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Wurzburg vs Iraklis Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Projected 80-76
Projected total 156.8
Scheduled
Position#13
Record4-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game75.5
Vs
62%
38%
■ WUR 62%■ IRA 38%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
3.8/10
Below normal
Position#11
Record4-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game76.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 7· Tectake Arena
European cup2026
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Wurzburg will host Iraklis in the FIBA Europe Cup on 17 November 2026, and the model sees Wurzburg as the favourite with a 62% chance to win versus 38% for Iraklis; the projected score is 80-76 for the home side, giving a total of 156.8 points. Both clubs finish the season 4-2, with Wurzburg 13th and Iraklis 11th in the league; Wurzburg averages 84.5 points per game and allows 75.5, while Iraklis averages 87.2 and concedes 76.0. Wurzburg has gone undefeated at home, 4-0, scoring 92.2 and conceding 72.5, and has won three of its last five games, though it lost to Hamburg 84-91 away on 14 November, beat AEK Larnaca 78-76 at home on 11 November and lost to Bayern 73-94 at home on 8 November. Iraklis has gone 1-1 on the road, scoring 82.0 and allowing 80.0, and has won four of its last five, including a 99-92 win over Promitheas away on 14 November, a 103-73 victory over MZT Skopje at home on 11 November and a 95-64 win over Mykonos at home on 7 November. In their only prior meeting, Iraklis beat Wurzburg 90-73 on 14 October 2026, a result that adds intrigue to this clash.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg win
62.1%fair 1.61
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Iraklis win
37.9%fair 2.64
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 15 Nov 18:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Rostock
#3
L
62-101
62
101
-39
38avg 73
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#11
L
73-90
73
90
-17
56avg 73
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#47
W
87-73
87
73
+14
80avg 73
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#13
W
98-88
98
88
+10
90avg 73
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
91-62
91
62
+29
79avg 73
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#16
W
96-72
96
72
+24
92avg 73
A31/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
113-79
113
79
+34
no box
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
no box
H08/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
78-76
78
76
+2
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#15
L
84-91
84
91
-7
no box
A14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
14-21
6-35
21-26
20-22
17-17
12-27
24-24
21-21
28-22
20-15
18-15
27-17
23-25
27-15
21-31
30-16
16-14
27-11
18-21
29-19
29-11
21-22
17-20
23-20
31-19
33-17
26-23
21-26
18-23
7-33
27-12
12-24
23-22
26-17
17-13
17-24
23-33
16-24
28-10
168.1Avg total
85.5Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.575.5160.0+9.067%
Season at home (4)92.272.5164.8+19.8100%
Season away (2)69.081.5150.5-12.50%
Last 10 (10)85.582.6168.1+2.960%
Last 5 (5)88.882.4171.2+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.890.2165.0-15.525%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.176.1158.2+6.062%
vs Weaker (12)82.577.8160.3+4.758%
This opponent (Iraklis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraklisLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIraklis
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#13
W
90-73
90
73
+17
95avg 76
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#5
W
71-53
71
53
+18
67avg 76
H17/10
Basket League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
85-86
85
86
-1
77avg 76
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lefkadas
#9
L
86-94 OT
86
94
-8
80avg 76
A24/10
Basket League
Tartu Ulikool
#37
L
100-101 OT
100
101
-1
88avg 76
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#1
L
53-63
53
63
-10
40avg 76
H31/10
Basket League
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
81-64
81
64
+17
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Mykonos
#12
W
95-64
95
64
+31
no box
H07/11
Basket League
MZT Skopje
#47
W
103-73
103
73
+30
no box
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#14
W
99-92
99
92
+7
no box
A14/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
17-17
27-12
24-24
12-10
11-19
29-17
19-7
20-19
14-22
21-19
30-26
18-19
23-22
26-18
11-19
22-24
25-19
22-28
20-18
17-19
14-15
11-13
11-16
21-23
27-11
14-11
19-19
24-16
25-10
29-19
17-19
29-17
18-18
31-18
25-20
26-23
24-24
33-25
16-20
162.6Avg total
86.3Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.276.0163.2+11.267%
Season at home (4)89.874.0163.8+15.875%
Season away (2)82.080.0162.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)86.376.3162.6+10.060%
Last 5 (5)86.271.2157.4+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.780.6152.3-8.914%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.485.2166.6-3.825%
vs Weaker (11)93.178.5171.5+14.673%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%1%1151%1202%1254%1306%1358%14010%14512%15012%15512%16010%1658%1706%1754%1802%1851%1901%1950%200
1%1152%1256%13510%14512%15510%1656%1752%1851%195
Pythia expects about 157 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 155-159 (12%).
Over/Under 160.5
Over 160.5
40.3%
Under 160.5
59.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165.5
Over 165.5
29.1%
Under 165.5
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 170.5
Over 170.5
19.7%
Under 170.5
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Wurzburg total 80.5
Over 80.5
49.7%
Under 80.5
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wurzburg total 84.5
Over 84.5
35.2%
Under 84.5
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wurzburg total 88.5
Over 88.5
22.6%
Under 88.5
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis total 77
Over 77
47.3%
Under 77
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis total 81
Over 81
32.3%
Under 81
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iraklis total 85
Over 85
20.0%
Under 85
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-301%-271%-241%-212%-184%-155%-126%-98%-69%-36%+010%+310%+69%+98%+126%+155%+183%+213%+242%+271%+301%+33
0%-301%-242%-185%-128%-66%+010%+68%+125%+183%+241%+30
Margin from Wurzburg's side (positive = Wurzburg win). Pythia's expected margin is +4.0; Wurzburg win by 1+ in 56% of simulations.
Spread Wurzburg -3
WUR -3
54.6%
IRA +3
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
WUR
No market prices yet.
IRA
No market prices yet.
Spread Wurzburg 0
WUR 0
62.1%
IRA 0
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
WUR
No market prices yet.
IRA
No market prices yet.
Spread Wurzburg +3
WUR +3
69.6%
IRA -3
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
WUR
No market prices yet.
IRA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.4+0.4
WurzburgIraklis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#3
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A10/10
BBL
Iraklis
#11
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
MZT Skopje
#47
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H20/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Chemnitz
#13
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H26/10
BBL
Dziki Warszawa
#8
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#16
W
58-30
58
30
+28
A31/10
BBL
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H02/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bayern
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H08/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#25
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Hamburg
#15
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A14/11
BBL
85.8Avg total
44.3Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.579.2+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.439.281.6+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)38.737.876.5+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)44.341.585.8+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)45.244.289.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.040.579.5-1.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.036.277.2+4.869%-
vs Weaker (12)41.240.281.4+1.150%-
This opponent (Iraklis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IraklisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#13
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AS Karditsas
#5
L
23-29
23
29
-6
H17/10
Basket League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lefkadas
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A24/10
Basket League
Tartu Ulikool
#37
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
PAOK
#1
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H31/10
Basket League
AEK Larnaca
#25
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Mykonos
#12
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H07/11
Basket League
MZT Skopje
#47
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H11/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#14
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A14/11
Basket League
77.6Avg total
40.9Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.982.4+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.637.877.4+1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)43.544.688.1-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.936.777.6+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.035.280.2+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.943.080.9-5.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.243.081.2-4.817%-
vs Weaker (11)47.237.484.5+9.891%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.2
48.5%
53.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.6
33.1%
32.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.6
76.4%
72.8%13.6
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Iraklistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iraklis: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.719.5
53.1%
53.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.8
30.7%
32.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.814.5
66.5%
72.8%14.5
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
LWLWWWWWLL
Iraklis
WWWWLLLLWW
#13
League position
#11
+4.1
Net rating
-2.2
92.6
Offensive rating
88.3
88.5
Defensive rating
90.5
49.0%
Effective FG%
50.2%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
14.2%
Turnover %
17.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.35
33.1%
3-point %
30.7%
54.9%
Assist %
59.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence92.6 · 88.3Defence88.5 · 90.5Shooting49.0% · 50.2%3-point %33.1% · 30.7%Ball care14.2% · 17.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Iraklis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Wurzburg wins
1
Iraklis wins
DateGameScore
14/10/26Iraklis v Wurzburg90-73
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AHamburg84-91
11/11/26HAEK Larnaca78-76
08/11/26HBayern73-94
02/11/26HTartu Ulikool113-79
31/10/26ABasketball Braunschweig96-72
28/10/26HDziki Warszawa91-62
26/10/26HChemnitz98-88
20/10/26HMZT Skopje87-73
14/10/26AIraklis73-90
10/10/26ARostock62-101
Iraklislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26APromitheas99-92
11/11/26HMZT Skopje103-73
07/11/26HMykonos95-64
04/11/26HAEK Larnaca81-64
31/10/26HPAOK53-63
28/10/26ATartu Ulikool100-101 OT
24/10/26ALefkadas86-94 OT
21/10/26HDziki Warszawa85-86
17/10/26HAS Karditsas71-53
14/10/26HWurzburg90-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game84.592.269.0
Allowed / game75.572.581.5
Point differential+9.0+19.8-12.5
Avg total160.0164.8150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Iraklis
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%75%50%
Points / game87.289.882.0
Allowed / game76.074.080.0
Point differential+11.2+15.8+2.0
Avg total163.2163.8162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %17%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trier660100%100.069.7+30.3
2 Esenler Erokspor660100%96.371.0+25.3
3 Basquet Girona65183%91.375.0+16.3
4 Nancy65183%87.272.5+14.7
5 Korfez Basket65183%87.373.7+13.7
6 Benfica65183%94.383.8+10.5
7 Mykonos65183%84.076.3+7.7
8 Dziki Warszawa65183%87.580.3+7.2
9 Chalon/Saone64267%84.872.7+12.2
10 Kolossos Rhodes64267%81.870.2+11.7
11 Iraklis64267%87.276.0+11.2
12 VEF Riga64267%95.084.7+10.3
13 Wurzburg64267%84.575.5+9.0
14 Promitheas64267%90.081.8+8.2
15 CSM Oradea64267%86.380.3+6.0
16 Szczecin64267%86.881.7+5.2
17 Geneva Lions64267%88.284.0+4.2
18 Keravnos64267%80.876.7+4.2
19 Zielona Gora64267%84.583.2+1.3
20 Split64267%81.580.3+1.2
21 Oostende64267%78.377.8+0.5
22 Bakken Bears64267%82.083.3-1.3
23 BC Prievidza84450%90.183.2+6.9
24 Lok. Plovdiv63350%83.383.5-0.2
25 AEK Larnaca63350%79.580.0-0.5
26 Valmiera Glass Via63350%81.083.3-2.3
27 BC Kalev/Cramo63350%80.083.7-3.7
28 Sporting CP63350%76.780.3-3.7
29 Trepca63350%77.581.2-3.7
30 Dinamo Bucharest83538%87.881.6+6.1
31 Denizli Basket62433%81.583.5-2.0
32 Vienna Basket62433%80.585.2-4.7
33 Levice62433%72.778.2-5.5
34 SCM Craiova62433%88.096.3-8.3
35 Nitra Blue Wings62433%78.888.2-9.3
36 Szolnoki Olaj62433%77.588.3-10.8
37 Tartu Ulikool62433%88.099.7-11.7
38 Neftchi IK82625%75.682.6-7.0
39 Parnu82625%71.479.0-7.6
40 Bashkimi51420%73.683.2-9.6
41 Rilski Sportist51420%75.888.8-13.0
42 Manchester Basketball51420%75.890.0-14.2
43 Gence51420%71.288.2-17.0
44 Opava61517%83.286.8-3.7
45 Absheron Lions61517%83.795.3-11.7
46 Fribourg Olympic61517%73.087.3-14.3
47 MZT Skopje6060%72.087.2-15.2
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
50 Batumi6060%66.899.2-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.
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