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Urunday vs Welcome Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 86-97 (OT)
26-8 23-23 19-26 13-24 5-16
Position#8
Record6-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Welcome 🏆
Uruguay
Position#12
Record1-11
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game95.4
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Urunday Universitario
Other2024-25
Meetings · Urunday v Welcome
13 Mar 2026
URUN111
WELC79
09 Oct 2025
URUN113
WELC73
16 Jan 2025
URUN86
WELC97
08 Feb 2019
URUN89
WELC91
17 Mar 2018
URUN80
WELC86
28 Dec 2017
URUN91
WELC70
10 Oct 2016
URUN71
WELC75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Urunday winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Welcome winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UrundayUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUrunday
Date
Competition
Urupan
#10
W
95-85
95
85
+10
95avg 72
A06/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
85-93
85
93
-8
76avg 72
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
74-66
74
66
+8
70avg 72
A16/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
67-94
67
94
-27
55avg 72
A02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
66-74
66
74
-8
64avg 72
A06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
81-78
81
78
+3
82avg 72
H10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
72-90
72
90
-18
65avg 72
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
85-79
85
79
+6
76avg 72
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
71-68
71
68
+3
70avg 72
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
90-98
90
98
-8
81avg 72
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
28-21
21-17
22-21
19-24
22-26
24-20
20-23
23-18
13-24
16-13
22-11
15-22
17-25
21-23
14-24
14-18
18-16
17-17
17-23
18-29
20-19
25-16
18-14
18-30
18-21
23-22
13-17
24-21
12-22
29-16
20-20
27-15
11-18
19-21
14-14
25-25
13-28
25-24
27-21
161.1Avg total
78.6Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.281.3159.6-3.150%
Season at home (5)78.279.6157.8-1.460%
Season away (7)78.382.6160.9-4.343%
Last 10 (10)78.682.5161.1-3.950%
Last 5 (5)79.882.6162.4-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)82.084.5166.5-2.550%
vs Similar (17)75.578.4153.9-2.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)78.271.2149.4+7.080%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Nacional
#1
L
64-115
64
115
-51
49avg 64
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
82-105
82
105
-23
69avg 64
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
60-86
60
86
-26
41avg 64
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
66-74
66
74
-8
50avg 64
H16/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
L
77-83
77
83
-6
69avg 64
A02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
111-120 OT
111
120
-9
107avg 64
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
66-91
66
91
-25
56avg 64
H11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
86-92
86
92
-6
74avg 64
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
74-104
74
104
-30
60avg 64
H06/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
84-81
84
81
+3
74avg 64
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-34
14-32
23-20
13-29
22-27
5-30
28-23
27-25
11-23
10-28
12-22
27-13
18-23
24-13
13-16
11-22
18-16
21-19
19-26
19-22
24-22
15-26
27-18
28-28
21-17
18-28
12-21
15-25
18-21
14-21
30-27
24-23
23-26
22-17
22-29
7-32
19-23
20-12
21-21
24-25
172.1Avg total
77.0Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.295.4171.6-19.28%
Season at home (7)77.694.4172.0-16.914%
Season away (5)74.296.8171.0-22.60%
Last 10 (10)77.095.1172.1-18.110%
Last 5 (5)84.297.6181.8-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)79.393.0172.3-13.712%
vs Similar (1)77.083.0160.0-6.00%
vs Weaker (4)91.084.5175.5+6.5100%
This opponent (Urunday) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -6.3-6.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -4.9-4.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: -6.3-6.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -4.9-4.9
UrundayWelcome
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
UrundayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urupan
#10
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A06/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A11/11
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A16/11
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H10/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H07/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
82.7Avg total
37.9Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.039.778.7-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.138.577.6+0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)39.040.579.5-1.535%-
Last 10 (10)37.944.882.7-6.920%-
Last 5 (5)37.245.682.8-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.544.282.8-5.825%-
vs Similar (17)38.937.976.8+0.947%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)40.438.278.6+2.240%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#1
L
28-66
28
66
-38
A01/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
27-57
27
57
-30
H05/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
21-51
21
51
-30
H10/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H16/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H11/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H06/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
80.9Avg total
35.1Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)38.045.683.6-7.631%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.843.981.7-6.231%-
Last 30 away (13)38.347.585.8-9.231%-
Last 10 (10)35.145.880.9-10.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.681.4-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)37.146.583.6-9.424%-
vs Similar (1)39.035.074.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker (3)45.341.086.3+4.367%-
This opponent (Urunday) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Urundaytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urunday: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.6
50.7%
51.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.47.7
34.4%
33.0%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.013.3
70.0%
71.7%13.3
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.4
50.6%
51.5%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.67.9
28.6%
33.0%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.012.1
71.2%
71.7%12.1
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Urunday
LWWLWLLWLW
Welcome
WLLLLLLLLL
#8
League position
#12
-6.8
Net rating
-22.2
99.1
Offensive rating
97.1
105.8
Defensive rating
119.3
51.0%
Effective FG%
47.5%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
58.2%
19.5%
Turnover %
19.4%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.4%
3-point %
28.6%
61.1%
Assist %
52.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 97.1Defence105.8 · 119.3Shooting51.0% · 47.5%3-point %34.4% · 28.6%Ball care19.5% · 19.4%Off. rebounds23.8% · 27.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Urunday   ■ Welcome
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Urunday wins
5
Welcome wins
DateGameScore
16/11/24Welcome v Urunday66-74
09/02/19Urunday v Welcome89-91
07/12/18Welcome v Urunday87-97
18/03/18Urunday v Welcome80-86
28/12/17Urunday v Welcome91-70
16/10/17Welcome v Urunday98-78
11/10/16Urunday v Welcome71-75
10/11/15Welcome v Urunday80-72
Urundaylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/25ADefensor90-98
10/01/25ATrouville71-68
07/01/25HBigua85-79
19/12/24HNacional72-90
10/12/24HDefensor81-78
06/12/24AHebraica y Macabi66-74
02/12/24APenarol67-94
16/11/24AWelcome74-66
11/11/24ACordon85-93
06/11/24AUrupan95-85
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/25HCordon84-81
06/01/25HAguada74-104
20/12/24AUrupan86-92
11/12/24HPenarol66-91
05/12/24HDefensor111-120 OT
02/12/24ATrouville77-83
16/11/24HUrunday66-74
10/11/24HMalvin60-86
05/11/24HHebraica y Macabi82-105
01/11/24ANacional64-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Urunday
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLWWLW60%
AwayWLLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %50%60%43%
Points / game78.278.278.3
Allowed / game81.379.682.6
Point differential-3.1-1.4-4.3
Avg total159.6157.8160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%20%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW8%
HomeLLLLW14%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %8%14%0%
Points / game76.277.674.2
Allowed / game95.494.496.8
Point differential-19.2-16.9-22.6
Avg total171.6172.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional13130100%92.276.5+15.7
2 Aguada1310377%89.578.5+10.9
3 Penarol139469%83.171.8+11.2
4 Malvin128467%78.275.9+2.2
5 Hebraica y Macabi137654%86.488.5-2.2
6 Urunday126650%78.281.3-3.1
7 Defensor125742%86.283.2+3.0
8 Bigua125742%83.885.0-1.2
9 Cordon135838%83.885.8-2.0
10 Urupan123925%81.086.5-5.5
11 Trouville1331023%71.583.3-11.8
12 Welcome121118%76.295.4-19.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Urunday26231913586
Welcome82326241697
← all games of the day
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