Kilsyth vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Apr 2019

Tip-off: 04:00

Final 92-72

28-22 19-20 17-14 28-16

Position#7

Record5-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game90.0

Allowed / game80.4

Kilsyth 🏆

Melbourne Tigers

Position#6

Record2-3

FormLWLWL

Points / game80.2

Allowed / game85.2

NBL 1

Other2019

Meetings · Kilsyth v Melbourne Tigers

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kilsyth winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Melbourne Tigers winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kilsyth

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

62-79

-17

A09/07

SEABL

Frankston

#12

88-75

+13

H15/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

84-67

+17

H22/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

103-93

103

+10

A29/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

73-92

-19

H05/08

SEABL

Knox

#13

70-67

A30/03

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

93-88

H31/03

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

100-90

100

+10

H13/04

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

92-79

+13

A14/04

NBL 1

Geelong

95-78

+17

A27/04

NBL 1

13-15

18-21

21-20

10-23

23-14

19-19

21-17

25-25

12-16

23-10

22-21

27-20

31-20

28-26

22-27

22-20

19-26

22-25

12-22

20-19

10-18

23-15

24-20

13-14

30-27

24-19

18-23

21-19

27-28

23-19

31-18

19-25

29-16

30-17

8-31

25-15

28-23

26-25

24-17

17-13

166.8Avg total

86.0Scored

80.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	90.0	80.4	170.4	+9.6	100%
Season at home (2)	96.5	89.0	185.5	+7.5	100%
Season away (3)	85.7	74.7	160.3	+11.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	86.0	80.8	166.8	+5.2	80%
Last 5 (5)	90.0	80.4	170.4	+9.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	71.8	82.4	154.2	-10.6	10%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	87.1	84.0	171.1	+3.1	70%
vs Weaker (10)	84.2	73.9	158.1	+10.3	90%

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne Tigers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

67-84

-17

A22/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

83-65

+18

H23/07

SEABL

Nunawading

63-79

-16

A29/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

83-110

110

-27

H30/07

SEABL

Bendigo

97-84

+13

H05/08

SEABL

Bendigo Braves

69-73

-4

H31/03

NBL 1

Frankston

102-91

102

+11

H07/04

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

81-84

-3

A13/04

NBL 1

Knox

#13

83-72

+11

A14/04

NBL 1

Dandenong

66-106

106

-40

A27/04

NBL 1

16-12

10-23

21-22

20-27

18-27

22-12

17-18

26-8

12-18

15-18

17-22

19-21

26-27

18-30

23-26

16-27

26-18

19-17

23-26

29-23

20-26

18-19

17-20

14-8

27-19

14-25

37-22

24-25

20-17

19-30

22-23

20-14

28-24

26-20

11-14

18-14

14-25

18-27

16-23

18-31

164.2Avg total

79.4Scored

84.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	80.2	85.2	165.4	-5.0	40%
Season at home (2)	85.5	82.0	167.5	+3.5	50%
Season away (3)	76.7	87.3	164.0	-10.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	79.4	84.8	164.2	-5.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	85.2	165.4	-5.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	77.3	92.0	169.3	-14.8	22%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	78.5	80.5	159.0	-2.0	50%
vs Weaker (1)	83.0	72.0	155.0	+11.0	100%

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

KilsythMelbourne Tigers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	21.9	41.0	-2.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.2	23.1	42.3	-3.9	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	20.7	39.8	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	20.3	42.5	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	22.4	47.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.0	22.1	38.1	-6.1	10%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.6	25.9	47.5	-4.3	30%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.8	17.7	37.5	+2.1	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	22.9	43.8	-2.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.4	22.6	44.1	-1.2	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	23.2	43.6	-2.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	21.3	42.0	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	22.2	44.0	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	20.8	23.1	43.9	-2.3	48%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.8	22.2	42.0	-2.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	28.0	24.0	52.0	+4.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.7	40.3	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	19.3	39.9	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	20.1	40.7	+0.6	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	19.6	43.2	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	19.0	44.2	+6.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.4	22.0	40.4	-3.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	70%	-
vs Weaker (10)	22.2	16.3	38.5	+5.9	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	22.6	40.8	-4.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.4	22.1	39.5	-4.8	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.9	23.1	42.0	-4.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	22.1	40.0	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	24.2	43.2	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	18.1	23.2	41.3	-5.1	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	17.2	20.8	38.0	-3.7	17%	-
vs Weaker (1)	26.0	20.0	46.0	+6.0	100%	-

KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Geelong

31-36

-5

A09/07

SEABL

Frankston

#12

42-33

H15/07

SEABL

Melbourne Tigers

#13

35-26

H22/07

SEABL

Albury

#11

59-46

+13

A29/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

41-51

-10

H05/08

SEABL

Knox

#13

33-33

A30/03

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

54-46

H31/03

NBL 1

Bendigo Braves

50-47

H13/04

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

59-33

+26

A14/04

NBL 1

Geelong

54-48

A27/04

NBL 1

85.7Avg total

45.8Scored

39.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	41.6	81.3	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.7	42.4	82.1	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	40.8	80.5	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.8	39.9	85.7	+5.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.0	41.4	91.4	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	34.4	44.1	78.5	-9.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	42.8	46.7	89.5	-3.9	30%	-
vs Weaker (10)	42.0	34.0	76.0	+8.0	80%	-

This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kilsyth

26-35

-9

A22/07

SEABL

BA CoE

#15

40-39

H23/07

SEABL

Nunawading

27-36

-9

A29/07

SEABL

Mt Gambier

44-57

-13

H30/07

SEABL

Bendigo

45-35

+10

H05/08

SEABL

Bendigo Braves

38-45

-7

H31/03

NBL 1

Frankston

41-44

-3

H07/04

NBL 1

Waverley

#10

39-47

-8

A13/04

NBL 1

Knox

#13

54-44

+10

A14/04

NBL 1

Dandenong

32-52

-20

A27/04

NBL 1

82.0Avg total

38.6Scored

43.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	45.6	84.6	-6.5	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.8	44.8	83.6	-6.0	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.3	46.2	85.6	-6.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.6	43.4	82.0	-4.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	46.4	87.2	-5.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	39.0	46.3	85.3	-7.3	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	37.0	43.0	80.0	-6.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	54.0	44.0	98.0	+10.0	100%	-

This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.2	41.3	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	20.3	42.3	+1.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	20.0	40.3	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.6	41.9	-1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.7	18.9	37.6	-0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	24.2	20.9	45.1	+3.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.6	20.7	41.3	-0.1	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	22.5	41.2	-3.8	17%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.9	22.0	41.9	-2.1	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	23.0	40.6	-5.4	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.6	42.0	-1.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.4	41.0	+0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	18.6	23.7	42.2	-5.1	13%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.5	19.7	40.2	+0.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (1)	11.0	14.0	25.0	-3.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	17.7	37.0	+1.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.5	18.3	38.8	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	17.1	35.3	+1.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.3	39.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.2	36.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	16.6	18.2	34.8	-1.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.1	16.4	36.5	+3.7	70%	-
vs Weaker (10)	21.3	18.5	39.8	+2.8	80%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	21.0	40.9	-1.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	18.1	37.5	+1.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	23.4	43.9	-3.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	19.7	22.1	41.8	-2.3	26%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	21.0	17.8	38.8	+3.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	14.0	32.0	+4.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.5	37.9	78.4	+2.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.5	38.7	81.1	+3.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.5	37.1	75.6	+1.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.2	40.9	81.1	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	39.0	79.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	35.3	37.1	72.4	-1.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	44.3	37.3	81.6	+7.0	70%	-
vs Weaker (10)	41.9	39.2	81.1	+2.7	70%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	43.5	82.1	-4.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.3	40.1	79.4	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.1	46.4	84.5	-8.4	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	41.4	82.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	38.8	78.2	+0.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	38.3	45.7	84.0	-7.4	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	41.5	37.5	79.0	+4.0	83%	-
vs Weaker (1)	29.0	28.0	57.0	+1.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Kilsyth wins

Melbourne Tigers wins

Date	Game	Score
22/07/17	Kilsyth v Melbourne Tigers	84-67
24/06/17	Melbourne Tigers v Kilsyth	66-88
23/04/16	Kilsyth v Melbourne Tigers	73-63

Kilsythlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/04/19	A	Geelong	95-78
14/04/19	A	Ringwood	92-79
13/04/19	H	Bendigo Braves	100-90
31/03/19	H	BA CoE	93-88
30/03/19	A	Knox	70-67
05/08/17	H	Mt Gambier	73-92
29/07/17	A	Albury	103-93
22/07/17	H	Melbourne Tigers	84-67
15/07/17	H	Frankston	88-75
09/07/17	A	Geelong	62-79

Melbourne Tigerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/04/19	A	Dandenong	66-106
14/04/19	A	Knox	83-72
13/04/19	A	Waverley	81-84
07/04/19	H	Frankston	102-91
31/03/19	H	Bendigo Braves	69-73
05/08/17	H	Bendigo	97-84
30/07/17	H	Mt Gambier	83-110
29/07/17	A	Nunawading	63-79
23/07/17	H	BA CoE	83-65
22/07/17	A	Kilsyth	67-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kilsyth

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	90.0	96.5	85.7
Allowed / game	80.4	89.0	74.7
Point differential	+9.6	+7.5	+11.0
Avg total	170.4	185.5	160.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	50%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Melbourne Tigers

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	40%
Home	LW	50%
Away	LWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	40%	50%	33%
Points / game	80.2	85.5	76.7
Allowed / game	85.2	82.0	87.3
Point differential	-5.0	+3.5	-10.7
Avg total	165.4	167.5	164.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	50%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ballarat	4	4	0	100%	89.5	78.5	+11.0
2	Kilsyth	5	5	0	100%	90.0	80.4	+9.6
3	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	4	3	1	75%	99.5	88.0	+11.5
4	Waverley	4	3	1	75%	89.2	86.0	+3.2
5	Nunawading	6	4	2	67%	89.7	79.5	+10.2
6	Dandenong	6	4	2	67%	87.2	79.7	+7.5
7	BA CoE	7	4	3	57%	88.6	86.3	+2.3
8	NW Tasmania	4	2	2	50%	88.2	85.8	+2.5
9	Bendigo Braves	6	3	3	50%	83.7	83.2	+0.5
10	Geelong	6	3	3	50%	80.7	80.2	+0.5
11	Ringwood	4	2	2	50%	99.0	99.2	-0.2
12	Melbourne Tigers	5	2	3	40%	80.2	85.2	-5.0
13	Frankston	6	2	4	33%	83.3	87.8	-4.5
14	Hobart Huskies	4	1	3	25%	88.0	95.5	-7.5
15	Knox	5	1	4	20%	75.8	81.8	-6.0
16	Eltham	5	1	4	20%	86.0	98.0	-12.0
17	Southern Sabres	5	1	4	20%	82.2	94.2	-12.0
18	Diamond Valley	4	0	4	0%	81.8	95.8	-14.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Kilsyth	28	19	17	28	92
Melbourne Tigers	22	20	14	16	72

← all games of the day

Kilsyth vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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