Warwick Senators vs Geraldton Buccaneers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Jul 2025

Tip-off: 04:00

Final 98-118

23-26 22-32 30-32 23-28

Position#2

Record14-3

FormWWLWW

Points / game108.5

Allowed / game92.4

Warwick Senators

Geraldton Buccaneers 🏆

Position#1

Record13-4

FormWWWWW

Points / game103.8

Allowed / game84.5

NBL1 West

Other2025

Meetings · Warwick Senators v Geraldton Buccaneers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Warwick Senators winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Geraldton Buccaneers winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Warwick Senators Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Beeliar Boodjar

#12

98-76

+22

H16/05

NBL1 West

Perth Redbacks

#13

101-69

101

+32

A17/05

NBL1 West

Geraldton Buccaneers

87-100

100

-13

A24/05

NBL1 West

Goldfields Giants

114-113

114

113

H31/05

NBL1 West

East Perth Eagles

106-122

106

122

-16

H07/06

NBL1 West

Goldfields Giants

107-75

107

+32

A14/06

NBL1 West

Kalamunda Eastern Suns

112-94

112

+18

H20/06

NBL1 West

Rockingham Flames

106-108

106

108

-2

A28/06

NBL1 West

Willetton Tigers

128-99

128

+29

H05/07

NBL1 West

Kalamunda Eastern Suns

110-100

110

100

+10

A12/07

NBL1 West

21-19

23-16

31-25

23-16

31-11

31-22

16-19

23-17

24-27

20-28

24-29

19-16

28-24

28-30

32-28

26-31

21-33

25-25

33-29

27-35

25-24

33-15

29-21

20-15

30-25

30-20

23-19

29-30

31-35

23-20

16-22

36-31

40-19

32-25

29-25

27-30

26-28

28-20

29-22

27-30

202.5Avg total

106.9Scored

95.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	108.5	92.4	200.9	+16.1	82%
Season at home (8)	114.4	97.9	212.2	+16.5	88%
Season away (9)	103.2	87.6	190.8	+15.7	78%
Last 10 (10)	106.9	95.6	202.5	+11.3	70%
Last 5 (5)	112.6	95.2	207.8	+17.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	89.0	107.0	196.0	-18.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	95.5	96.3	191.8	-0.8	33%
vs Weaker (22)	107.0	90.1	197.0	+16.9	82%

This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Geraldton Buccaneers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perry Lakes Hawks

#11

96-68

+28

H17/05

NBL1 West

Warwick Senators

100-87

100

+13

H24/05

NBL1 West

Lakeside Lightning

#10

107-87

107

+20

A31/05

NBL1 West

Willetton Tigers

99-103 OT

103

-4

A01/06

NBL1 West

Joondalup Wolves

103-83

103

+20

H07/06

NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic

103-70

103

+33

H14/06

NBL1 West

Goldfields Giants

135-88

135

+47

A21/06

NBL1 West

Willetton Tigers

117-97

117

+20

H28/06

NBL1 West

Lakeside Lightning

#10

108-88

108

+20

H05/07

NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic

115-75

115

+40

A12/07

NBL1 West

14-18

19-11

38-17

25-22

27-24

28-20

29-24

16-19

28-27

34-24

23-26

22-10

20-22

29-27

20-13

19-26

22-14

25-35

24-15

32-19

26-16

24-20

30-23

23-11

37-18

39-23

31-22

28-25

19-26

25-26

33-19

40-26

24-23

30-20

24-23

30-22

29-18

37-14

28-14

21-29

192.9Avg total

108.3Scored

84.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	103.8	84.5	188.3	+19.2	76%
Season at home (9)	103.8	81.8	185.6	+22.0	89%
Season away (8)	103.8	87.6	191.4	+16.1	62%
Last 10 (10)	108.3	84.6	192.9	+23.7	90%
Last 5 (5)	115.6	83.6	199.2	+32.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	96.3	82.7	179.0	+13.7	100%
vs Weaker (27)	103.0	86.4	189.4	+16.5	78%

This opponent (Warwick Senators) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Warwick SenatorsGeraldton Buccaneers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	28.0	23.1	51.2	+4.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	28.8	23.0	51.8	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	27.3	23.3	50.5	+4.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.7	24.5	52.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.4	26.2	56.6	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	27.5	50.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	26.0	23.0	49.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	29.1	22.8	51.9	+6.3	77%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.0	22.8	48.7	+3.2	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	25.3	21.5	46.8	+3.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	26.8	24.5	51.3	+2.4	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	20.6	45.2	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.0	20.2	47.2	+6.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	22.3	24.0	46.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (27)	26.4	22.6	49.0	+3.7	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	26.1	23.3	49.4	+2.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.4	23.1	49.5	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.9	23.5	49.3	+2.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.3	22.1	49.4	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.2	20.0	49.2	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	26.5	48.5	-4.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	22.8	27.0	49.8	-4.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (22)	27.4	22.0	49.4	+5.4	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.6	21.7	47.4	+3.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.2	22.5	45.7	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	28.8	20.8	49.5	+8.0	85%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.0	22.0	51.0	+7.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.0	20.6	51.6	+10.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	29.0	17.7	46.7	+11.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (27)	25.3	22.2	47.4	+3.1	67%	-

Warwick SenatorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Beeliar Boodjar

#12

44-35

H16/05

NBL1 West

Perth Redbacks

#13

62-33

+29

A17/05

NBL1 West

Geraldton Buccaneers

44-55

-11

A24/05

NBL1 West

Goldfields Giants

56-54

H31/05

NBL1 West

East Perth Eagles

46-58

-12

H07/06

NBL1 West

Goldfields Giants

58-39

+19

A14/06

NBL1 West

Kalamunda Eastern Suns

60-45

+15

H20/06

NBL1 West

Rockingham Flames

54-55

-1

A28/06

NBL1 West

Willetton Tigers

72-44

+28

H05/07

NBL1 West

Kalamunda Eastern Suns

54-48

A12/07

NBL1 West

101.6Avg total

55.0Scored

46.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	54.2	46.4	100.6	+7.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	55.2	46.1	101.3	+9.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	53.1	46.7	99.9	+6.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	55.0	46.6	101.6	+8.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	59.6	46.2	105.8	+13.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	44.5	54.0	98.5	-9.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	48.8	50.0	98.8	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (22)	56.5	44.8	101.3	+11.7	82%	-

This opponent (Geraldton Buccaneers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Geraldton BuccaneersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perry Lakes Hawks

#11

33-29

H17/05

NBL1 West

Warwick Senators

55-44

+11

H24/05

NBL1 West

Lakeside Lightning

#10

62-51

+11

A31/05

NBL1 West

Willetton Tigers

49-49

A01/06

NBL1 West

Joondalup Wolves

47-49

-2

H07/06

NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic

50-36

+14

H14/06

NBL1 West

Goldfields Giants

76-41

+35

A21/06

NBL1 West

Willetton Tigers

44-52

-8

H28/06

NBL1 West

Lakeside Lightning

#10

54-43

+11

H05/07

NBL1 West

Mandurah Magic

66-32

+34

A12/07

NBL1 West

96.2Avg total

53.6Scored

42.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	51.6	44.5	96.1	+7.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	48.5	43.9	92.5	+4.6	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	55.6	45.2	100.8	+10.4	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	53.6	42.6	96.2	+11.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	58.0	40.8	98.8	+17.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	51.3	41.7	93.0	+9.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (27)	51.6	44.8	96.4	+6.8	70%	-

This opponent (Warwick Senators) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.5	23.6	49.2	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	27.7	24.5	52.2	+3.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.3	22.8	46.1	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.2	23.9	50.1	+2.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	21.8	47.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	24.5	33.5	58.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	22.7	25.3	48.0	-2.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (22)	26.4	22.3	48.7	+4.1	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.1	19.9	45.0	+5.3	80%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	26.5	20.6	47.1	+5.9	88%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.3	18.9	42.2	+4.4	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.0	19.6	47.6	+8.4	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.2	20.2	49.4	+9.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	23.7	21.3	45.0	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (27)	25.3	19.7	45.0	+5.6	81%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	22.4	46.2	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.7	24.4	50.1	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	20.4	42.3	+1.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.7	25.1	50.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.8	27.2	55.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.0	19.5	39.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	24.0	21.0	45.0	+3.0	83%	-
vs Weaker (22)	24.0	23.0	47.1	+1.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.9	20.8	45.7	+4.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	25.6	20.6	46.2	+5.0	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	24.0	21.0	45.0	+3.0	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.6	20.9	46.5	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.4	22.6	51.0	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	21.3	19.7	41.0	+1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (27)	25.3	20.9	46.2	+4.4	74%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.3	46.0	95.3	+3.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	53.4	48.9	102.3	+4.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.2	43.2	88.4	+2.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	51.9	49.0	100.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	53.0	49.0	102.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	44.5	53.0	97.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	46.7	46.3	93.0	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (22)	50.5	45.3	95.8	+5.1	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	50.0	40.6	90.7	+9.4	83%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	52.1	41.2	93.3	+10.9	88%	-
Last 30 away (13)	47.3	39.9	87.2	+7.4	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	53.6	40.5	94.1	+13.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	57.6	42.8	100.4	+14.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (3)	45.0	41.0	86.0	+4.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (27)	50.6	40.6	91.2	+10.0	85%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Warwick Senators wins

Geraldton Buccaneers wins

Date	Game	Score
24/05/25	Geraldton Buccaneers v Warwick Senators	100-87
08/06/24	Geraldton Buccaneers v Warwick Senators	106-77
04/05/24	Warwick Senators v Geraldton Buccaneers	87-96
18/06/23	Warwick Senators v Geraldton Buccaneers	95-94
22/04/23	Geraldton Buccaneers v Warwick Senators	92-82
06/08/22	Geraldton Buccaneers v Warwick Senators	89-74
11/06/22	Warwick Senators v Geraldton Buccaneers	88-95
31/07/21	Geraldton Buccaneers v Warwick Senators	62-90
18/07/21	Warwick Senators v Geraldton Buccaneers	81-76

Warwick Senatorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/07/25	A	Kalamunda Eastern Suns	110-100
05/07/25	H	Willetton Tigers	128-99
28/06/25	A	Rockingham Flames	106-108
20/06/25	H	Kalamunda Eastern Suns	112-94
14/06/25	A	Goldfields Giants	107-75
07/06/25	H	East Perth Eagles	106-122
31/05/25	H	Goldfields Giants	114-113
24/05/25	A	Geraldton Buccaneers	87-100
17/05/25	A	Perth Redbacks	101-69
16/05/25	H	Beeliar Boodjar	98-76

Geraldton Buccaneerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/07/25	A	Mandurah Magic	115-75
05/07/25	H	Lakeside Lightning	108-88
28/06/25	H	Willetton Tigers	117-97
21/06/25	A	Goldfields Giants	135-88
14/06/25	H	Mandurah Magic	103-70
07/06/25	H	Joondalup Wolves	103-83
01/06/25	A	Willetton Tigers	99-103 OT
31/05/25	A	Lakeside Lightning	107-87
24/05/25	H	Warwick Senators	100-87
17/05/25	H	Perry Lakes Hawks	96-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Warwick Senators

NBL1 West 2025

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	82%
Home	WWLWW	88%
Away	WLWLW	78%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	82%	88%	78%
Points / game	108.5	114.4	103.2
Allowed / game	92.4	97.9	87.6
Point differential	+16.1	+16.5	+15.7
Avg total	200.9	212.2	190.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	65%	75%	56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Geraldton Buccaneers

NBL1 West 2025

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	76%
Home	WWWWW	89%
Away	WWLWW	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	76%	89%	62%
Points / game	103.8	103.8	103.8
Allowed / game	84.5	81.8	87.6
Point differential	+19.2	+22.0	+16.1
Avg total	188.3	185.6	191.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	76%	89%	62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	12%	0%	25%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Rockingham Flames	18	15	3	83%	104.8	93.8	+11.0
2	Warwick Senators	17	14	3	82%	108.5	92.4	+16.1
3	Geraldton Buccaneers	17	13	4	76%	103.8	84.5	+19.2
4	Willetton Tigers	19	14	5	74%	95.7	91.1	+4.6
5	Joondalup Wolves	18	11	7	61%	96.3	91.6	+4.7
6	Mandurah Magic	19	10	9	53%	93.4	97.8	-4.4
7	Kalamunda Eastern Suns	18	9	9	50%	87.7	86.2	+1.6
8	Goldfields Giants	18	9	9	50%	91.4	90.9	+0.5
9	East Perth Eagles	18	7	11	39%	91.7	95.8	-4.1
10	Perry Lakes Hawks	18	7	11	39%	86.1	92.0	-5.9
11	Lakeside Lightning	19	7	12	37%	89.6	94.2	-4.6
12	Beeliar Boodjar	18	5	13	28%	88.9	96.6	-7.7
13	Perth Redbacks	19	5	14	26%	83.8	94.7	-10.9
14	South West Slammers	18	1	17	6%	81.6	98.9	-17.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Warwick Senators	23	22	30	23	98
Geraldton Buccaneers	26	32	32	28	118

← all games of the day

Warwick Senators vs Geraldton Buccaneers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature