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Merrimack Warriors vs Mount St. Mary's Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 17 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 50-57
30-31 20-26
Position#228
Record8-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game58.3
Allowed / game62.8
vs
Position#214
Record5-10
FormLWLWL
Points / game66.1
Allowed / game72.1
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Merrimack Warriors v Mount St. Mary's
02 Jan 2026
MERR75
MOUN65
14 Mar 2025
MERR55
MOUN57
31 Jan 2025
MERR58
MOUN66
17 Jan 2022
MERR50
MOUN57
09 Jan 2020
MERR64
MOUN61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Merrimack Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mount St. Mary's winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston University
#107
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A28/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H05/12
NCAA
Brown
#238
L
56-76
56
76
-20
H08/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
L
55-80
55
80
-25
A10/12
NCAA
Indiana
#126
L
49-81
49
81
-32
A12/12
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#347
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A21/12
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#306
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H30/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#163
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H31/12
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#338
W
66-57
66
57
+9
A08/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#318
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-30
23-31
37-27
20-34
19-35
37-41
31-42
24-38
30-36
19-45
25-21
24-26
37-24
37-40
47-30
35-47
33-30
33-27
18-29
28-33
126.0Avg total
59.4Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)58.362.8121.1-4.547%
Season at home (8)65.261.6126.9+3.662%
Season away (9)52.163.8115.9-11.733%
Last 10 (10)59.466.6126.0-7.240%
Last 5 (5)63.461.4124.8+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)55.569.2124.7-13.710%
vs Similar ◀ (12)64.964.9129.8+0.058%
vs Weaker (7)62.453.1115.6+9.3100%
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#47
L
59-73
59
73
-14
A23/11
NCAA
Navy
#86
L
40-67
40
67
-27
H27/11
NCAA
Howard
#161
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H01/12
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#224
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A04/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#98
L
77-88
77
88
-11
A08/12
NCAA
American University
#316
L
66-72 OT
66
72
-6
H11/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#216
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H18/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#163
L
57-74
57
74
-17
A07/01
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#306
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A08/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#74
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-32
33-41
18-33
22-34
31-33
41-37
34-37
21-24
43-46
34-42
31-31
30-30
36-30
38-30
21-36
36-38
24-32
45-29
28-37
38-36
133.4Avg total
63.5Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)66.172.1138.3-6.033%
Season at home (5)73.866.2140.0+7.660%
Season away (10)62.375.1137.4-12.820%
Last 10 (10)63.569.9133.4-6.430%
Last 5 (5)66.468.0134.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)64.578.3142.8-13.833%
vs Similar ◀ (13)58.262.4120.6-4.238%
vs Weaker (11)73.564.9138.4+8.564%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -5.5-5.52nd half2nd half: -8.2-8.22nd half: -0.3-0.3
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +1.0+1.01st half: -5.5-5.52nd half2nd half: -8.2-8.22nd half: -0.3-0.3
Merrimack WarriorsMount St. Mary's
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston University
#107
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A28/11
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#207
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H05/12
NCAA
Brown
#238
L
19-35
19
35
-16
H08/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#6
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A10/12
NCAA
Indiana
#126
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A12/12
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#347
W
25-21
25
21
+4
A21/12
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#306
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H30/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#163
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H31/12
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#338
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A08/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#318
L
18-29
18
29
-11
H15/01
NCAA
61.8Avg total
31.4Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.628.459.0+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.127.960.0+4.360%-
Last 30 away (15)29.129.058.1+0.160%-
Last 10 (10)31.430.461.8+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)32.026.858.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)29.531.861.3-2.340%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)30.429.559.9+0.950%-
vs Weaker (7)31.323.154.4+8.1100%-
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ohio
#47
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A23/11
NCAA
Navy
#86
L
18-33
18
33
-15
H27/11
NCAA
Howard
#161
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H01/12
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#224
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A04/12
NCAA
Santa Clara
#98
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A08/12
NCAA
American University
#316
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H11/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#216
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H18/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#163
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A07/01
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#306
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A08/01
NCAA
Bryant University
#74
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A15/01
NCAA
63.9Avg total
29.2Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.932.562.4-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.429.461.8+3.046%-
Last 30 away (17)27.934.962.9-7.024%-
Last 10 (10)29.234.763.9-5.510%-
Last 5 (5)28.033.261.2-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)30.337.267.5-6.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)28.330.759.0-2.438%-
vs Weaker (11)31.532.263.6-0.736%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Merrimack Warriors wins
3
Mount St. Mary's wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/22HSt. Francis (PA)46-62
08/01/22ACentral Connecticut State66-57
31/12/21HLIU Sharks82-77
30/12/21HSt. Francis Brooklyn74-64
21/12/21AMaine Black Bears49-47
12/12/21AIndiana49-81
10/12/21AGonzaga55-80
08/12/21HBrown56-76
05/12/21HUMass Lowell57-61
28/11/21ABoston University60-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/22ABryant University66-73
08/01/22ASt. Francis Brooklyn69-61
07/01/22ALIU Sharks57-74
18/12/21HMorgan State74-60
11/12/21HAmerican University66-72 OT
08/12/21ASanta Clara77-88
04/12/21ALoyola Maryland55-61
01/12/21HHoward72-70
27/11/21HNavy40-67
23/11/21AOhio59-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL47%
HomeLLWWL62%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%62%33%
Points / game58.365.252.1
Allowed / game62.861.663.8
Point differential-4.5+3.6-11.7
Avg total121.1126.9115.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mount St. Mary's
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15510
Win %33%60%20%
Points / game66.173.862.3
Allowed / game72.166.275.1
Point differential-6.0+7.6-12.8
Avg total138.3140.0137.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %13%20%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iona1714382%76.869.4+7.4
2 Manhattan139469%75.171.9+3.2
3 Quinnipiac159660%73.869.4+4.4
4 Marist168850%70.466.5+3.9
5 Siena126650%65.070.0-5.0
6 Fairfield178947%71.867.1+4.6
7 Merrimack Warriors178947%58.362.8-4.5
8 Niagara157847%68.165.5+2.7
9 St. Peters115645%65.564.5+1.0
10 Sacred Heart1661038%72.873.2-0.4
11 Rider1551033%66.371.2-4.9
12 Mount St. Mary's1551033%66.172.1-6.0
13 Canisius1651131%71.173.8-2.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Merrimack Warriors302050
Mount St. Mary's312657
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