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Western Michigan vs Buffalo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-85
39-53 37-32
Position#305
Record4-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Buffalo 🏆
USA
Position#333
Record5-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game81.3
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Western Michigan v Buffalo
02 Dec 2026
WEST v BUFF
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
WEST71
BUFF88
18 Jan 2025
WEST76
BUFF85
24 Feb 2024
WEST91
BUFF72
04 Feb 2023
WEST76
BUFF85
11 Jan 2022
WEST64
BUFF78
12 Jan 2021
WEST69
BUFF85
19 Mar 2011
WEST48
BUFF49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Youngstown State
#117
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A27/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A04/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A14/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
L
62-98
62
98
-36
A15/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
73-76
73
76
-3
H20/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A30/12
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
70-76
70
76
-6
H04/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H08/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A11/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
94-83
94
83
+11
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
36-30
37-32
35-32
34-45
34-36
37-41
28-49
34-49
42-26
31-50
24-37
38-43
33-35
37-41
42-38
37-45
23-54
48-37
46-40
48-43
152.7Avg total
72.4Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)72.476.4148.8-3.925%
Season at home (7)76.672.7149.3+3.929%
Season away (9)69.279.2148.4-10.022%
Last 10 (10)72.480.3152.7-7.920%
Last 5 (5)75.282.6157.8-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)70.478.0148.4-7.628%
vs Similar (9)62.371.9134.2-9.611%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)91.570.5162.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
N. Carolina A&T
#348
W
82-81
82
81
+1
H26/11
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A01/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh Bradford
#510
W
100-65
100
65
+35
H04/12
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A07/12
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
49-100
49
100
-51
A20/12
NCAA
Temple
#180
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A29/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
79-93
79
93
-14
A04/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H08/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
49-68
49
68
-19
H10/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
61-79
61
79
-18
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-43
39-38
28-38
36-49
46-30
54-35
22-32
33-33
19-56
30-44
29-39
42-52
39-46
40-47
20-37
59-51
20-24
29-44
28-32
33-47
150.6Avg total
68.9Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)71.881.3153.1-9.531%
Season at home (7)77.677.1154.7+0.457%
Season away (9)67.384.6151.9-17.211%
Last 10 (10)68.981.7150.6-12.820%
Last 5 (5)67.883.8151.6-16.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)68.181.6149.7-13.515%
vs Similar (1)82.081.0163.0+1.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -3.4-3.41st half: -8.3-8.32nd half2nd half: -4.5-4.52nd half: -4.5-4.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -3.4-3.41st half: -8.3-8.32nd half2nd half: -4.5-4.52nd half: -4.5-4.5
Western MichiganBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Youngstown State
#117
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A27/11
NCAA
Dayton
#62
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A04/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#57
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A14/12
NCAA
North Dakota St
#85
L
28-49
28
49
-21
A15/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H20/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#17
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A30/12
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H04/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H08/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
23-54
23
54
-31
A11/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A15/01
NCAA
72.0Avg total
34.3Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.935.066.9-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.131.865.9+2.357%-
Last 30 away (16)30.137.867.8-7.725%-
Last 10 (10)34.337.772.0-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)33.640.874.4-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)30.936.967.8-5.939%-
vs Similar (9)30.134.764.8-4.622%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)44.028.072.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
N. Carolina A&T
#348
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H26/11
NCAA
Penn State
#185
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A01/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh Bradford
#510
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H04/12
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
22-32
22
32
-10
A07/12
NCAA
Georgia
#120
L
19-56
19
56
-37
A20/12
NCAA
Temple
#180
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A29/12
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#41
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A04/01
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
20-37
20
37
-17
H08/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
20-24
20
24
-4
H10/01
NCAA
Bowling Green
#257
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A15/01
NCAA
67.1Avg total
29.4Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.638.269.8-6.623%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.637.869.4-6.121%-
Last 30 away (16)31.638.670.2-6.925%-
Last 10 (10)29.437.767.1-8.310%-
Last 5 (5)27.235.662.8-8.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)30.538.268.7-7.722%-
vs Similar (1)43.043.086.0+0.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Western Michigan wins
7
Buffalo wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25AKent State94-83
11/01/25AMiami (Ohio)71-91
08/01/25HBowling Green79-83
04/01/25HToledo70-76
30/12/24AMichigan State62-80
20/12/24HValparaiso73-76
15/12/24ANorth Dakota St62-98
14/12/24ASt. Thomas (Minn.)71-77
04/12/24ADayton69-77
27/11/24AYoungstown State73-62
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/25ABowling Green61-79
10/01/25HKent State49-68
08/01/25HOhio79-88
04/01/25AMiami (Ohio)79-93
29/12/24ATemple71-91
20/12/24AGeorgia49-100
07/12/24ASt. Bonaventure55-65
04/12/24HPittsburgh Bradford100-65
01/12/24APenn State64-87
26/11/24HN. Carolina A&T82-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Michigan
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW25%
HomeWLLLL29%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %25%29%22%
Points / game72.476.669.2
Allowed / game76.472.779.2
Point differential-3.9+3.9-10.0
Avg total148.8149.3148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeWWWLL57%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %31%57%11%
Points / game71.877.667.3
Allowed / game81.377.184.6
Point differential-9.5+0.4-17.2
Avg total153.1154.7151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Miami (Ohio)1612475%83.671.5+12.1
2 Akron1712571%82.873.9+8.9
3 Kent State1611569%70.164.4+5.6
4 Ohio1710759%81.174.9+6.2
5 Toledo169756%77.477.7-0.3
6 Ball State168850%75.971.8+4.2
7 Central Michigan167944%73.470.3+3.1
8 Bowling Green167944%77.575.1+2.4
9 Eastern Michigan167944%72.178.6-6.6
10 UMass1871139%76.177.3-1.3
11 Buffalo1651131%71.881.3-9.5
12 Western Michigan1641225%72.476.4-3.9
13 Northern Illinois1641225%70.876.8-5.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Western Michigan393776
Buffalo533285
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