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Liberty vs Sam Houston St. Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 64-61
33-29 31-32
Position#19
Record18-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game61.8
Liberty 🏆
USA
vs
Position#283
Record8-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game77.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Liberty v Sam Houston St.
28 Jan 2027
LIBE v SAM
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
LIBE79
SAM 72
08 Feb 2025
LIBE64
SAM 61
20 Jan 2024
LIBE82
SAM 66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Liberty winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sam Houston St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#182
L
70-71
70
71
-1
H03/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H04/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A12/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H17/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H19/01
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
82-59
82
59
+23
A25/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
76-68
76
68
+8
A31/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
61-72
61
72
-11
A01/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
77-53
77
53
+24
H07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-21
35-50
42-25
31-38
35-33
41-35
34-27
40-52
31-31
39-41
34-31
34-29
43-27
39-32
38-28
38-40
38-32
23-40
39-23
38-30
139.2Avg total
72.7Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.661.8139.4+15.878%
Season at home (15)81.059.9140.9+21.180%
Season away (8)71.265.2136.5+6.075%
Last 10 (10)72.766.5139.2+6.260%
Last 5 (5)72.862.4135.2+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)72.068.5140.5+3.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)75.763.6139.3+12.064%
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#175
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A03/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A05/01
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H10/01
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
81-74
81
74
+7
H11/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
69-75 OT
69
75
-6
A17/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A18/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H24/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
61-66 OT
61
66
-5
A01/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-38
41-37
29-39
43-42
33-35
35-41
36-27
45-47
25-29
37-33
32-26
30-44
38-36
37-41
34-36
32-39
30-32
21-19
39-38
35-36
146.1Avg total
70.7Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.677.0153.6-0.435%
Season at home (9)83.972.0155.9+11.967%
Season away (14)71.980.2152.1-8.314%
Last 10 (10)70.775.4146.1-4.710%
Last 5 (5)69.274.6143.8-5.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)69.878.5148.2-8.817%
vs Similar (11)74.575.3149.7-0.845%
vs Weaker (6)90.864.3155.2+26.5100%
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +9.1+9.11st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: -2.3-2.3
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +9.1+9.11st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: -2.9-2.92nd half: -2.3-2.3
LibertySam Houston St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Kentucky
#182
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H03/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H04/01
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#283
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A10/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A12/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H17/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#175
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H19/01
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A25/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A31/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A01/02
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H07/02
NCAA
64.7Avg total
36.9Scored
27.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.529.465.9+7.270%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.427.866.2+10.579%-
Last 30 away (11)33.432.065.4+1.455%-
Last 10 (10)36.927.864.7+9.190%-
Last 5 (5)38.428.266.6+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)32.530.563.0+2.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)36.829.366.1+7.571%-
This opponent (Sam Houston St.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sam Houston St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#175
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A03/01
NCAA
UTEP
#163
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A05/01
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H10/01
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H11/01
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#142
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A17/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A18/01
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#76
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H24/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#182
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H25/01
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A01/02
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A07/02
NCAA
66.2Avg total
32.6Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.333.870.1+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.632.271.8+7.577%-
Last 30 away (17)33.835.168.8-1.347%-
Last 10 (10)32.633.666.2-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)34.633.668.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.636.470.0-2.842%-
vs Similar (11)32.433.465.7-1.055%-
vs Weaker (6)48.231.579.7+16.7100%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Liberty wins
1
Sam Houston St. wins
DateGameScore
10/01/25Sam Houston St. v Liberty68-76
18/02/24Sam Houston St. v Liberty83-73
21/01/24Liberty v Sam Houston St.82-66
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/25HLouisiana Tech77-53
01/02/25AJacksonville State61-72
31/01/25AKennesaw State76-68
25/01/25AFlorida International82-59
19/01/25HNew Mexico State68-60
17/01/25HUTEP70-72
12/01/25ALouisiana Tech74-79
10/01/25ASam Houston St.76-68
04/01/25HMiddle Tenn. St.73-63
03/01/25HWestern Kentucky70-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/25AFlorida International82-85 OT
01/02/25ALouisiana Tech61-66 OT
25/01/25HWestern Kentucky66-75
24/01/25HMiddle Tenn. St.75-77
18/01/25AJacksonville State62-70
17/01/25AKennesaw State69-75 OT
11/01/25HFlorida International81-74
10/01/25HLiberty68-76
05/01/25AUTEP72-81
03/01/25ANew Mexico State71-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Liberty
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW78%
HomeLWLWW80%
AwayWLWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23158
Win %78%80%75%
Points / game77.681.071.2
Allowed / game61.859.965.2
Point differential+15.8+21.1+6.0
Avg total139.4140.9136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Sam Houston St.
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeWLWLL67%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games23914
Win %35%67%14%
Points / game76.683.971.9
Allowed / game77.072.080.2
Point differential-0.4+11.9-8.3
Avg total153.6155.9152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%44%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)50% (2)0% (4)
Overtime %13%0%21%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2318578%77.661.8+15.8
2 Louisiana Tech2417771%75.268.5+6.8
3 Jacksonville State2316770%76.568.5+8.0
4 UTEP2215768%73.268.6+4.5
5 Middle Tenn. St.2315865%75.870.5+5.3
6 Kennesaw State2314961%78.073.9+4.2
7 Western Kentucky2314961%77.674.8+2.8
8 New Mexico State22121055%71.468.3+3.1
9 Delaware25121348%77.077.2-0.2
10 Sam Houston St.2381535%76.677.0-0.4
11 Florida International2481633%72.172.7-0.5
12 Missouri State2481633%69.571.6-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Liberty333164
Sam Houston St.293261
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