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Aguada vs Defensor Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 96-84
23-31 26-11 24-16 23-26
Position#2
Record0-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game83.5
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#5
Record0-1
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game84.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Aguada
Other2024-25
Meetings · Aguada v Defensor
19 Mar 2026
AGUA97
DEFE81
24 Jan 2026
AGUA90
DEFE76
30 Mar 2025
AGUA83
DEFE75
05 Nov 2024
AGUA96
DEFE84
04 Mar 2024
AGUA82
DEFE77
14 Dec 2023
AGUA92
DEFE77
21 Oct 2022
AGUA90
DEFE82
08 Nov 2021
AGUA76
DEFE67
17 Jan 2020
AGUA95
DEFE78
02 Apr 2019
AGUA70
DEFE67
25 Mar 2019
AGUA74
DEFE86
21 Dec 2018
AGUA77
DEFE76
13 Jan 2018
AGUA67
DEFE65
24 Apr 2017
AGUA79
DEFE95
17 Apr 2017
AGUA84
DEFE80
21 Feb 2017
AGUA91
DEFE103
14 Oct 2016
AGUA89
DEFE75
19 Dec 2014
AGUA101
DEFE79
13 Apr 2014
AGUA66
DEFE67
05 Apr 2014
AGUA68
DEFE74
11 Jan 2014
AGUA91
DEFE85
26 Sep 2013
AGUA64
DEFE59
03 May 2013
AGUA91
DEFE74
26 Apr 2013
AGUA92
DEFE96
19 Apr 2013
AGUA73
DEFE77
26 Oct 2012
AGUA80
DEFE88
09 Dec 2011
AGUA73
DEFE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Defensor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Nacional
#3
L
89-98
89
98
-9
84avg 85
A18/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
92-87
92
87
+5
89avg 85
H21/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
97-82
97
82
+15
96avg 85
A25/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
66-65
66
65
+1
58avg 85
A03/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
97-90
97
90
+7
99avg 85
H07/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
78-95
78
95
-17
73avg 85
A11/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 85
H15/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
88-71
88
71
+17
79avg 85
A18/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
77-86 OT
77
86
-9
57avg 85
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
71-81
71
81
-10
55avg 85
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
22-22
22-25
19-24
25-15
26-29
22-16
19-27
26-28
25-18
26-17
20-19
17-26
9-11
28-16
12-12
32-23
21-25
18-24
26-18
29-23
19-23
18-24
12-25
25-21
26-19
14-19
23-15
10-18
35-22
16-19
27-12
10-24
24-20
14-20
23-7
13-12
21-30
18-26
19-13
167.2Avg total
84.3Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.083.5157.5-9.50%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)74.083.5157.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)84.382.9167.2+1.460%
Last 5 (5)80.481.4161.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)89.486.3175.7+3.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)91.580.7172.1+10.880%
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDefensor
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
W
91-85
91
85
+6
80avg 70
H24/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
69avg 70
H30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
88-73
88
73
+15
79avg 70
A05/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
97-73
97
73
+24
84avg 70
H09/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 70
A14/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
87-68
87
68
+19
81avg 70
H17/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
80-76
80
76
+4
70avg 70
A22/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
61-80
61
80
-19
46avg 70
H24/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
66-103
66
103
-37
46avg 70
A28/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
82-84
82
84
-2
71avg 70
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
32-15
20-17
20-26
25-17
18-23
20-17
14-20
22-14
19-23
28-25
19-11
19-24
28-15
18-19
32-15
22-18
15-16
19-28
18-27
23-20
17-20
33-16
14-12
28-20
18-25
20-11
14-20
18-23
18-18
12-15
13-24
14-30
20-21
23-24
9-28
17-23
24-21
22-16
19-24
163.0Avg total
81.5Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)82.084.0166.0-2.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)82.084.0166.0-2.00%
Last 10 (10)81.581.5163.0+0.060%
Last 5 (5)75.282.2157.4-7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.282.5156.7-8.436%
vs Similar (10)85.182.1167.2+3.070%
vs Weaker (9)85.676.9162.4+8.789%
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -3.5-3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -3.5-3.5
AguadaDefensor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#3
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A18/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H21/05
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A25/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A03/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H07/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A11/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H15/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A18/06
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A31/10
Liga Uruguaya
87.7Avg total
44.1Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.242.189.4+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.442.693.0+7.979%-
Last 30 away (16)44.441.886.2+2.750%-
Last 10 (10)44.143.687.7+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.484.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)45.543.689.1+1.953%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)48.940.789.6+8.373%-
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H24/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H30/04
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A05/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H09/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A14/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H17/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A22/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H24/05
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A28/05
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
82.9Avg total
41.6Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.082.6+0.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.141.284.3+1.960%-
Last 30 away (15)40.140.880.9-0.760%-
Last 10 (10)41.641.382.9+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.444.283.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.441.578.8-4.136%-
vs Similar (10)42.541.784.2+0.870%-
vs Weaker (9)45.939.785.6+6.278%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.917.6
51.9%
51.5%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.910.5
31.9%
33.0%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.716.2
78.3%
71.7%16.2
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.115.9
48.0%
51.5%31.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.512.4
34.0%
33.0%37.2
🏀 Free throws16.911.5
68.0%
71.7%11.5
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aguada
LLWWLWWWWL
Defensor
LLLWWLWWWW
#2
League position
#5
+0.5
Net rating
-0.5
110.0
Offensive rating
104.9
109.5
Defensive rating
105.5
49.9%
Effective FG%
49.6%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
15.3%
Turnover %
12.7%
30.6%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
31.9%
3-point %
34.0%
61.9%
Assist %
55.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 104.9Defence109.5 · 105.5Shooting49.9% · 49.6%3-point %31.9% · 34.0%Ball care15.3% · 12.7%Off. rebounds30.6% · 23.2%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Aguada   ■ Defensor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Aguada wins
3
Defensor wins
DateGameScore
24/04/24Defensor v Aguada91-85
05/03/24Aguada v Defensor82-77
15/12/23Aguada v Defensor92-77
02/11/23Defensor v Aguada85-70
21/12/22Defensor v Aguada69-81
21/10/22Aguada v Defensor90-82
08/02/22Defensor v Aguada86-81
09/11/21Aguada v Defensor76-67
08/05/21Defensor v Aguada93-97
18/01/20Aguada v Defensor95-78
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/24AUrunday71-81
28/10/24APenarol77-86 OT
18/06/24APenarol88-71
15/06/24HPenarol88-74
11/06/24APenarol78-95
07/06/24HPenarol97-90
03/06/24APenarol66-65
25/05/24ANacional97-82
21/05/24HNacional92-87
18/05/24ANacional89-98
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/24AHebraica y Macabi82-84
28/05/24APenarol66-103
24/05/24HPenarol61-80
22/05/24APenarol80-76
17/05/24HPenarol87-68
14/05/24APenarol74-89
09/05/24HHebraica y Macabi97-73
05/05/24AHebraica y Macabi88-73
30/04/24HHebraica y Macabi89-84 OT
24/04/24HAguada91-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
Home--
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %0%-0%
Points / game74.0-74.0
Allowed / game83.5-83.5
Point differential-9.5--9.5
Avg total157.5-157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %50%-50%
Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game82.0-82.0
Allowed / game84.0-84.0
Point differential-2.0--2.0
Avg total166.0-166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional220100%99.565.5+34.0
2 Hebraica y Macabi220100%84.579.5+5.0
3 Cordon32167%85.072.3+12.7
4 Bigua32167%82.376.0+6.3
5 Malvin32167%79.376.0+3.3
6 Penarol32167%78.076.0+2.0
7 Urunday21150%76.575.5+1.0
8 Trouville31233%76.080.7-4.7
9 Urupan31233%72.077.7-5.7
10 Defensor1010%82.084.0-2.0
11 Aguada2020%74.083.5-9.5
12 Welcome3030%69.3103.0-33.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada2326242396
Defensor3111162684
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