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Western Kentucky vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 22 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 78-66
38-35 40-31
Position#199
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game60.8
vs
Position#303
Record2-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game63.8
Allowed / game66.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Western Kentucky v Illinois State
22 Nov 2022
WEST78
ILLI66
23 Nov 2019
WEST83
ILLI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#169
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H18/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#255
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H20/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#65
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A27/02
NCAA
Marshall
#287
W
86-72
86
72
+14
A03/03
NCAA
Marshall
#287
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H05/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#67
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H11/03
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
W
66-60
66
60
+6
A11/11
NCAA
Kentucky State
#676
W
127-61
127
61
+66
H13/11
NCAA
Indianapolis
#411
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H16/11
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
53-72
53
72
-19
H21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
47-36
30-31
44-30
29-34
30-39
22-30
43-28
43-44
39-28
39-41
33-36
24-23
30-35
36-25
67-36
60-25
38-27
30-23
30-32
23-40
138.0Avg total
73.7Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.560.8139.2+17.875%
Season at home (3)82.761.0143.7+21.767%
Season away (1)66.060.0126.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.764.3138.0+9.470%
Last 5 (5)74.260.4134.6+13.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.073.8134.8-12.825%
vs Similar (9)69.373.8143.1-4.422%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)83.964.8148.7+19.193%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H22/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
69-90
69
90
-21
A24/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
86-66
86
66
+20
H26/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H04/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
65-78
65
78
-13
A04/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
L
68-71
68
71
-3
H08/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A11/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A13/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H18/11
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
61-77
61
77
-16
A21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-33
27-26
24-49
45-41
44-36
42-30
23-28
35-25
30-40
35-38
40-33
28-38
28-16
26-33
32-32
37-35
30-38
37-32
18-45
43-32
132.7Avg total
64.7Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)63.866.8130.6-3.040%
Season at home (2)67.570.5138.0-3.00%
Season away (3)61.364.3125.7-3.067%
Last 10 (10)64.768.0132.7-3.340%
Last 5 (5)63.866.8130.6-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)69.075.9144.9-6.914%
vs Similar (11)68.068.3136.3-0.345%
vs Weaker (4)77.261.8139.0+15.575%
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: -5.8-5.82nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +2.5+2.5
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.4+7.41st half: -5.8-5.82nd half2nd half: +2.0+2.02nd half: +2.5+2.5
Western KentuckyIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#169
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H18/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#255
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H20/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#65
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A27/02
NCAA
Marshall
#287
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A03/03
NCAA
Marshall
#287
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H05/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#67
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H11/03
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#118
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A11/11
NCAA
Kentucky State
#676
W
67-36
67
36
+31
H13/11
NCAA
Indianapolis
#411
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H16/11
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H21/11
NCAA
72.8Avg total
40.1Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.432.270.6+6.363%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.232.973.2+7.361%-
Last 30 away (12)35.831.066.8+4.867%-
Last 10 (10)40.132.772.8+7.460%-
Last 5 (5)39.633.272.8+6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)28.834.563.2-5.80%-
vs Similar (9)33.434.868.2-1.344%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.431.374.7+12.187%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#37
L
23-33
23
33
-10
H22/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#187
L
24-49
24
49
-25
A24/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H26/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#291
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H04/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#110
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#169
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H08/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#335
W
28-16
28
16
+12
A11/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A13/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H18/11
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
18-45
18
45
-27
A21/11
NCAA
64.2Avg total
29.2Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.634.467.0-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.933.368.3+1.653%-
Last 30 away (15)30.335.565.8-5.333%-
Last 10 (10)29.235.064.2-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)29.632.862.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)31.937.369.1-5.429%-
vs Similar (11)31.134.265.3-3.136%-
vs Weaker (4)36.028.264.2+7.8100%-
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Western Kentucky wins
0
Illinois State wins
DateGameScore
23/11/19Western Kentucky v Illinois State83-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/22HAkron53-72
16/11/22HIndianapolis68-50
13/11/22HKentucky State127-61
11/11/22AEastern Kentucky66-60
11/03/22HLouisiana Tech57-59
05/03/22HMarshall78-69
03/03/22AMarshall86-72
27/02/22AMiddle Tenn. St.52-69
20/02/22HOld Dominion73-64
18/02/22HCharlotte77-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/22ALSU61-77
18/11/22HNorthwestern St.67-70
13/11/22ANorthwestern St.69-67
11/11/22AEastern Illinois54-49
08/11/22HWestern Illinois68-71
04/03/22ANorthern Iowa65-78
04/03/22HIndiana State58-53
26/02/22HIndiana State86-66
24/02/22ASouthern Illinois69-90
22/02/22HLoyola Chicago50-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Kentucky
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWL67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game78.582.766.0
Allowed / game60.861.060.0
Point differential+17.8+21.7+6.0
Avg total139.2143.7126.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illinois State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeLL0%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%0%67%
Points / game63.867.561.3
Allowed / game66.870.564.3
Point differential-3.0-3.0-3.0
Avg total130.6138.0125.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sam Houston St.440100%80.246.8+33.5
2 Western Kentucky43175%78.560.8+17.8
3 Missouri State32167%73.754.7+19.0
4 Kennesaw State64267%79.366.7+12.7
5 UTEP32167%74.365.0+9.3
6 New Mexico State21150%82.559.5+23.0
7 Liberty42250%78.568.0+10.5
8 Middle Tenn. St.42250%69.862.2+7.5
9 Louisiana Tech42250%75.069.2+5.8
10 Florida International42250%82.884.5-1.8
11 Jacksonville State31233%77.773.0+4.7
12 Delaware31233%69.073.7-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State440100%85.868.5+17.2
2 Drake550100%74.462.4+12.0
3 Bradley43175%79.266.0+13.2
4 Murray State53260%78.470.8+7.6
5 Illinois (Chi.)53260%70.865.6+5.2
6 Southern Illinois53260%62.858.8+4.0
7 Belmont63350%77.076.5+0.5
8 Valparaiso42250%73.275.2-2.0
9 Illinois State52340%63.866.8-3.0
10 Northern Iowa31233%76.364.0+12.3
11 Evansville41325%62.869.8-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Kentucky384078
Illinois State353166
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