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Western Kentucky vs Sam Houston St. Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#99
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game63.5
vs
Position#228
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game85.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Western Kentucky v Sam Houston St.
09 Jan 2027
WEST v SAM
upcoming
02 Jan 2026
WEST102
SAM 91
20 Feb 2025
WEST62
SAM 78
01 Feb 2024
WEST77
SAM 79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Kentucky win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sam Houston St. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#26
W
94-73
94
73
+21
A21/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
93-70
93
70
+23
H27/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
97-65
97
65
+32
H28/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A06/03
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
67-92
67
92
-25
A07/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
87-96
87
96
-9
H13/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#242
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H03/11
NCAA
Kentucky Wesleyan Panthers
#431
W
82-48
82
48
+34
H06/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#166
L
94-97
94
97
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Campbellsville
#404
W
78-51
78
51
+27
H12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
48-37
46-36
48-26
45-44
49-39
48-26
38-43
36-44
33-45
34-47
41-46
46-50
38-28
45-30
38-14
44-34
41-50
53-47
35-22
43-29
158.6Avg total
84.9Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.263.5147.8+20.875%
Season at home (3)81.052.3133.3+28.7100%
Season away (1)94.097.0191.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)84.973.7158.6+11.260%
Last 5 (5)84.870.0154.8+14.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.877.5157.3+2.350%
vs Similar (15)72.976.5149.3-3.640%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)85.073.7158.7+11.383%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
W
100-67
100
67
+33
H27/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H28/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A06/03
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A07/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H12/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H13/03
NCAA
Alabama
#41
L
74-96
74
96
-22
A04/11
NCAA
Howard Payne
#505
W
102-59
102
59
+43
H07/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#186
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H12/11
NCAA
Illinois
#83
L
86-108
86
108
-22
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
50-31
50-36
43-34
43-47
33-33
47-50
31-41
41-38
37-26
32-35
37-31
36-48
29-40
45-56
53-23
49-36
41-35
44-42
40-45
46-63
161.7Avg total
82.7Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.885.0171.8+1.850%
Season at home (2)93.568.0161.5+25.5100%
Season away (2)80.0102.0182.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)82.779.0161.7+3.750%
Last 5 (5)84.083.8167.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)81.793.7175.3-12.033%
vs Similar (9)79.477.8157.2+1.756%
vs Weaker (18)82.771.7154.4+11.072%
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: -1.8-1.8
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.9+5.91st half: +5.5+5.52nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: -1.8-1.8
Western KentuckySam Houston St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#26
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A21/02
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H27/02
NCAA
UTEP
#307
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H28/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A06/03
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A07/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H13/03
NCAA
Morehead State
#242
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H03/11
NCAA
Kentucky Wesleyan Panthers
#431
W
38-14
38
14
+24
H06/11
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#166
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A08/11
NCAA
Campbellsville
#404
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H12/11
NCAA
75.9Avg total
40.9Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.035.071.0+1.047%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.632.771.3+5.967%-
Last 30 away (12)32.138.570.6-6.417%-
Last 10 (10)40.935.075.9+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.632.070.6+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.536.371.8-0.850%-
vs Similar (15)34.436.270.6-1.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)37.337.574.8-0.250%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida International
#232
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H27/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A06/03
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A07/03
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H12/03
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H13/03
NCAA
Alabama
#41
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A04/11
NCAA
Howard Payne
#505
W
53-23
53
23
+30
H07/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#186
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H12/11
NCAA
Illinois
#83
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/11
NCAA
73.3Avg total
39.4Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.533.472.9+6.173%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.329.871.1+11.593%-
Last 30 away (15)37.737.074.7+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)39.433.973.3+5.560%-
Last 5 (5)40.034.874.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)36.740.076.7-3.333%-
vs Similar (9)36.833.870.6+3.078%-
vs Weaker (18)41.332.173.4+9.278%-
This opponent (Western Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Western Kentucky wins
4
Sam Houston St. wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HCampbellsville78-51
08/11/26ATennessee Tech94-97
06/11/26HKentucky Wesleyan Panthers82-48
03/11/26HMorehead State83-58
13/03/26HKennesaw State87-96
07/03/26AFlorida International67-92
06/03/26AMissouri State74-87
28/02/26HUTEP97-65
27/02/26HNew Mexico State93-70
21/02/26ALiberty94-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AIllinois86-108
12/11/26HPepperdine85-77
07/11/26HHoward Payne102-59
04/11/26AAlabama74-96
13/03/26HKennesaw State73-79
12/03/26HNew Mexico State69-61
07/03/26ALiberty72-79
06/03/26ADelaware80-83
28/02/26HMissouri State86-81
27/02/26HFlorida International100-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Kentucky
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game84.281.094.0
Allowed / game63.552.397.0
Point differential+20.8+28.7-3.0
Avg total147.8133.3191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game86.893.580.0
Allowed / game85.068.0102.0
Point differential+1.8+25.5-22.0
Avg total171.8161.5182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kennesaw State440100%95.564.8+30.8
2 Missouri State330100%85.361.3+24.0
3 Florida International330100%91.771.0+20.7
4 Western Kentucky43175%84.263.5+20.8
5 Middle Tenn. St.43175%80.876.2+4.5
6 Liberty32167%81.364.0+17.3
7 UTEP32167%71.767.3+4.3
8 Delaware42250%73.561.5+12.0
9 Louisiana Tech42250%69.863.2+6.5
10 Jacksonville State42250%80.075.5+4.5
11 Sam Houston St.42250%86.885.0+1.8
12 New Mexico State31233%66.378.3-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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