PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Western Michigan vs Buffalo Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 03 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#104
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game60.8
vs
Position#282
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game79.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Western Michigan v Buffalo
02 Dec 2026
WEST v BUFF
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
WEST71
BUFF88
18 Jan 2025
WEST76
BUFF85
24 Feb 2024
WEST91
BUFF72
04 Feb 2023
WEST76
BUFF85
11 Jan 2022
WEST64
BUFF78
12 Jan 2021
WEST69
BUFF85
19 Mar 2011
WEST48
BUFF49
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Western Michigan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Buffalo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#14
L
73-90
73
90
-17
H18/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
70-83
70
83
-13
A21/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
88-79
88
79
+9
A25/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
L
67-69
67
69
-2
H27/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
71-74 OT
71
74
-3
H04/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A07/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#57
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A03/11
NCAA
Kalamazoo
#477
W
99-52
99
52
+47
H06/11
NCAA
Campbell
#316
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H08/11
NCAA
IPFW
#280
W
81-59
81
59
+22
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-53
39-37
33-40
37-43
41-38
47-41
30-26
37-43
22-25
39-36
37-46
41-40
24-30
25-31
45-19
54-33
41-35
46-36
35-28
46-31
148.7Avg total
76.3Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.060.8139.8+18.275%
Season at home (2)93.061.5154.5+31.5100%
Season away (2)65.060.0125.0+5.050%
Last 10 (10)76.372.4148.7+3.940%
Last 5 (5)78.865.8144.6+13.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)71.584.4155.9-12.912%
vs Similar (10)72.971.7144.6+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)87.362.3149.7+25.0100%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#342
L
70-72
70
72
-2
H17/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
A21/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
85-99
85
99
-14
A25/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H28/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H03/03
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
78-98
78
98
-20
A07/03
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A12/03
NCAA
Marshall
#302
L
65-92
65
92
-27
A03/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#56
L
61-80
61
80
-19
A06/11
NCAA
Penn State-Schuylkill
#458
W
107-65
107
65
+42
H09/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-29
35-43
29-34
39-34
35-39
50-60
26-34
44-41
43-27
29-40
33-37
45-61
29-42
41-31
24-45
41-47
45-32
16-48
58-31
49-34
156.7Avg total
76.4Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.779.0156.7-1.333%
Season at home (1)107.065.0172.0+42.0100%
Season away (2)63.086.0149.0-23.00%
Last 10 (10)76.480.3156.7-3.930%
Last 5 (5)76.281.6157.8-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)78.083.6161.6-5.625%
vs Similar (11)75.181.5156.5-6.427%
vs Weaker (9)74.868.8143.6+6.067%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +4.0+4.02nd half: -5.0-5.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.2+0.21st half: +0.7+0.72nd half2nd half: +4.0+4.02nd half: -5.0-5.0
Western MichiganBuffalo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Akron
#14
L
34-53
34
53
-19
H18/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A21/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A25/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#5
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H27/02
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
22-25
22
25
-3
H04/03
NCAA
Kent State
#52
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A07/03
NCAA
Old Dominion
#57
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A03/11
NCAA
Kalamazoo
#477
W
45-19
45
19
+26
H06/11
NCAA
Campbell
#316
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H08/11
NCAA
IPFW
#280
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A13/11
NCAA
68.2Avg total
34.2Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.336.569.8-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.534.169.6+1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)31.338.770.0-7.425%-
Last 10 (10)34.234.068.2+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.431.668.0+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)32.140.472.6-8.325%-
vs Similar (10)31.533.565.0-2.030%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)41.331.773.0+9.7100%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#342
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H17/02
NCAA
UMass
#189
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A21/02
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A25/02
NCAA
Central Michigan
#323
L
26-34
26
34
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H03/03
NCAA
Toledo
#156
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Akron
#14
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A12/03
NCAA
Marshall
#302
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A03/11
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#56
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A06/11
NCAA
Penn State-Schuylkill
#458
W
58-31
58
31
+27
H09/11
NCAA
70.7Avg total
35.7Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.735.772.4+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.135.671.7+0.538%-
Last 30 away (17)37.235.772.9+1.559%-
Last 10 (10)35.735.070.7+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.837.475.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.139.476.5-2.238%-
vs Similar (11)31.838.069.8-6.227%-
vs Weaker (9)38.329.968.2+8.478%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Western Michigan wins
7
Buffalo wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AIPFW81-59
08/11/26HCampbell87-71
06/11/26HKalamazoo99-52
03/11/26AOld Dominion49-61
07/03/26AKent State78-86
04/03/26HBall State71-74 OT
27/02/26HMiami (Ohio)67-69
25/02/26ABowling Green88-79
21/02/26ACentral Michigan70-83
18/02/26HAkron73-90
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HPenn State-Schuylkill107-65
06/11/26APittsburgh61-80
03/11/26AMarshall65-92
12/03/26AAkron70-73
07/03/26AToledo78-98
03/03/26HEastern Michigan72-67
28/02/26HCentral Michigan70-75
25/02/26AAkron85-99
21/02/26AUMass86-82 OT
17/02/26HNorthern Illinois70-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Western Michigan
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game79.093.065.0
Allowed / game60.861.560.0
Point differential+18.2+31.5+5.0
Avg total139.8154.5125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Buffalo
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game77.7107.063.0
Allowed / game79.065.086.0
Point differential-1.3+42.0-23.0
Avg total156.7172.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron330100%84.062.7+21.3
2 Central Michigan440100%83.865.8+18.0
3 Bowling Green330100%86.376.0+10.3
4 Miami (Ohio)330100%84.076.0+8.0
5 Western Michigan43175%79.060.8+18.2
6 Eastern Michigan32167%77.363.3+14.0
7 UMass32167%66.064.3+1.7
8 Ohio32167%76.075.7+0.3
9 Northern Illinois53260%79.473.2+6.2
10 Toledo52340%73.077.2-4.2
11 Kent State31233%83.375.3+8.0
12 Buffalo31233%77.779.0-1.3
13 Ball State41325%68.872.5-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.