PythiaBasketballBETA
On 20 November 2026 the BBL clash pits Wurzburg against Vechta, with the Pythia model designating Wurzburg as the favourite and projecting a 69% chance of a home win versus 31% for the visitors. Wurzburg enters the game with a 4-4 record over eight league matches, averaging 81.8 points scored and conceding 83.2, while Vechta sits 3-6 across nine games, scoring 85.0 and allowing 90.2. At home Wurzburg is 2-2, posting 80.5 points for and 83.8 against, and has won three of its last five outings, though a recent 84-91 loss to Hamburg away and a 73-94 defeat to Bayern at home temper optimism. Vechta, on the road, is 1-3, averaging 81.8 points and 83.0 allowed, yet they have secured three wins in their last five, including a 90-85 victory over Hapoel Holon away and a 99-90 win at home against Chemnitz. Historically Wurzburg has won four of six encounters, though Vechta last claimed a 103-86 win on 4 April 2026. The model projects a final score of 87-81 for Wurzburg, a total of 167.9 points, and a 4% chance of overtime. The game will likely hinge on how well Wurzburg can contain Vechta's recent offensive bursts.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 81.8 | 83.2 | 165.0 | -1.5 | 50% |
| Season at home (4) | 80.5 | 83.8 | 164.2 | -3.2 | 50% |
| Season away (4) | 83.0 | 82.8 | 165.8 | +0.2 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 85.5 | 82.6 | 168.1 | +2.9 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 88.8 | 82.4 | 171.2 | +6.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 74.8 | 90.2 | 165.0 | -15.5 | 25% |
| vs Similar ◀ (13) | 82.1 | 76.1 | 158.2 | +6.0 | 62% |
| vs Weaker (12) | 82.5 | 77.8 | 160.3 | +4.7 | 58% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 85.0 | 90.2 | 175.2 | -5.2 | 33% |
| Season at home (5) | 87.6 | 96.0 | 183.6 | -8.4 | 40% |
| Season away (4) | 81.8 | 83.0 | 164.8 | -1.2 | 25% |
| Last 10 (10) | 84.7 | 88.5 | 173.2 | -3.8 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 89.0 | 84.6 | 173.6 | +4.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 82.7 | 91.4 | 174.1 | -8.7 | 23% |
| vs Similar ◀ (6) | 94.8 | 85.3 | 180.2 | +9.5 | 83% |
| vs Weaker (10) | 98.1 | 86.8 | 184.9 | +11.3 | 70% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.7 | 38.5 | 79.2 | +2.2 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 42.4 | 39.2 | 81.6 | +3.2 | 62% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 38.7 | 37.8 | 76.5 | +0.9 | 43% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.3 | 41.5 | 85.8 | +2.8 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 45.2 | 44.2 | 89.4 | +1.0 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (4) | 39.0 | 40.5 | 79.5 | -1.5 | 25% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (13) | 41.0 | 36.2 | 77.2 | +4.8 | 69% | - |
| vs Weaker (12) | 41.2 | 40.2 | 81.4 | +1.1 | 50% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.8 | 44.2 | 88.1 | -0.4 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 44.2 | 47.2 | 91.4 | -3.1 | 31% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 43.6 | 41.9 | 85.5 | +1.6 | 41% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.9 | 43.6 | 83.5 | -3.7 | 20% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.4 | 44.0 | 90.4 | +2.4 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (13) | 39.5 | 44.9 | 84.5 | -5.4 | 15% | - |
| vs Similar ◀ (6) | 44.7 | 47.2 | 91.8 | -2.5 | 33% | - |
| vs Weaker (10) | 49.0 | 42.3 | 91.3 | +6.7 | 60% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.6 | 19.2 | 55.6% | 38.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.0 | 9.6 | 33.7% | 28.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.8 | 13.6 | 73.4% | 13.6 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 37.5 | 19.8 | 55.6% | 39.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.5 | 8.9 | 33.7% | 26.7 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.8 | 13.9 | 73.4% | 13.9 |
Wurzburg
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 | Wurzburg v Vechta | 86-103 |
| 11/01/26 | Vechta v Wurzburg | 100-104 OT |
| 19/04/25 | Vechta v Wurzburg | 78-86 |
| 20/01/25 | Wurzburg v Vechta | 74-86 |
| 28/04/24 | Vechta v Wurzburg | 87-89 |
| 01/12/23 | Wurzburg v Vechta | 87-75 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | Hamburg | 84-91 |
| 11/11/26 | H | AEK Larnaca | 78-76 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Bayern | 73-94 |
| 02/11/26 | H | Tartu Ulikool | 113-79 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Basketball Braunschweig | 96-72 |
| 28/10/26 | H | Dziki Warszawa | 91-62 |
| 26/10/26 | H | Chemnitz | 98-88 |
| 20/10/26 | H | MZT Skopje | 87-73 |
| 14/10/26 | A | Iraklis | 73-90 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Rostock | 62-101 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/26 | A | Rostock | 75-86 |
| 10/11/26 | A | Hapoel Holon | 90-85 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Chemnitz | 99-90 |
| 30/10/26 | A | Phoenix Hagen | 100-74 |
| 28/10/26 | H | Hapoel Holon | 81-88 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Trier | 88-97 |
| 14/10/26 | A | Cholet | 66-84 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Ulm | 97-92 OT |
| 07/10/26 | A | Spartak Subotica | 64-96 |
| 05/10/26 | H | Basketball Braunschweig | 87-93 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWLL | 50% |
| Home | LWWL | 50% |
| Away | WLWL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Points / game | 81.8 | 80.5 | 83.0 |
| Allowed / game | 83.2 | 83.8 | 82.8 |
| Point differential | -1.5 | -3.2 | +0.2 |
| Avg total | 165.0 | 164.2 | 165.8 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWL | 33% |
| Home | LLWLW | 40% |
| Away | LLWL | 25% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| Win % | 33% | 40% | 25% |
| Points / game | 85.0 | 87.6 | 81.8 |
| Allowed / game | 90.2 | 96.0 | 83.0 |
| Point differential | -5.2 | -8.4 | -1.2 |
| Avg total | 175.2 | 183.6 | 164.8 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern | 9 | 8 | 1 | 89% | 95.4 | 69.1 | +26.3 |
| 2 |  Trier | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 98.5 | 86.0 | +12.5 |
| 3 |  Rostock | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 89.3 | 81.6 | +7.8 |
| 4 |  Bonn | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 87.7 | 81.2 | +6.4 |
| 5 |  Syntainics MBC | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 83.8 | 81.3 | +2.4 |
| 6 |  Frankfurt | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 87.0 | 85.6 | +1.4 |
| 7 |  Ludwigsburg | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 86.1 | 85.2 | +0.9 |
| 8 |  Alba Berlin | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 87.2 | 86.6 | +0.7 |
| 9 | Wurzburg | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 81.8 | 83.2 | -1.5 |
| 10 |  Bamberg | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 85.1 | 85.7 | -0.6 |
| 11 |  Ulm | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 84.1 | 85.4 | -1.3 |
| 12 |  Oldenburg | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 74.7 | 83.4 | -8.8 |
| 13 |  Chemnitz | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 89.8 | 88.8 | +1.0 |
| 14 | Vechta | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 85.0 | 90.2 | -5.2 |
| 15 |  Hamburg | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 83.3 | 90.8 | -7.4 |
| 16 |  Basketball Braunschweig | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 85.2 | 98.1 | -12.9 |
| 17 |  Phoenix Hagen | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 83.4 | 92.0 | -8.6 |
| 18 |  Jena | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 77.9 | 89.6 | -11.7 |
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