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Wels vs St. Polten Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 76-87
23-22 13-28 17-22 23-15
Position#5
Record20-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game72.6
Wels
Austria
vs
St. Polten 🏆
Austria
Position#9
Record13-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game80.8
AustriaSuperligaRound 10· Raiffeisen Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Wels v St. Polten
08 Feb 2025
WEL73
ST. 53
13 Apr 2024
WEL76
ST. 87
11 Nov 2023
WEL88
ST. 76
03 May 2023
WEL80
ST. 61
28 Apr 2023
WEL67
ST. 60
22 Apr 2023
WEL71
ST. 67
23 Mar 2023
WEL102
ST. 103
22 Oct 2022
WEL87
ST. 61
02 Feb 2022
WEL69
ST. 50
21 Mar 2021
WEL72
ST. 77
06 Jan 2021
WEL83
ST. 85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wels winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
St. Polten winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WelsAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWels
Date
Competition
Vienna Timberwolves
#10
W
97-63
97
63
+34
96avg 74
H17/02
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
71-82
71
82
-11
62avg 74
H03/03
Superliga
St. Polten
#9
W
89-65
89
65
+24
89avg 74
A06/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
W
81-73
81
73
+8
78avg 74
A10/03
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
W
78-69
78
69
+9
68avg 74
H16/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
W
80-69
80
69
+11
74avg 74
H21/03
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
71-75 OT
71
75
-4
no box
A24/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
L
66-68
66
68
-2
58avg 74
A29/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
W
81-80
81
80
+1
79avg 74
H01/04
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
W
82-76
82
76
+6
74avg 74
A07/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-9
21-17
27-25
29-12
19-17
19-17
21-27
12-21
18-6
26-22
24-19
21-18
20-20
18-15
19-25
24-13
24-15
20-15
17-26
17-13
30-15
19-21
11-20
20-13
9-13
18-15
13-20
20-12
18-17
19-16
17-16
12-19
26-29
18-21
15-16
22-14
20-17
14-26
23-13
25-20
151.6Avg total
79.6Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)79.172.6151.7+6.465%
Season at home (15)83.172.1155.2+11.180%
Season away (16)75.273.2148.4+2.150%
Last 10 (10)79.672.0151.6+7.670%
Last 5 (5)76.073.6149.6+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.075.6148.6-2.660%
vs Similar (12)73.272.2145.4+1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.270.2159.5+19.092%
This opponent (St. Polten) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. PoltenAustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolten
Date
Competition
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
W
84-77
84
77
+7
70avg 70
A17/02
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
L
79-81
79
81
-2
64avg 70
H02/03
Superliga
Wels
#5
L
65-89
65
89
-24
56avg 70
H06/03
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
79-84 OT
79
84
-5
no box
A10/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
L
84-88
84
88
-4
66avg 70
H17/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
76-86
76
86
-10
70avg 70
H21/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
L
68-91
68
91
-23
57avg 70
A24/03
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
L
92-103
92
103
-11
86avg 70
A30/03
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
79-94
79
94
-15
69avg 70
H01/04
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
71-108
71
108
-37
59avg 70
A07/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
25-13
20-17
20-28
23-18
21-17
14-19
21-27
6-18
22-26
19-24
18-21
13-25
30-14
6-13
19-16
26-13
19-22
18-25
21-28
27-19
17-17
14-28
18-22
20-21
12-32
27-16
9-22
18-30
21-31
26-19
27-23
16-21
25-25
15-19
23-29
15-26
21-27
14-29
21-26
167.8Avg total
77.7Scored
90.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)79.680.8160.4-1.242%
Season at home (16)79.381.2160.6-1.938%
Season away (15)79.980.3160.2-0.547%
Last 10 (10)77.790.1167.8-12.410%
Last 5 (5)77.296.4173.6-19.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)76.185.5161.6-9.521%
vs Similar (4)77.584.2161.8-6.80%
vs Weaker (7)88.363.0151.3+25.3100%
This opponent (Wels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -4.5-4.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -4.5-4.5
WelsSt. Polten
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WelsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vienna Timberwolves
#10
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H17/02
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H03/03
Superliga
St. Polten
#9
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A06/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A10/03
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H16/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H21/03
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
27-28
27
28
-1
A24/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A29/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H01/04
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A07/04
Superliga
73.9Avg total
39.6Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.734.072.7+4.760%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.234.275.4+7.169%-
Last 30 away (17)36.833.970.6+2.953%-
Last 10 (10)39.634.373.9+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)38.238.076.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.239.074.2-3.820%-
vs Similar (12)35.733.669.2+2.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.832.575.3+10.485%-
This opponent (St. Polten) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. PoltenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kapfenberg Bulls
#6
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A17/02
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H02/03
Superliga
Wels
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
H06/03
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A10/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H17/03
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H21/03
Superliga
Klosterneuburg Dukes
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A24/03
Superliga
Graz UBSC
#7
L
39-61
39
61
-22
A30/03
Superliga
Traiskirchen Lions
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H01/04
Superliga
Swans Gmunden
#2
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A07/04
Superliga
83.0Avg total
39.6Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.980.5+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.640.481.0+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)40.639.580.1+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)39.643.483.0-3.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.449.888.2-11.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)37.741.779.4-3.937%-
vs Similar (4)39.846.085.8-6.225%-
vs Weaker (7)48.931.780.6+17.1100%-
This opponent (Wels) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Welstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wels: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.2 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.1
52.8%
51.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.1
36.3%
32.5%30.3
🏀 Free throws16.712.5
74.9%
71.9%12.5
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
St. Poltentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

St. Polten: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.2 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.418.9
51.9%
51.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.5
33.5%
32.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.513.4
65.4%
71.9%13.4
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wels
WWLLWWWWLW
St. Polten
LLLLLLLLLW
#5
League position
#9
+14.0
Net rating
-16.7
108.9
Offensive rating
104.4
94.9
Defensive rating
121.2
53.5%
Effective FG%
51.2%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
59.8%
19.9%
Turnover %
19.5%
33.7%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.3%
3-point %
33.5%
65.8%
Assist %
47.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 104.4Defence94.9 · 121.2Shooting53.5% · 51.2%3-point %36.3% · 33.5%Ball care19.9% · 19.5%Off. rebounds33.7% · 31.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Wels   ■ St. Polten
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Wels wins
3
St. Polten wins
DateGameScore
06/03/24St. Polten v Wels65-89
04/01/24St. Polten v Wels68-81
11/11/23Wels v St. Polten88-76
03/05/23Wels v St. Polten80-61
30/04/23St. Polten v Wels90-78
28/04/23Wels v St. Polten67-60
26/04/23St. Polten v Wels80-72
22/04/23Wels v St. Polten71-67
15/04/23St. Polten v Wels97-98 OT
23/03/23Wels v St. Polten102-103 OT
Welslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24AGraz UBSC82-76
01/04/24HSwans Gmunden81-80
29/03/24AKlosterneuburg Dukes66-68
24/03/24ATraiskirchen Lions71-75 OT
21/03/24HKlosterneuburg Dukes80-69
16/03/24HGraz UBSC78-69
10/03/24ASwans Gmunden81-73
06/03/24ASt. Polten89-65
03/03/24HTraiskirchen Lions71-82
17/02/24HVienna Timberwolves97-63
St. Poltenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24ASwans Gmunden71-108
01/04/24HTraiskirchen Lions79-94
30/03/24AGraz UBSC92-103
24/03/24AKlosterneuburg Dukes68-91
21/03/24HSwans Gmunden76-86
17/03/24HKlosterneuburg Dukes84-88
10/03/24ATraiskirchen Lions79-84 OT
06/03/24HWels65-89
02/03/24HGraz UBSC79-81
17/02/24AKapfenberg Bulls84-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wels
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW65%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %65%80%50%
Points / game79.183.175.2
Allowed / game72.672.173.2
Point differential+6.4+11.1+2.1
Avg total151.7155.2148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%53%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)100% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
St. Polten
Superliga 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL42%
HomeLLLLL38%
AwayWLLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %42%38%47%
Points / game79.679.379.9
Allowed / game80.881.280.3
Point differential-1.2-1.9-0.5
Avg total160.4160.6160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%19%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Klosterneuburg Dukes3126584%81.971.2+10.7
2 Swans Gmunden3021970%84.373.4+10.9
3 Wels31201165%79.172.6+6.4
4 Kapfenberg Bulls31201165%86.781.1+5.6
5 Traiskirchen Lions31201165%75.970.4+5.6
6 Graz UBSC31191261%79.777.5+2.2
7 Oberwart Gunners31171455%79.772.9+6.8
8 Vienna Basket30161453%83.378.8+4.5
9 St. Polten31131842%79.680.8-1.2
10 Vienna Timberwolves3182326%71.282.8-11.6
11 BBC Nord3132810%75.293.3-18.1
12 Furstenfeld312296%71.492.6-21.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wels2313172376
St. Polten2228221587
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