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Wurzburg vs Iraklis Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 80-74
Projected total 154.7
Scheduled
Position#13
Record4-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game75.5
Vs
68%
32%
■ WUR 68%■ IRA 32%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
3.9/10
Below normal
Position#11
Record4-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 7· Tectake Arena
European cup2026
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Wurzburg will host Iraklis in the FIBA Europe Cup on 17 November 2026, with the Pythia model naming Wurzburg as the favourite and predicting a 68% chance of a home win and a projected score of 80-74. Both clubs finish the season with identical 4-2 records, Wurzburg averaging 84.5 points per game and allowing 75.5, while Iraklis averages 87.2 and concedes 76.0; Wurzburg is 13th in the league and Iraklis 11th. Wurzburg's home form is flawless, 4-0 at home with 92.2 points scored and 72.5 allowed, and they have won four of their last five games, including a 78-76 victory over AEK Larnaca, a 73-94 loss to Bayern and a 113-79 win over Tartu Ulikool. Iraklis has a 1-1 road record, scoring 82.0 and conceding 80.0 in those outings, and has won three of its last five, with recent home wins over MZT Skopje, Mykonos and AEK Larnaca. In their only previous meeting, Iraklis defeated Wurzburg 90-73 on 14 October 2026. The Pythia model projects a total of 154.7 points, with a 4% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg win
67.8%fair 1.48
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Iraklis win
32.2%fair 3.10
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:34 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
65-73
65
73
-8
46avg 73
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#5
L
62-101
62
101
-39
38avg 73
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#11
L
73-90
73
90
-17
56avg 73
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#47
W
87-73
87
73
+14
80avg 73
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#15
W
98-88
98
88
+10
90avg 73
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
91-62
91
62
+29
79avg 73
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
96-72
96
72
+24
92avg 73
A31/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
113-79
113
79
+34
no box
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
no box
H08/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
78-76
78
76
+2
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
23-18
19-15
6-18
21-19
14-21
6-35
21-26
20-22
17-17
12-27
24-24
21-21
28-22
20-15
18-15
27-17
23-25
27-15
21-31
30-16
16-14
27-11
18-21
29-19
29-11
21-22
17-20
23-20
31-19
33-17
26-23
21-26
18-23
7-33
27-12
12-24
23-22
26-17
17-13
164.4Avg total
83.6Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.575.5160.0+9.067%
Season at home (4)92.272.5164.8+19.8100%
Season away (2)69.081.5150.5-12.50%
Last 10 (10)83.680.8164.4+2.860%
Last 5 (5)90.276.6166.8+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.890.2165.0-15.525%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.276.4158.6+5.864%
vs Weaker (11)82.476.6159.0+5.764%
This opponent (Iraklis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraklisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIraklis
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#7
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
82avg 76
A10/10
Basket League
Wurzburg
#13
W
90-73
90
73
+17
95avg 76
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#5
W
71-53
71
53
+18
67avg 76
H17/10
Basket League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
85-86
85
86
-1
77avg 76
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lefkadas
#9
L
86-94 OT
86
94
-8
80avg 76
A24/10
Basket League
Tartu Ulikool
#37
L
100-101 OT
100
101
-1
88avg 76
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#2
L
53-63
53
63
-10
40avg 76
H31/10
Basket League
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
81-64
81
64
+17
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Mykonos
#12
W
95-64
95
64
+31
no box
H07/11
Basket League
MZT Skopje
#47
W
103-73
103
73
+30
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
31-16
18-24
9-20
22-20
17-17
27-12
24-24
12-10
11-19
29-17
19-7
20-19
14-22
21-19
30-26
18-19
23-22
26-18
11-19
22-24
25-19
22-28
20-18
17-19
14-15
11-13
11-16
21-23
27-11
14-11
19-19
24-16
25-10
29-19
17-19
29-17
18-18
31-18
25-20
161.5Avg total
85.3Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.276.0163.2+11.267%
Season at home (4)89.874.0163.8+15.875%
Season away (2)82.080.0162.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)85.376.2161.5+9.150%
Last 5 (5)86.473.0159.4+13.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.780.6152.3-8.914%
vs Similar ◀ (13)81.884.4166.2-2.531%
vs Weaker (10)92.577.1169.6+15.470%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1101%1152%1203%1254%1307%1359%14011%14512%15012%15511%1609%1657%1705%1753%1802%1851%1901%1950%200
0%1102%1204%1309%14012%15011%1607%1703%1801%1900%200
Pythia expects about 155 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 150-154 (12%).
Over/Under 160
Over 160
36.2%
Under 160
63.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165
Over 165
25.3%
Under 165
74.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170
Over 170
16.6%
Under 170
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Wurzburg total 80.5
Over 80.5
49.4%
Under 80.5
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wurzburg total 84.5
Over 84.5
34.9%
Under 84.5
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wurzburg total 88.5
Over 88.5
22.2%
Under 88.5
77.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis total 76.5
Over 76.5
41.5%
Under 76.5
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis total 80.5
Over 80.5
27.8%
Under 80.5
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis total 84.5
Over 84.5
16.9%
Under 84.5
83.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%0%-271%-241%-212%-183%-154%-125%-97%-68%-36%+010%+310%+69%+99%+126%+156%+184%+213%+242%+271%+301%+331%+36
1%-242%-184%-127%-66%+010%+69%+126%+183%+241%+301%+36
Margin from Wurzburg's side (positive = Wurzburg win). Pythia's expected margin is +5.9; Wurzburg win by 1+ in 62% of simulations.
Spread Wurzburg -3
WUR -3
60.7%
IRA +3
39.3%
Best 5 market prices
WUR
No market prices yet.
IRA
No market prices yet.
Spread Wurzburg 0
WUR 0
67.8%
IRA 0
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
WUR
No market prices yet.
IRA
No market prices yet.
Spread Wurzburg +3
WUR +3
74.7%
IRA -3
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
WUR
No market prices yet.
IRA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
WurzburgIraklis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Larnaca
#25
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rostock
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#47
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#15
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
58-30
58
30
+28
A31/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H08/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
84.1Avg total
44.3Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.179.1+2.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.739.582.2+3.265%-
Last 30 away (13)38.636.374.9+2.346%-
Last 10 (10)44.339.884.1+4.550%-
Last 5 (5)46.438.885.2+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.040.579.5-1.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.436.878.2+4.671%-
vs Weaker (11)41.438.680.0+2.755%-
This opponent (Iraklis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraklisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peristeri
#7
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A10/10
Basket League
Wurzburg
#13
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#5
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H17/10
Basket League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lefkadas
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A24/10
Basket League
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#2
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H31/10
Basket League
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Mykonos
#12
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H07/11
Basket League
MZT Skopje
#47
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
76.6Avg total
41.1Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.781.7+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.537.977.4+1.641%-
Last 30 away (13)43.044.487.4-1.446%-
Last 10 (10)41.135.576.6+5.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.434.478.8+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.943.080.9-5.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.242.880.9-4.615%-
vs Weaker (10)46.936.483.3+10.590%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.2
48.5%
53.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.6
33.1%
32.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.6
76.4%
72.8%13.6
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Iraklistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iraklis: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.5
53.1%
53.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.8
30.7%
32.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.814.5
66.5%
72.8%14.5
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
WLWWWWWLLL
Iraklis
WWWLLLLWWL
#13
League position
#11
+4.1
Net rating
-2.2
92.6
Offensive rating
88.3
88.5
Defensive rating
90.5
49.0%
Effective FG%
50.2%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
14.2%
Turnover %
17.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.1%
3-point %
30.7%
54.9%
Assist %
59.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.6 · 88.3Defence88.5 · 90.5Shooting49.0% · 50.2%3-point %33.1% · 30.7%Ball care14.2% · 17.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Iraklis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Wurzburg wins
1
Iraklis wins
DateGameScore
14/10/26Iraklis v Wurzburg90-73
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HAEK Larnaca78-76
08/11/26HBayern73-94
02/11/26HTartu Ulikool113-79
31/10/26ABasketball Braunschweig96-72
28/10/26HDziki Warszawa91-62
26/10/26HChemnitz98-88
20/10/26HMZT Skopje87-73
14/10/26AIraklis73-90
10/10/26ARostock62-101
07/10/26AAEK Larnaca65-73
Iraklislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HMZT Skopje103-73
07/11/26HMykonos95-64
04/11/26HAEK Larnaca81-64
31/10/26HPAOK53-63
28/10/26ATartu Ulikool100-101 OT
24/10/26ALefkadas86-94 OT
21/10/26HDziki Warszawa85-86
17/10/26HAS Karditsas71-53
14/10/26HWurzburg90-73
10/10/26APeristeri89-91 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game84.592.269.0
Allowed / game75.572.581.5
Point differential+9.0+19.8-12.5
Avg total160.0164.8150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iraklis
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game87.289.882.0
Allowed / game76.074.080.0
Point differential+11.2+15.8+2.0
Avg total163.2163.8162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %17%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trier660100%100.069.7+30.3
2 Esenler Erokspor660100%96.371.0+25.3
3 Basquet Girona65183%91.375.0+16.3
4 Nancy65183%87.272.5+14.7
5 Korfez Basket65183%87.373.7+13.7
6 Benfica65183%94.383.8+10.5
7 Mykonos65183%84.076.3+7.7
8 Dziki Warszawa65183%87.580.3+7.2
9 Chalon/Saone64267%84.872.7+12.2
10 Kolossos Rhodes64267%81.870.2+11.7
11 Iraklis64267%87.276.0+11.2
12 VEF Riga64267%95.084.7+10.3
13 Wurzburg64267%84.575.5+9.0
14 Promitheas64267%90.081.8+8.2
15 CSM Oradea64267%86.380.3+6.0
16 Szczecin64267%86.881.7+5.2
17 Geneva Lions64267%88.284.0+4.2
18 Keravnos64267%80.876.7+4.2
19 Zielona Gora64267%84.583.2+1.3
20 Split64267%81.580.3+1.2
21 Oostende64267%78.377.8+0.5
22 Bakken Bears64267%82.083.3-1.3
23 BC Prievidza84450%90.183.2+6.9
24 Lok. Plovdiv63350%83.383.5-0.2
25 AEK Larnaca63350%79.580.0-0.5
26 Valmiera Glass Via63350%81.083.3-2.3
27 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%80.083.7-3.7
28 Sporting CP63350%76.780.3-3.7
29 Trepca63350%77.581.2-3.7
30 Dinamo Bucharest83538%87.881.6+6.1
31 Denizli Basket62433%81.583.5-2.0
32 Vienna Basket62433%80.585.2-4.7
33 Levice62433%72.778.2-5.5
34 SCM Craiova62433%88.096.3-8.3
35 Nitra Blue Wings62433%78.888.2-9.3
36 Szolnoki Olaj62433%77.588.3-10.8
37 Tartu Ulikool62433%88.099.7-11.7
38 Neftchi IK82625%75.682.6-7.0
39 Parnu82625%71.479.0-7.6
40 Bashkimi51420%73.683.2-9.6
41 Rilski Sportist51420%75.888.8-13.0
42 Manchester Basketball51420%75.890.0-14.2
43 Gence51420%71.288.2-17.0
44 Opava61517%83.286.8-3.7
45 Absheron Lions61517%83.795.3-11.7
46 Fribourg Olympic61517%73.087.3-14.3
47 MZT Skopje6060%72.087.2-15.2
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
50 Batumi6060%66.899.2-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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