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Welcome vs Urunday Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 31 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:15
Scheduled
Position#12
Record4-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game95.8
vs
Position#9
Record13-14
FormLWWWW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game85.3
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Gimnasio Óscar Magurno
Other2025-26
Meetings · Welcome v Urunday
09 Dec 2025
WELC63
URUN102
12 Mar 2025
WELC97
URUN90
16 Nov 2024
WELC66
URUN74
07 Dec 2018
WELC87
URUN97
16 Oct 2017
WELC98
URUN78
09 Nov 2015
WELC80
URUN72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Welcome win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Urunday win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Welcome
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.4
84.4▲ 3.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 95.4
100.2▲ 4.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
62%▲ 6%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 19.7
22.8▲ 3.1
🔥 Form · Urunday
5.4out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 89.3
91.0▲ 1.7
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 85.3
80.8▼ 4.5
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 58%
71%▲ 13%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 22.0
21.8▼ 0.2
WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#3
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
77-91
77
91
-14
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
A18/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
H07/03
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
91-104
91
104
-13
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
79-111
79
111
-32
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
83-103
83
103
-20
H20/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
87-91
87
91
-4
A23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
24-15
24-17
22-16
15-12
13-21
13-20
19-22
23-28
20-23
13-23
21-17
19-15
19-12
18-22
15-22
8-24
22-21
20-25
24-16
16-31
24-30
29-21
22-22
16-31
15-22
29-33
19-25
21-24
24-17
20-25
17-26
27-14
18-28
18-28
20-33
22-18
23-32
25-13
17-28
171.3Avg total
80.5Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.195.8176.9-14.614%
Season at home (13)81.891.7173.5-9.923%
Season away (15)80.699.3179.9-18.77%
Last 10 (10)80.590.8171.3-10.320%
Last 5 (5)84.4100.2184.6-15.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)82.096.9178.9-14.919%
vs Similar (3)78.792.0170.7-13.30%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Urunday) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrundayUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#2
W
97-94
97
94
+3
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
64-86
64
86
-22
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
106-78
106
78
+28
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
L
83-100
83
100
-17
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
111-79
111
79
+32
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A20/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
26-16
26-25
21-28
16-22
20-24
12-24
16-16
18-17
22-19
15-20
21-23
31-21
20-23
26-15
29-19
28-23
21-23
19-28
15-26
19-29
15-14
15-16
30-25
31-16
22-15
33-29
25-19
27-17
26-28
17-15
19-15
26-20
32-27
12-14
18-21
24-19
25-24
21-23
18-18
172.2Avg total
88.1Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)89.385.3174.6+4.048%
Season at home (15)91.183.3174.4+7.753%
Season away (12)87.187.8174.8-0.742%
Last 10 (10)88.184.1172.2+4.060%
Last 5 (5)91.080.8171.8+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.292.0169.2-14.840%
vs Similar (15)83.586.5170.1-3.027%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)94.869.6164.4+25.2100%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
WelcomeUrunday
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A18/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H07/03
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
L
40-61
40
61
-21
A10/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#9
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H20/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A23/03
Liga Uruguaya
82.9Avg total
38.5Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.349.689.9-9.323%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.547.286.6-7.723%-
Last 30 away (17)40.951.592.5-10.624%-
Last 10 (10)38.544.482.9-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)41.249.490.6-8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)40.349.589.8-9.222%-
vs Similar (3)40.350.791.0-10.333%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Urunday) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrundayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#2
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A09/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#1
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H19/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
53-31
53
31
+22
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Union Atletica
#6
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#11
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A20/03
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#10
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H23/03
Liga Uruguaya
89.5Avg total
47.3Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)46.242.788.8+3.562%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.340.987.2+5.475%-
Last 30 away (13)46.044.890.8+1.246%-
Last 10 (10)47.342.289.5+5.180%-
Last 5 (5)49.441.891.2+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)43.444.688.0-1.240%-
vs Similar (15)42.943.986.9-1.047%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)53.139.492.6+13.7100%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.021.0
56.8%
53.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.0
30.0%
33.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.410.1
65.6%
70.9%10.1
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urundaytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urunday: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.619.0
58.3%
53.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.48.7
29.6%
33.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.512.1
69.1%
70.9%12.1
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Welcome
LLLLLLWLLW
Urunday
WWWWLLWLLW
#12
League position
#9
-6.3
Net rating
-5.2
88.9
Offensive rating
90.3
95.2
Defensive rating
95.5
51.8%
Effective FG%
51.7%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
16.4%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.0%
3-point %
29.6%
70.0%
Assist %
76.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence88.9 · 90.3Defence95.2 · 95.5Shooting51.8% · 51.7%3-point %30.0% · 29.6%Ball care16.4% · 16.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Welcome   ■ Urunday
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Welcome wins
6
Urunday wins
DateGameScore
13/03/26Urunday v Welcome111-79
09/12/25Welcome v Urunday63-102
09/10/25Urunday v Welcome113-73
12/03/25Welcome v Urunday97-90
16/01/25Urunday v Welcome86-97 OT
16/11/24Welcome v Urunday66-74
09/02/19Urunday v Welcome89-91
07/12/18Welcome v Urunday87-97
18/03/18Urunday v Welcome80-86
28/12/17Urunday v Welcome91-70
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/26ABigua87-91
20/03/26HGoes83-103
17/03/26ACordon82-92
13/03/26AUrunday79-111
10/03/26AUnion Atletica91-104
07/03/26HBigua74-86
18/02/26ABigua86-81 OT
09/02/26HDefensor77-91
03/02/26AGoes60-75
30/01/26HAguada86-74
Urundaylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/26HGoes88-84
20/03/26ACordon88-82
18/03/26HUnion Atletica89-75
13/03/26HWelcome111-79
11/03/26HBigua79-84
19/02/26HPenarol83-100
09/02/26ACordon106-78
04/02/26HUnion Atletica76-79
30/01/26AMalvin64-86
27/01/26HNacional97-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWWLLL23%
AwayWLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %14%23%7%
Points / game81.181.880.6
Allowed / game95.891.799.3
Point differential-14.6-9.9-18.7
Avg total176.9173.5179.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Urunday
Liga Uruguaya 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW48%
HomeLLWWW53%
AwayLLLWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %48%53%42%
Points / game89.391.187.1
Allowed / game85.383.387.8
Point differential+4.0+7.7-0.7
Avg total174.6174.4174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (6)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol2622485%88.274.3+14.0
2 Aguada2619773%91.984.8+7.1
3 Nacional2617965%91.682.1+9.5
4 Malvin28171161%80.981.5-0.6
5 Bigua28161257%89.087.2+1.7
6 Hebraica y Macabi28151354%83.984.4-0.5
7 Union Atletica28141450%83.582.6+0.9
8 Urunday27131448%89.385.3+4.0
9 Defensor28131546%85.285.4-0.2
10 Goes2791833%83.789.1-5.4
11 Cordon2852318%80.894.4-13.6
12 Welcome2842414%81.195.8-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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