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Welcome vs Defensor Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 111-120 (OT)
24-22 15-26 27-18 28-28 17-26
Position#12
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game70.4
Allowed / game93.9
vs
Position#5
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game81.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Gimnasio Óscar Magurno
Other2024-25
Meetings · Welcome v Defensor
09 Feb 2026
WELC77
DEFE91
05 Dec 2024
WELC111
DEFE120
04 Feb 2019
WELC82
DEFE90
09 Mar 2018
WELC92
DEFE85
10 Nov 2017
WELC102
DEFE82
10 Mar 2017
WELC76
DEFE77
04 Oct 2016
WELC69
DEFE85
25 Jan 2016
WELC86
DEFE77
11 Oct 2012
WELC70
DEFE64
12 Mar 2012
WELC84
DEFE62
05 Mar 2012
WELC66
DEFE73
04 Jan 2012
WELC88
DEFE71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Welcome winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Defensor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Defensor
#6
L
82-90 OT
82
90
-8
no box
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#7
W
91-89
91
89
+2
no box
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
L
77-87
77
87
-10
no box
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
75-95
75
95
-20
58avg 56
A26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
69-99
69
99
-30
57avg 56
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
64-115
64
115
-51
49avg 56
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
82-105
82
105
-23
69avg 56
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
60-86
60
86
-26
41avg 56
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
66-74
66
74
-8
50avg 56
H16/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
L
77-83
77
83
-6
69avg 56
A02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-13
14-22
20-24
15-16
21-29
23-17
22-17
25-26
28-21
12-22
24-19
13-25
14-30
25-27
18-19
18-19
20-25
16-30
15-22
18-22
14-34
14-32
23-20
13-29
22-27
5-30
28-23
27-25
11-23
10-28
12-22
27-13
18-23
24-13
13-16
11-22
18-16
21-19
19-26
19-22
166.6Avg total
74.3Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)70.493.9164.3-23.40%
Season at home (3)69.388.3157.7-19.00%
Season away (4)71.298.0169.2-26.80%
Last 10 (10)74.392.3166.6-18.010%
Last 5 (5)69.892.6162.4-22.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)75.889.8165.6-13.98%
vs Similar (1)77.083.0160.0-6.00%
vs Weaker (5)91.888.0179.8+3.880%
This opponent (Defensor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDefensor
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
97-73
97
73
+24
84avg 71
H09/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 71
A14/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
87-68
87
68
+19
81avg 71
H17/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
80-76
80
76
+4
70avg 71
A22/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
61-80
61
80
-19
46avg 71
H24/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
66-103
66
103
-37
46avg 71
A28/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
82-84
82
84
-2
71avg 71
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
84-96
84
96
-12
73avg 71
A05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
100-79
100
79
+21
99avg 71
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
82-65
82
65
+17
76avg 71
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
28-15
18-19
32-15
22-18
15-16
19-28
18-27
23-20
17-20
33-16
14-12
28-20
18-25
20-11
14-20
18-23
18-18
12-15
13-24
14-30
20-21
23-24
9-28
17-23
24-21
22-16
19-24
31-23
11-26
16-24
26-23
31-20
29-18
24-11
16-30
11-20
28-24
27-19
16-2
162.6Avg total
81.3Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)87.081.0168.0+6.050%
Season at home (2)91.072.0163.0+19.0100%
Season away (2)83.090.0173.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)81.381.3162.6+0.050%
Last 5 (5)82.885.4168.2-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.882.9157.7-8.136%
vs Similar (10)87.381.6168.9+5.780%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.475.6160.0+8.989%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -7.6-7.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -2.8-2.8
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -7.6-7.6Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -2.8-2.8
WelcomeDefensor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Defensor
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Olimpia Kings
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
39-57
39
57
-18
A26/10
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
36-55
36
55
-19
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
28-66
28
66
-38
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
27-57
27
57
-30
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
21-51
21
51
-30
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H16/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A02/12
Liga Uruguaya
83.7Avg total
35.6Scored
48.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.045.081.9-8.031%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.443.578.9-8.121%-
Last 30 away (15)38.546.384.8-7.940%-
Last 10 (10)35.648.183.7-12.530%-
Last 5 (5)31.449.080.4-17.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.245.680.8-10.521%-
vs Similar (1)39.035.074.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker (4)47.243.590.8+3.875%-
This opponent (Defensor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H09/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A14/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H17/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A22/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H24/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A28/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
60-38
60
38
+22
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
84.7Avg total
42.2Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.040.882.8+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.441.185.5+3.462%-
Last 30 away (14)39.240.679.8-1.457%-
Last 10 (10)42.242.584.7-0.340%-
Last 5 (5)43.245.288.4-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.541.178.6-3.536%-
vs Similar (10)45.041.286.2+3.880%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.140.184.2+4.067%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 69.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.9 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.419.4
49.3%
51.5%38.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.46.9
23.3%
33.0%20.6
🏀 Free throws15.310.4
68.2%
71.7%10.4
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.9
49.7%
51.5%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.311.5
32.6%
33.0%34.5
🏀 Free throws14.810.0
67.6%
71.7%10.0
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Welcome
LLLLLLLLWL
Defensor
WWLLLLWWLW
#12
League position
#5
-30.4
Net rating
-0.5
90.5
Offensive rating
103.7
120.9
Defensive rating
104.3
43.2%
Effective FG%
49.3%
57.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
18.8%
Turnover %
13.3%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.21
23.3%
3-point %
32.6%
45.1%
Assist %
58.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence90.5 · 103.7Defence120.9 · 104.3Shooting43.2% · 49.3%3-point %23.3% · 32.6%Ball care18.8% · 13.3%Off. rebounds27.9% · 24.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Welcome   ■ Defensor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Welcome wins
5
Defensor wins
DateGameScore
04/02/19Welcome v Defensor82-90 OT
19/11/18Defensor v Welcome86-98
09/03/18Welcome v Defensor92-85
30/01/18Defensor v Welcome86-101
11/11/17Welcome v Defensor102-82
10/03/17Welcome v Defensor76-77
08/03/17Defensor v Welcome86-56
05/10/16Welcome v Defensor69-85
26/01/16Welcome v Defensor86-77
15/12/15Defensor v Welcome104-82
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/24ATrouville77-83
16/11/24HUrunday66-74
10/11/24HMalvin60-86
05/11/24HHebraica y Macabi82-105
01/11/24ANacional64-115
28/10/24ABigua69-99
26/10/24ACordon75-95
12/02/19HOlimpia Kings77-87
09/02/19AUrunday91-89
04/02/19HDefensor82-90 OT
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/24HCordon82-65
08/11/24HBigua100-79
05/11/24AAguada84-96
02/11/24AHebraica y Macabi82-84
28/05/24APenarol66-103
24/05/24HPenarol61-80
22/05/24APenarol80-76
17/05/24HPenarol87-68
14/05/24APenarol74-89
09/05/24HHebraica y Macabi97-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game70.469.371.2
Allowed / game93.988.398.0
Point differential-23.4-19.0-26.8
Avg total164.3157.7169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game87.091.083.0
Allowed / game81.072.090.0
Point differential+6.0+19.0-7.0
Avg total168.0163.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional440100%91.269.8+21.5
2 Malvin65183%81.874.0+7.8
3 Aguada75271%91.681.6+10.0
4 Hebraica y Macabi64267%90.788.3+2.3
5 Cordon74357%87.784.6+3.1
6 Defensor42250%87.081.0+6.0
7 Penarol63350%79.875.0+4.8
8 Urunday63350%79.081.5-2.5
9 Bigua73443%82.486.0-3.6
10 Trouville62433%77.282.0-4.8
11 Urupan61517%78.288.0-9.8
12 Welcome7070%70.493.9-23.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Welcome2415272817111
Defensor2226182826120
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