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Wels vs St. Polten Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 73-53
17-11 21-25 19-8 16-9
Position#2
Record15-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game76.1
Wels 🏆
Austria
vs
Position#10
Record3-15
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game86.7
AustriaSuperligaRound 21· Raiffeisen Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Wels v St. Polten
08 Feb 2025
WEL73
ST. 53
13 Apr 2024
WEL76
ST. 87
11 Nov 2023
WEL88
ST. 76
03 May 2023
WEL80
ST. 61
28 Apr 2023
WEL67
ST. 60
22 Apr 2023
WEL71
ST. 67
23 Mar 2023
WEL102
ST. 103
22 Oct 2022
WEL87
ST. 61
02 Feb 2022
WEL69
ST. 50
21 Mar 2021
WEL72
ST. 77
06 Jan 2021
WEL83
ST. 85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wels winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Polten winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WelsAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWels
Date
Competition
Kapfenberg Bulls
#7
W
79-71
79
71
+8
78avg 77
A21/12
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#8
W
88-67
88
67
+21
88avg 77
H26/12
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#7
W
76-71
76
71
+5
70avg 77
H02/01
Austria Cup
BBC Nord
#5
W
95-88
95
88
+7
94avg 77
H06/01
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#9
L
83-86
83
86
-3
75avg 77
A12/01
Superliga
BBC Nord
#4
W
81-68
81
68
+13
82avg 77
H18/01
Austria Cup
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
L
60-62
60
62
-2
59avg 77
H19/01
Austria Cup
Furstenfeld
#11
W
74-73
74
73
+1
63avg 77
A25/01
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#6
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
82avg 77
H31/01
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#3
W
96-76
96
76
+20
93avg 77
A02/02
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
20-20
16-13
17-21
25-24
21-20
23-15
19-8
15-22
24-17
16-16
21-16
30-18
16-18
21-29
28-23
21-29
28-15
12-27
22-15
17-19
22-12
15-19
27-18
12-9
13-15
12-23
23-15
13-24
20-16
20-19
21-14
23-21
22-17
17-21
17-20
25-18
29-28
19-18
23-12
158.4Avg total
82.8Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.476.1162.5+10.488%
Season at home (9)86.879.2166.0+7.689%
Season away (8)86.072.5158.5+13.588%
Last 10 (10)82.875.6158.4+7.280%
Last 5 (5)81.474.6156.0+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.571.0141.5-0.550%
vs Similar (9)80.874.7155.4+6.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.277.1161.2+7.171%
This opponent (St. Polten) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. PoltenAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolten
Date
Competition
Furstenfeld
#11
W
81-74
81
74
+7
70avg 62
A07/12
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
61-68
61
68
-7
49avg 62
A13/12
Austria Cup
Kapfenberg Bulls
#7
L
73-81
73
81
-8
61avg 62
H15/12
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#3
L
77-95
77
95
-18
61avg 62
H22/12
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#9
W
94-78
94
78
+16
88avg 62
H26/12
Superliga
Oberwart Gunners
#1
L
52-83
52
83
-31
38avg 62
A29/12
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#4
L
64-114
64
114
-50
47avg 62
H05/01
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#8
L
74-80
74
80
-6
61avg 62
H11/01
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#6
L
66-84
66
84
-18
42avg 62
A25/01
Superliga
Furstenfeld
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
76avg 62
H31/01
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
24-12
15-17
22-20
21-9
8-19
19-18
13-22
18-13
12-23
25-20
18-25
12-32
17-20
19-22
29-21
25-14
20-16
23-20
26-28
15-18
12-24
12-20
13-21
8-39
23-30
22-23
11-22
26-16
21-16
3-28
24-20
16-21
13-27
20-20
17-16
25-31
17-13
23-12
22-24
156.6Avg total
72.9Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)74.186.7160.8-12.717%
Season at home (9)74.487.0161.4-12.622%
Season away (9)73.786.4160.1-12.811%
Last 10 (10)72.983.7156.6-10.830%
Last 5 (5)68.688.2156.8-19.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)72.287.0159.2-14.88%
vs Similar (3)85.387.0172.3-1.733%
vs Weaker (2)84.077.0161.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Wels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: -2.4-2.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +5.6+5.6Q4: -2.4-2.4
WelsSt. Polten
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WelsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kapfenberg Bulls
#7
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A21/12
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#8
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H26/12
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#7
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H02/01
Austria Cup
BBC Nord
#5
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H06/01
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#9
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A12/01
Superliga
BBC Nord
#4
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H18/01
Austria Cup
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
W
25-24
25
24
+1
H19/01
Austria Cup
Furstenfeld
#11
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A25/01
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#6
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H31/01
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#3
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A02/02
Superliga
80.1Avg total
42.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.679.6+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.538.981.4+3.669%-
Last 30 away (14)39.438.177.5+1.257%-
Last 10 (10)42.237.980.1+4.380%-
Last 5 (5)39.235.875.0+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.537.071.5-2.550%-
vs Similar (9)42.837.280.0+5.678%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.139.680.7+1.459%-
This opponent (St. Polten) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. PoltenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furstenfeld
#11
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A07/12
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A13/12
Austria Cup
Kapfenberg Bulls
#7
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H15/12
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#3
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H22/12
Superliga
Vienna Basket
#9
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H26/12
Superliga
Oberwart Gunners
#1
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A29/12
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#4
L
31-69
31
69
-38
H05/01
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#8
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H11/01
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#6
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A25/01
Superliga
Furstenfeld
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H31/01
Superliga
77.1Avg total
35.3Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.243.180.3-5.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.842.480.1-4.636%-
Last 30 away (16)36.743.780.4-7.025%-
Last 10 (10)35.341.877.1-6.540%-
Last 5 (5)35.247.082.2-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)36.843.880.6-7.125%-
vs Similar (3)39.743.783.3-4.033%-
vs Weaker (2)43.040.583.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Wels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Welstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wels: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.417.2
53.1%
-34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.9
30.6%
-23.7
🏀 Free throws17.012.5
73.5%
-12.5
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
St. Poltentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

St. Polten: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.018.7
49.2%
-37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.5
30.1%
-22.5
🏀 Free throws18.912.9
68.3%
-12.9
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wels
WWWLWLWWWW
St. Polten
WLLLLWLLLW
#2
League position
#10
-1.8
Net rating
-16.1
103.9
Offensive rating
98.6
105.7
Defensive rating
114.7
49.9%
Effective FG%
47.6%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
18.7%
Turnover %
18.5%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
30.6%
3-point %
30.1%
60.2%
Assist %
47.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Wels   ■ St. Polten
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Wels wins
3
St. Polten wins
DateGameScore
09/11/24St. Polten v Wels54-92
13/04/24Wels v St. Polten76-87
06/03/24St. Polten v Wels65-89
04/01/24St. Polten v Wels68-81
11/11/23Wels v St. Polten88-76
03/05/23Wels v St. Polten80-61
30/04/23St. Polten v Wels90-78
28/04/23Wels v St. Polten67-60
26/04/23St. Polten v Wels80-72
22/04/23Wels v St. Polten71-67
Welslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/25ASwans Gmunden96-76
31/01/25HKlosterneuburg Dukes96-94 OT
25/01/25AFurstenfeld74-73
19/01/25HKlosterneuburg Dukes60-62
18/01/25HBBC Nord81-68
12/01/25AVienna Basket83-86
06/01/25HBBC Nord95-88
02/01/25HSwans Gmunden76-71
26/12/24HGraz UBSC88-67
21/12/24AKapfenberg Bulls79-71
St. Poltenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/25HFurstenfeld87-80
25/01/25AKlosterneuburg Dukes66-84
11/01/25HGraz UBSC74-80
05/01/25HTraiskirchen Lions64-114
29/12/24AOberwart Gunners52-83
26/12/24HVienna Basket94-78
22/12/24HSwans Gmunden77-95
15/12/24HKapfenberg Bulls73-81
13/12/24ATraiskirchen Lions61-68
07/12/24AFurstenfeld81-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wels
Superliga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWLWWW89%
AwayWWLWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %88%89%88%
Points / game86.486.886.0
Allowed / game76.179.272.5
Point differential+10.4+7.6+13.5
Avg total162.5166.0158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %6%11%0%
St. Polten
Superliga 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW17%
HomeLWLLW22%
AwayLLWLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %17%22%11%
Points / game74.174.473.7
Allowed / game86.787.086.4
Point differential-12.7-12.6-12.8
Avg total160.8161.4160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wels1715288%86.476.1+10.4
2 Oberwart Gunners1714382%85.675.6+9.9
3 Swans Gmunden1814478%86.877.7+9.1
4 Klosterneuburg Dukes1812667%81.877.7+4.1
5 Traiskirchen Lions1812667%80.977.2+3.7
6 Graz UBSC1910953%83.179.4+3.7
7 BBC Nord1881044%81.984.9-3.0
8 Kapfenberg Bulls1851328%81.881.3+0.4
9 Vienna Basket1951426%80.388.1-7.8
10 St. Polten1831517%74.186.7-12.7
11 Furstenfeld181176%70.987.4-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wels1721191673
St. Polten11258953
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