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Wagner vs Mercyhurst Lakers Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 15 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#315
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#317
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game61.2
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Wagner v Mercyhurst Lakers
14 Jan 2027
WAGN v MERC
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
WAGN69
MERC70
18 Jan 2025
WAGN65
MERC69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wagner win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mercyhurst Lakers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WagnerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
A20/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
65-56
65
56
+9
A21/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H27/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H28/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A05/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A07/03
NCAA
Boston College
#36
L
50-76
50
76
-26
A04/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#92
L
57-83
57
83
-26
A07/11
NCAA
Uconn
#30
L
41-83
41
83
-42
A10/11
NCAA
Bryant & Stratton
#529
W
117-51
117
51
+66
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-26
35-44
31-31
34-25
20-22
45-40
42-24
38-37
31-35
39-25
23-23
33-41
23-38
27-38
21-34
36-49
18-44
23-39
66-18
51-33
136.0Avg total
68.4Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)66.273.2139.5-7.025%
Season at home (1)117.051.0168.0+66.0100%
Season away (3)49.380.7130.0-31.30%
Last 10 (10)68.467.6136.0+0.860%
Last 5 (5)64.271.4135.6-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.380.7130.0-31.30%
vs Similar ◀ (16)66.970.3137.2-3.438%
vs Weaker (9)78.167.4145.6+10.778%
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mercyhurst LakersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#59
W
91-83
91
83
+8
H21/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A27/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
75-72 OT
75
72
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H05/03
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H07/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A10/03
NCAA
Marquette
#146
L
43-78
43
78
-35
A03/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#37
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A06/11
NCAA
Penn State-Shenango
#449
W
89-50
89
50
+39
H07/11
NCAA
Penn State
#179
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
45-45
46-38
30-34
48-46
30-30
32-32
35-28
35-33
23-19
33-32
40-42
30-37
14-36
29-42
23-38
33-45
44-25
45-25
29-33
28-39
139.4Avg total
68.5Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)61.270.8132.0-9.525%
Season at home (1)89.050.0139.0+39.0100%
Season away (3)52.077.7129.7-25.70%
Last 10 (10)68.570.9139.4-2.450%
Last 5 (5)63.072.4135.4-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)52.077.7129.7-25.70%
vs Similar ◀ (16)67.867.6135.4+0.250%
vs Weaker (10)74.968.6143.5+6.360%
This opponent (Wagner) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -1.0-1.0
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -1.7-1.72nd half2nd half: -1.0-1.02nd half: -1.0-1.0
WagnerMercyhurst Lakers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
WagnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A20/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A21/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
20-22
20
22
-2
H27/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H28/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A05/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
D
23-23
23
23
+0
A07/03
NCAA
Boston College
#36
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A04/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#92
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A07/11
NCAA
Uconn
#30
L
18-44
18
44
-26
A10/11
NCAA
Bryant & Stratton
#529
W
66-18
66
18
+48
H12/11
NCAA
60.5Avg total
31.0Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.032.065.0+1.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.928.765.6+8.164%-
Last 30 away (16)29.634.964.4-5.325%-
Last 10 (10)31.029.560.5+1.530%-
Last 5 (5)30.231.461.6-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)20.738.759.3-18.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)30.331.161.4-0.844%-
vs Weaker (9)37.131.168.2+6.056%-
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mercyhurst LakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
LIU Sharks
#59
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H21/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A28/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H05/03
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
23-19
23
19
+4
H07/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A10/03
NCAA
Marquette
#146
L
14-36
14
36
-22
A03/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#37
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A06/11
NCAA
Penn State-Shenango
#449
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H07/11
NCAA
Penn State
#179
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A12/11
NCAA
64.3Avg total
31.3Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.331.163.3+1.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.127.663.8+8.579%-
Last 30 away (16)28.934.162.9-5.219%-
Last 10 (10)31.333.064.3-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)30.034.864.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)22.035.757.7-13.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)30.631.662.2-1.138%-
vs Weaker (10)36.929.466.3+7.570%-
This opponent (Wagner) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Wagner wins
3
Mercyhurst Lakers wins
Wagnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HBryant & Stratton117-51
10/11/26AUconn41-83
07/11/26AMiami (FL)57-83
04/11/26ABoston College50-76
07/03/26ALIU Sharks56-64
05/03/26ACentral Connecticut State70-60
28/02/26HChicago State80-61
27/02/26HNew Haven Chargers65-62
21/02/26ASt. Francis (PA)65-56
20/02/26AMercyhurst Lakers83-80 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26APenn State57-72
07/11/26HPenn State-Shenango89-50
06/11/26ANotre Dame56-83
03/11/26AMarquette43-78
10/03/26ALIU Sharks70-79
07/03/26HStonehill56-51
05/03/26HFairleigh Dickinson70-61
28/02/26AStonehill75-72 OT
27/02/26ACentral Connecticut State78-80
21/02/26HLIU Sharks91-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wagner
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game66.2117.049.3
Allowed / game73.251.080.7
Point differential-7.0+66.0-31.3
Avg total139.5168.0130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mercyhurst Lakers
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game61.289.052.0
Allowed / game70.850.077.7
Point differential-9.5+39.0-25.7
Avg total132.0139.0129.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Le Moyne42250%76.072.5+3.5
2 Central Connecticut State42250%65.579.0-13.5
3 Chicago State52340%68.078.8-10.8
4 Fairleigh Dickinson52340%68.285.0-16.8
5 New Haven Chargers31233%58.370.0-11.7
6 Wagner41325%66.273.2-7.0
7 Mercyhurst Lakers41325%61.270.8-9.5
8 Stonehill41325%59.875.5-15.8
9 LIU Sharks5050%60.875.0-14.2
10 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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