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Welcome vs Urunday Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 97-90
23-24 27-20 19-20 28-26
Position#12
Record5-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game93.8
Welcome 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#8
Record8-15
FormLLWWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game85.7
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Gimnasio Óscar Magurno
Other2024-25
Meetings · Welcome v Urunday
09 Dec 2025
WELC63
URUN102
12 Mar 2025
WELC97
URUN90
16 Nov 2024
WELC66
URUN74
07 Dec 2018
WELC87
URUN97
16 Oct 2017
WELC98
URUN78
09 Nov 2015
WELC80
URUN72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Welcome winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Urunday winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WelcomeUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWelcome
Date
Competition
Bigua
#6
L
82-87
82
87
-5
75avg 66
H21/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
88-83
88
83
+5
74avg 66
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
70-97
70
97
-27
60avg 66
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
69-117
69
117
-48
53avg 66
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
71-66
71
66
+5
63avg 66
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
77-112
77
112
-35
70avg 66
A08/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
59-88
59
88
-29
49avg 66
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
W
99-88
99
88
+11
94avg 66
H27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
72-101
72
101
-29
58avg 66
A04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
81-87
81
87
-6
66avg 66
A09/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
26-26
19-19
20-20
16-25
19-26
28-17
25-15
13-31
22-23
22-24
13-19
21-28
23-29
13-30
12-30
19-15
20-19
11-15
21-17
17-29
23-23
22-30
15-30
9-22
13-23
13-21
24-22
21-21
20-32
26-18
32-17
21-25
19-34
17-28
15-14
18-25
26-20
20-21
17-21
169.4Avg total
76.8Scored
92.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.393.8171.1-16.422%
Season at home (11)78.592.6171.2-14.127%
Season away (12)76.294.8171.1-18.617%
Last 10 (10)76.892.6169.4-15.830%
Last 5 (5)77.695.2172.8-17.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)77.693.2170.8-15.618%
vs Similar (2)74.074.5148.5-0.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Urunday) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrundayUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUrunday
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
L
89-97
89
97
-8
89avg 73
A22/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
61-90
61
90
-29
50avg 73
H24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
77-87
77
87
-10
67avg 73
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
86-98
86
98
-12
82avg 73
A31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
80-83
80
83
-3
72avg 73
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
77-89
77
89
-12
65avg 73
H07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
79-99
79
99
-20
64avg 73
A10/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
92-85
92
85
+7
80avg 73
A27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
85avg 73
H04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
78-83
78
83
-5
70avg 73
A08/03
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
21-22
20-23
26-29
16-27
18-25
14-22
13-16
16-30
19-21
25-18
17-18
20-27
28-31
15-13
23-27
9-17
29-24
23-28
19-14
19-20
19-23
20-25
19-21
16-33
24-24
16-22
23-20
20-18
25-23
19-19
28-25
22-21
28-25
19-21
24-20
20-20
13-26
18-12
27-25
171.0Avg total
81.2Scored
89.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)79.985.7165.6-5.835%
Season at home (11)78.684.6163.3-6.036%
Season away (12)81.086.7167.7-5.733%
Last 10 (10)81.289.8171.0-8.620%
Last 5 (5)83.888.6172.4-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)83.589.4172.9-5.838%
vs Similar (12)75.281.8157.1-6.617%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)79.878.6158.4+1.260%
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.1-7.1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.1-7.1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +0.4+0.4
WelcomeUrunday
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WelcomeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bigua
#6
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H21/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H04/02
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A08/02
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
22-45
22
45
-23
A12/02
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A09/03
Liga Uruguaya
88.1Avg total
38.3Scored
49.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.547.083.6-10.520%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.844.382.1-6.533%-
Last 30 away (15)35.349.885.1-14.57%-
Last 10 (10)38.349.888.1-11.510%-
Last 5 (5)37.450.888.2-13.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)36.447.984.3-11.614%-
vs Similar (2)39.034.573.5+4.5100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Urunday) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrundayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A22/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H24/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H03/02
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H07/02
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A10/02
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A08/03
Liga Uruguaya
88.4Avg total
40.4Scored
48.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.643.683.2-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.341.781.0-2.436%-
Last 30 away (16)39.945.285.2-5.325%-
Last 10 (10)40.448.088.4-7.620%-
Last 5 (5)41.246.687.8-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.747.187.8-6.423%-
vs Similar (12)37.241.678.8-4.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.639.482.0+3.240%-
This opponent (Welcome) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Welcometheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Welcome: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.618.9
49.0%
51.5%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.3
30.7%
33.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.613.1
70.4%
71.7%13.1
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urundaytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urunday: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.721.4
51.3%
51.5%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.4
29.8%
33.0%22.2
🏀 Free throws23.115.2
65.8%
71.7%15.2
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Welcome
LLWLLWLLWL
Urunday
LWWLLLLLLL
#12
League position
#8
-20.4
Net rating
-11.3
96.5
Offensive rating
102.9
116.8
Defensive rating
114.2
47.8%
Effective FG%
48.9%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
18.0%
Turnover %
15.5%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.7%
3-point %
29.8%
60.3%
Assist %
65.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 102.9Defence116.8 · 114.2Shooting47.8% · 48.9%3-point %30.7% · 29.8%Ball care18.0% · 15.5%Off. rebounds22.9% · 26.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Welcome   ■ Urunday
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Welcome wins
3
Urunday wins
DateGameScore
16/01/25Urunday v Welcome86-97 OT
16/11/24Welcome v Urunday66-74
09/02/19Urunday v Welcome89-91
07/12/18Welcome v Urunday87-97
18/03/18Urunday v Welcome80-86
28/12/17Urunday v Welcome91-70
16/10/17Welcome v Urunday98-78
11/10/16Urunday v Welcome71-75
10/11/15Welcome v Urunday80-72
Welcomelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25AHebraica y Macabi81-87
04/03/25AAguada72-101
27/02/25HUrupan99-88
12/02/25APenarol59-88
08/02/25ADefensor77-112
04/02/25HTrouville71-66
30/01/25HNacional69-117
27/01/25AMalvin70-97
24/01/25AHebraica y Macabi88-83
21/01/25HBigua82-87
Urundaylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/25AUrupan78-83
04/03/25HMalvin93-87
27/02/25ABigua92-85
10/02/25ANacional79-99
07/02/25HHebraica y Macabi77-89
03/02/25HPenarol80-83
31/01/25AAguada86-98
27/01/25HCordon77-87
24/01/25HUrupan61-90
22/01/25AMalvin89-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Welcome
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeWLLWW27%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %22%27%17%
Points / game77.378.576.2
Allowed / game93.892.694.8
Point differential-16.4-14.1-18.6
Avg total171.1171.2171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%9%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %9%9%8%
Urunday
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL35%
HomeLLLLW36%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %35%36%33%
Points / game79.978.681.0
Allowed / game85.784.686.7
Point differential-5.8-6.0-5.7
Avg total165.6163.3167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%9%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %4%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional2321291%94.278.0+16.1
2 Aguada2318578%89.580.3+9.2
3 Penarol2317674%84.174.5+9.6
4 Malvin2315865%81.176.9+4.2
5 Defensor23121152%87.782.5+5.1
6 Bigua23101343%85.186.1-1.0
7 Hebraica y Macabi23101343%85.087.7-2.6
8 Cordon23101343%82.985.7-2.8
9 Urupan2491538%81.387.0-5.7
10 Urunday2381535%79.985.7-5.8
11 Welcome2351822%77.393.8-16.4
12 Trouville2442017%74.383.6-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Welcome2327192897
Urunday2420202690
← all games of the day
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