968.0128.9-7.143%
vs Weaker (11)75.270.0145.2+5.255%
This opponent (Wagner) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -2.4-2.4
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.4+1.41st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: +2.6+2.62nd half: -2.4-2.4
WagnerMercyhurst Lakers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
WagnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#225
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A22/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A26/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A03/12
NCAA
Bryant & Stratton
#605
W
43-13
43
13
+30
H06/12
NCAA
Bloomfield Deacons
#375
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H12/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H18/12
NCAA
Manor College
#487
W
36-18
36
18
+18
H22/12
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H04/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H09/01
NCAA
70.4Avg total
35.9Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.930.761.6+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.828.260.0+3.754%-
Last 30 away (17)30.232.762.9-2.535%-
Last 10 (10)35.934.570.4+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)35.630.265.8+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.232.865.0-0.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)27.129.256.3-2.238%-
vs Weaker (10)34.029.763.7+4.350%-
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mercyhurst LakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marshall
#124
L
23-27
23
27
-4
A24/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
22-39
22
39
-17
A30/11
NCAA
Lafayette
#317
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A06/12
NCAA
Bethany
#562
W
45-22
45
22
+23
H07/12
NCAA
Davidson
#109
L
15-36
15
36
-21
A13/12
NCAA
Syracuse
#236
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A18/12
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
42-18
42
18
+24
H20/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H03/01
NCAA
Le Moyne
#240
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H04/01
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A09/01
NCAA
60.9Avg total
29.6Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.830.662.4+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.925.862.7+11.292%-
Last 30 away (18)28.333.862.2-5.522%-
Last 10 (10)29.631.360.9-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)31.431.062.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.033.064.0-2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)27.232.459.6-5.129%-
vs Weaker (11)36.728.765.5+8.073%-
This opponent (Wagner) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Wagner wins
2
Mercyhurst Lakers wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Mercyhurst Lakers v Wagner71-66
18/01/25Wagner v Mercyhurst Lakers65-69
Wagnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26HSt. Francis (PA)69-71
04/01/26HStonehill60-69
03/01/26AChicago State79-72
22/12/25HManor College74-57
18/12/25HMd.-East. Shore78-64
12/12/25HBloomfield Deacons95-93 OT
06/12/25HBryant & Stratton92-36
03/12/25AMaryland63-89
26/11/25AManhattan103-101 OT
22/11/25AGeorgetown75-92
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/26ALIU Sharks58-60
04/01/26HLe Moyne74-60
03/01/26HFairleigh Dickinson67-74
20/12/25HBinghamton82-61
18/12/25ASyracuse62-76
13/12/25ADavidson47-80
07/12/25HBethany80-51
06/12/25ALafayette71-79
30/11/25AWest Virginia38-70
24/11/25AMarshall60-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wagner
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL43%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLLWLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %43%67%25%
Points / game75.378.073.2
Allowed / game74.965.082.4
Point differential+0.4+13.0-9.1
Avg total150.2143.0155.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %21%17%25%
Mercyhurst Lakers
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL38%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16610
Win %38%83%10%
Points / game66.580.358.2
Allowed / game66.560.270.3
Point differential+0.0+20.2-12.1
Avg total133.0140.5128.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State148657%78.471.5+6.9
2 LIU Sharks169756%75.977.9-2.1
3 Le Moyne167944%74.875.3-0.5
4 Wagner146843%75.374.9+0.4
5 Mercyhurst Lakers1661038%66.566.5+0.0
6 New Haven Chargers1661038%64.468.1-3.6
7 Stonehill1651131%68.070.8-2.8
8 Fairleigh Dickinson1651131%70.073.2-3.2
9 St. Francis (PA)1641225%69.182.8-13.7
10 Chicago State1621412%65.781.9-16.2
11 St. Francis (ILL)1010%55.098.0-43.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Wagner323769
Mercyhurst Lakers323870
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.